Strasmore Research
Deep Dives · Matt ConnorBy Matt Connor · · Updated 2026-07-25

NVDA: kukaa nje kisha kupanda wiki ya Julai 6

NVDA wiki ya Julai 6, 2026: kijani wakati wa msukosuko, nyekundu wakati wa rally, kisha tiketi nzito zaidi Ijumaa. Vipindi vitano, kila nambari imehifadhiwa.

NVDA ilitumia wiki ya Julai 6, 2026 ikiwa nje ya mwendo na sekta yake yenyewe — kisha ikawa mbele yake. Siku ya Jumanne wakati wa msukosuko wa chip, ilikuwa ndio tiketi pekee iliyofunga kwa kijani kati ya tano kuu zilizofuatiliwa hapa chini; siku ya Alhamisi, wakati wenza wote wanne walifunga kwa kijani, ilikuwa nyekundu pekee. Siku ya Ijumaa ilipata kipindi chake bora zaidi cha wiki na kumaliza ikiwa tiketi nzito zaidi kwenye tape ya siku hiyo. Matokeo halisi katika vipindi 5: +8.5%, kiwango cha juu cha $211.1, $107.1B ya saa za kawaida za soko — tiketi ya 3rd kwa ukubwa wa wiki. Kila nambari ni swala lililohifadhiwa; panua paneli yoyote kwa SQL.

Wiki moja inayobeba juma

Mstari mmoja unabeba juma zima: kufungwa kwa Alhamisi iliyopita (Julai 3 ilikuwa siku ya kufungwa kwa Siku ya Uhuru), kufungua, kufungwa, viwango vyote viwili vya juu na chini pamoja na nyakati, na kiasi.

UlizaNVDA, wiki ya Julai 6, 2026 — kufungua hadi kufunga, viwango vya juu na chini pamoja na risiti, kiasi
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH
    (
        SELECT (toString(argMax(et_date, c)), max(c), argMax(c, et_date))
        FROM (
            SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
                   argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS c
            FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
            WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
              AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
              AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
            GROUP BY et_date
        )
    ) AS closes,
    (
        SELECT max(toFloat64(high)) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
    ) AS hi,
    (
        SELECT min(toFloat64(low)) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
    ) AS lo,
    (
        SELECT argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-03 00:00:00')
          AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
    ) AS prior_week_close
SELECT
    round(prior_week_close, 2) AS prior_friday_close,
    round(toFloat64(argMinIf(open, window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199)), 2) AS week_open,
    closes.3 AS week_close,
    round((closes.3 / prior_week_close - 1) * 100, 1) AS week_change_pct,
    closes.1 AS peak_close_date,
    round(closes.2, 2) AS peak_close,
    round(hi, 2) AS week_high,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(minIf(window_start, toFloat64(high) >= hi - 0.011), 'America/New_York'), '%Y-%m-%d %H:%i') AS week_high_first_bar_et,
    round(lo, 2) AS week_low,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(minIf(window_start, toFloat64(low) <= lo + 0.011), 'America/New_York'), '%Y-%m-%d %H:%i') AS week_low_bar_et,
    round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS week_shares_m,
    round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 1) AS week_dollar_bn,
    round(sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) / 1e9, 1) AS rth_dollar_bn,
    uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS session_days_observed
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
  AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')

Kutoka $194.51 hadi $210.96: +8.5%. Viwango vya mwisho vinaelezea mwelekeo: kiwango cha chini cha $190.6 kilichorekodiwa saa 2026-07-07 07:35 ET — soko la kabla ya Jumanne, masaa kabla ya mporomoko kuanza — na kiwango cha juu cha $211.1 saa 2026-07-10 16:01 ET, upau uliobeba mnada wa kufungua wa Ijumaa. Kiliwahi kufikia kiwango cha chini kabla ya kikao chake cha pili, kikafikia kiwango cha juu karibu kabisa na mwisho wa biashara; hisa milioni 565.2, $113.6B pamoja na saa za ziada.

Kikao kwa kikao

Vikao vitano, hakuna viwili vilivyofanana — ni siku zipi zilizofanya kazi?

UlizaNVDA kwa kipindi cha biashara — kufunga, mabadiliko, hisa, dola
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    et_date,
    close_usd,
    round(if(prev_close = 0, NULL, (close_usd / prev_close - 1) * 100), 1) AS change_pct,
    shares_m,
    dollar_bn
FROM (
    SELECT et_date, close_usd, shares_m, dollar_bn,
           lagInFrame(close_usd) OVER (ORDER BY et_date ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prev_close
    FROM (
        SELECT
            toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
            round(argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199), 2) AS close_usd,
            round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m,
            round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS dollar_bn
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
        GROUP BY et_date
    )
)
WHERE et_date >= toDate('2026-07-06')
ORDER BY et_date

Mwelekeo: Jumatatu na Jumanne zenye kijani kibichi wastani — Jumanne ikiwa siku ya kushuka kwa hisa za chipu, wakati kufunga kwa +0.7% kuliifanya NVDA kuwa mhusika pekee aliyenusurika katika kundi (risiti katika sehemu inayofuata). Jumatano +3.7%, kufunga kwa pili bora kwa wiki, huku mkanda mpana ukitulia. Alhamisi -0.7% — siku ya kukaa nje: nyekundu kwenye ufunguzi mkali zaidi wa majira ya joto huku kila mwenzake akifunga kijani. Ijumaa +4% hadi $210.96 kwa 27.41B ya dola za siku nzima — ticker nzito zaidi kwenye mkanda wa Ijumaa, iliyopokelewa hapa chini. Kiasi cha dola kilipanda kila siku isipokuwa Alhamisi: 16.54B Jumatatu hadi 27.41B Ijumaa.

Kundi la chip, siku kwa siku

'Kufanya biashara dhidi ya sekta yake' ni madai ambayo msomaji anapaswa kuyathibitisha: NVDA pamoja na AMD, MU, INTC, na TSM (ADR ya TSMC), kwa vipindi vyote vitano.

UlizaNVDA dhidi ya kundi la chip — mabadiliko ya asilimia kufunga-kwa-kufunga kwa kipindi
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    toString(d) AS et_date,
    round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'NVDA'), 1) AS nvda_pct,
    round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'AMD'), 1) AS amd_pct,
    round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'MU'), 1) AS mu_pct,
    round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'INTC'), 1) AS intc_pct,
    round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'TSM'), 1) AS tsm_pct
FROM (
    SELECT ticker, d,
           (c / lagInFrame(c) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY d ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) - 1) * 100 AS pct
    FROM (
        SELECT ticker,
               toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
               argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS c
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker IN ('NVDA', 'AMD', 'MU', 'INTC', 'TSM')
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
        GROUP BY ticker, d
    )
)
WHERE d >= toDate('2026-07-06')
GROUP BY d
ORDER BY d

Jumatatu kundi lilikimbia — AMD +6.5% — huku NVDA ikitambaa +0.6%. Jumanne msukosuko: AMD -6.4%, MU -4.6%, INTC -9.6%, TSM -4.2% — NVDA ikiwa kijani kwa +0.7%, ndiyo funge chanya pekee kwenye kikapu. Alhamisi iligeuza: wenza wote wanne walipanda, AMD mbele kwa +5.7%, NVDA pekee nyekundu kwa -0.7%. Ijumaa NVDA ya +4% iliongoza huku MU (-1.2%), INTC (-2.4%), na TSM (-0.6%) zikishuka nyekundu. Katika vipindi vitatu kati ya vitano, funge la NVDA lilipinga ishara ya angalau wenza wake watatu kati ya wanne. Uchambuzi wa kina wa MU unashughulikia jina lililoweka kasi ya kiasi cha wiki hiyo.

3-ndogo kubwa zaidi kwenye tape

Madai ya nafasi yanahitaji msingi uliowekwa na uthibitisho — ubao wa viongozi kwa muktadha, kisha uthibitisho wa safu moja dhidi ya kila ticker nyingine.

UlizaVitambulisho vyenye kiasi kikubwa cha dola katika saa za kawaida wiki hii
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT ticker, round(sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) / 1e9, 1) AS rth_dollar_bn
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
  AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
  AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY rth_dollar_bn DESC
LIMIT 6
UlizaRisiti ya daraja: kiasi cha dola cha NVDA kwa wiki dhidi ya vitambulisho vingine vyote, pamoja na daraja la Ijumaa pekee
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH (
    SELECT sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close))
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
      AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
      AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
) AS nvda_d,
(
    SELECT sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close))
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
      AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
      AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
) AS nvda_friday,
(
    SELECT (countIf(d > nvda_friday) + 1, max(d))
    FROM (
        SELECT ticker, sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) AS d
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
          AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
          AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX', 'NVDA')
        GROUP BY ticker
    )
) AS friday_field
SELECT
    countIf(d > nvda_d AND ticker != 'NVDA') + 1 AS nvda_rank,
    round(nvda_d / 1e9, 1) AS nvda_dollar_bn,
    countIf(d > nvda_d AND ticker NOT IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'NVDA')) AS single_stocks_above_nvda,
    round(100 * nvda_d / max(d), 1) AS pct_of_leader,
    friday_field.1 AS friday_rank,
    round(nvda_friday / 1e9, 2) AS friday_nvda_rth_bn,
    round((nvda_friday - friday_field.2) / 1e9, 2) AS friday_margin_over_next_bn
FROM (
    SELECT ticker, sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) AS d
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
      AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
      AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
    GROUP BY ticker
)

MU pekee — jitu la kiasi cha wiki hii — na SPY ndizo zilizochapisha dola zaidi za saa za kawaida; 1 hisa moja ilikuwa juu ya NVDA wiki nzima, na NVDA ilifanya 65.3% ya jumla ya kiongozi. Safu wima za Ijumaa zinaweka madai mengine ya utangulizi: Ijumaa pekee, $26.56B ya NVDA ilishika nafasi ya #1 kwenye tape nzima, $0.27B mbele ya ticker iliyofuata — kidogo sana, lakini nafasi ya juu. Msingi: kiasi cha dola za saa za kawaida, dirisha la Julai 6–10, ticker moja ya alama iliyotumiwa tena haijajumuishwa (tazama maelezo ya Data).

Mahali Wiki Inamwachia NVDA

Swali la asili linalofuata ni la msimamo: NVDA iko karibu kiasi gani na viwango vyake vya juu, na mwelekeo huo ulirejesha nini hasa?

UlizaUkaguzi wa nafasi ya NVDA kufikia kufunga kwa Ijumaa — viwango vya juu na chini vya mwaka uliopita na wastani wa kusonga
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH daily AS (
    SELECT
        toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
        argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS c,
        maxIf(toFloat64(high), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS h,
        minIf(toFloat64(low), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS l
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
      AND window_start >= toDateTime('2025-07-11 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
    GROUP BY et_date
    HAVING countIf((toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) > 0
)
SELECT
    round(argMax(c, et_date), 2) AS friday_close,
    round(max(h), 2) AS high_52w,
    argMax(toString(et_date), (h, et_date)) AS high_52w_date,
    round(100 * (1 - argMax(c, et_date) / max(h)), 1) AS pct_below_52w_high,
    round(min(l), 2) AS low_52w,
    argMax(toString(et_date), (-l, et_date)) AS low_52w_date,
    round(100 * (argMax(c, et_date) / min(l) - 1), 1) AS close_vs_52w_low_pct,
    round(arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 50))), 2) AS ma_50d,
    round(100 * (argMax(c, et_date) / arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 50))) - 1), 1) AS close_vs_ma50_pct,
    round(arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 200))), 2) AS ma_200d,
    round(100 * (argMax(c, et_date) / arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 200))) - 1), 1) AS close_vs_ma200_pct,
    count() AS trading_days_observed
FROM daily

Bei ya kufunga ya Ijumaa 210.96 iko 10.8% chini ya kiwango cha juu cha mwaka uliopita cha $236.54 (kilichowekwa 2026-05-14) na 30.2% juu ya kiwango cha chini cha mwaka uliopita cha $162.02, kilichorekodiwa 2025-07-14 — ukingo wa mbali wa dirisha. Wastani hubeba usomaji mkali zaidi: wiki iliisha +0.9% tu juu ya wastani wa siku 50 wa $209.16, huku ikishikilia +10% juu ya wastani wa siku 200 wa $191.75. Wiki ya +8.5%, kwa maneno mengine, ilirudisha NVDA takriban mahali ambapo wastani wake wa miezi miwili ulikuwa tayari — huku kiwango cha juu cha Mei kikiwa bado juu kabisa.

Wiki dhidi ya nusu-mwaka wake uliopita

Je, wiki hii ilikuwa kubwa kwa viwango vya NVDA yenyewe? Mihimili yote miwili — faida na kiasi cha dola — imehesabiwa kwa namna ile ile kwa kila wiki ya 2026.

UlizaMapato ya kila wiki ya NVDA, takriban wiki 26 zilizopita (kufungua hadi kufunga kwa wiki) — mahali wiki hii inavyoshika daraja
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    toString(wk) AS period_start,
    round(ret, 1) AS week_return_pct,
    round(dollar_bn, 1) AS week_rth_dollar_bn
FROM (
    SELECT toStartOfWeek(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), 1) AS wk,
           uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions,
           (argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) / argMinIf(toFloat64(open), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) - 1) * 100 AS ret,
           sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) / 1e9 AS dollar_bn
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
      AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-01-05 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
    GROUP BY wk
    HAVING sessions >= 3
)
ORDER BY period_start

Ikizingatiwa kuanzia ufunguzi hadi kufunga ndani ya kila wiki, +8.5% ya wiki hii inafika kwenye ukingo mkali wa jedwali la NVDA la 2026, karibu na +8.4% ya wiki ya 2026-04-13 — na wiki mbili tu baada ya wiki ya 2026-06-22 kuchapisha -9.3%. Mhimili wa kiasi ndio mshangao wa utulivu: 107.1B ya wiki hii inakaribia katikati ya safu ya 2026 kuliko kilele chake — wiki ya 2026-06-01 ilihamisha 167.7B kwa mwendo wa -4.9%. Wiki kubwa ya bei kwa kiasi kisicho cha kawaida. Msingi ni rekodi za awali za soko, zilizohesabiwa upya; uchambuzi wa kina wa Juni unashikilia toleo la kila mwezi.

Kile ambacho mkanda ulitengenezwa

Jumla za kila wiki zinaonyesha kiasi gani kilifanyika biashara; umbile la mkanda linaonyesha jinsi.

UlizaMuundo wa ukubwa wa biashara na sensa ya nukuu — NVDA, wiki nzima
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH
    (
        SELECT (round(count() / 1e6, 2),
                round(100.0 * countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price) / count(), 2))
        FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
        WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
    ) AS quote_census
SELECT
    round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS prints_m,
    quantileDeterministic(0.5)(toFloat64(size), toUInt64(abs(sequence_number))) AS median_print_shares,
    round(100.0 * countIf(size < 100) / count(), 1) AS odd_lot_pct_of_prints,
    quote_census.1 AS nbbo_updates_m,
    quote_census.2 AS clean_two_sided_pct
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)

12.17 milioni ya machapisho, wastani wa chapisho la hisa 3 tu, 84.4% ya machapisho chini ya kura kamili ya hisa mia. Angalia mpangilio: mkanda ulichapisha mara nyingi zaidi kuliko nukuu ilivyobadilika — biashara 12.17 milioni dhidi ya sasisho 9.86 milioni za NBBO (98.99% safi za pande mbili). Kwa ule ukubwa wa wastani, kimsingi hakuna agizo la ukubwa linalofika kwenye soko kamili: maagizo makuu yanakatwa vipande vidogo na vipanga njia na algoriti. Soko la kisasa la rejareja lililogawanyika katika safu moja.

Kuenea kulisalia kuwa hafifu — kwa makusudi

Msururu, mruko, kukaa nje, mwinuko — kila kisingizio cha ukwasi kutetereka. Je, ulitetereka?

UlizaWastani wa spread iliyonukuliwa ya NVDA kwa kipindi, saa za kawaida (bps ya katikati)
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    session,
    round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2) * 10000, toUInt64(toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp)), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price), 2) AS med_spread_bps,
    count() AS quote_updates
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 13:30:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
  AND (toHour(sip_timestamp) * 60 + toMinute(sip_timestamp)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session
ORDER BY session

Hapana. Kuenea kwa wastani wakati wa saa za kawaida hakukuwahi kuondoka kwenye nambari ndogo za alama za msingi: 1.02 bps Jumatatu, 0.96 bps Ijumaa. Maelezo yanastahili kuangaliwa mara ya pili: wastani mpana zaidi wa wiki ulikuwa 1.52 bps Jumatano — siku kubwa ya kupanda kwa NVDA, si msururu — wakati msururu wa Jumanne ulinukuliwa kwa 1.03 bps kwenye trafiki nzito zaidi ya nukuu za wiki, masasisho 2411154. Katika kampuni yenye mtaji mkubwa, mkazo unaonekana kama nukuu nyingi zaidi, si nukuu pana zaidi (kwa nini kuenea ndio namba ya kutazama); uchumi wa aina ya agizo haukuwahi kubadilika.

Mtiririko wa habari: makini ilifikia kilele kabla ya mwendo

Ikiwa wiki ingekuwa na simulizi moja, mfumo wa habari ungepaswa kuibeba — lakini si mahali unapoweza kutarajia.

UlizaUmakini wa habari: makala zilizowekwa tagi NVDA wakati wa wiki, zimefafanuliwa
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH
    (
        SELECT (toString(d), n)
        FROM (
            SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) AS d, count() AS n
            FROM global_markets.stocks_news
            WHERE has(tickers, 'NVDA')
              AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00')
              AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-11 04:00:00')
            GROUP BY d ORDER BY n DESC, d ASC LIMIT 1
        )
    ) AS peak_day,
    (
        SELECT (JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name') AS p, count() AS n)
        FROM global_markets.stocks_news
        WHERE has(tickers, 'NVDA')
          AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00')
          AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-11 04:00:00')
        GROUP BY p ORDER BY n DESC, p ASC LIMIT 1
    ) AS top_pub
SELECT
    count() AS week_articles,
    uniqExact(JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name')) AS publishers,
    peak_day.1 AS peak_day_date,
    peak_day.2 AS peak_day_articles,
    countIf(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = toDate('2026-07-09')) AS thursday_articles,
    peak_day.2 - countIf(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = toDate('2026-07-09')) AS peak_minus_thursday,
    top_pub.1 AS top_publisher,
    round(100.0 * top_pub.2 / count(), 1) AS top_publisher_share_pct,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'MU')) AS mu_co_articles,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'AMD')) AS amd_co_articles,
    countIf(positionCaseInsensitive(title, 'artificial intelligence') > 0 OR position(title, 'AI') > 0) AS ai_titled_articles
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE has(tickers, 'NVDA')
  AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00')
  AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-11 04:00:00')

86 makala yaliyowekwa lebo kutoka kwa 3 wachapishaji, 77.9% kutoka kwa chombo kimoja (The Motley Fool) — uwekaji lebo wa mfumo mmoja uliojumuishwa, ulioelekezwa kwenye maoni ya wauzaji rejareja, na kusomwa kama hivyo kabisa. Kilele kilikuwa 2026-07-06 — Jumatatu, 25 makala — kabla ya 20 ya Alhamisi kuhusu kukaa nje yenyewe. Muundo unasoma kwa upana wa ngumu badala ya maalum kwa NVDA: 29 vichwa vya habari vilikuwa na mfumo wa AI, 24 viliwekwa lebo pamoja na MU, 17 viliwekwa lebo pamoja na AMD. Hakuna chochote hapa kinachotenga kichochezi maalum cha NVDA katika siku zozote za mabadiliko — sababu haijulikani kutoka kwa data hii, na kusema hivyo ni bora kuliko kuvumbua moja.

Chagizo: mikataba 17.28 milioni, simu zinaongoza

Soko la chagizo ndipo ambapo msimamo unaonyesha umbo lake: ikilinganishwa na nini, kwa bei zipi za utekelezaji, na kwa tarehe gani?

UlizaChaguo za NVDA, wiki nzima: jumla, put-call dhidi ya msingi wa kufuatilia, viwango vya strike na tarehe za kumalizika zimefafanuliwa
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH
    (
        SELECT ticker
        FROM global_markets.options_trades
        WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
        GROUP BY ticker ORDER BY sum(size) DESC, ticker ASC LIMIT 1
    ) AS busiest_t,
    (
        SELECT round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')), 2)
        FROM global_markets.options_trades
        WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-08 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-03 00:00:00', 9)
    ) AS trailing_pc,
    (
        SELECT argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start)
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
          AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
    ) AS friday_close,
    (
        SELECT argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start)
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-03 00:00:00')
          AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
    ) AS start_close,
    (
        SELECT concat(substring(e, 3, 2), '-', substring(e, 5, 2))
        FROM (
            SELECT substring(ticker, 7, 6) AS e, sum(size) AS v
            FROM global_markets.options_trades
            WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
              AND substring(ticker, 7, 6) > '260710'
              AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
            GROUP BY e ORDER BY v DESC, e ASC LIMIT 1
        )
    ) AS back_expiry
SELECT
    round(sum(size) / 1e6, 2) AS contracts_traded_m,
    round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS prints_m,
    round(sum(toFloat64(price) * size) * 100 / 1e9, 2) AS premium_notional_busd,
    round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')), 2) AS week_put_call_ratio,
    trailing_pc AS trailing_4w_put_call_ratio,
    uniqExact(substring(ticker, 7, 6)) AS expiries_traded,
    concat('$', toString(round(toFloat64(toUInt32OrZero(substring(busiest_t, 14, 8))) / 1000, 2)),
           if(substring(busiest_t, 13, 1) = 'P', ' put', ' call'),
           ', expiry 20', substring(busiest_t, 7, 2), '-', substring(busiest_t, 9, 2), '-', substring(busiest_t, 11, 2)) AS busiest_contract,
    round(friday_close - toFloat64(toUInt32OrZero(substring(busiest_t, 14, 8))) / 1000, 2) AS friday_close_over_busiest_strike,
    round(100.0 * sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 7, 6) = '260710') / sum(size), 1) AS friday_expiry_share_pct,
    back_expiry AS busiest_back_expiry_md,
    round(100.0 * sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C' AND toFloat64(toUInt32OrZero(substring(ticker, 14, 8))) / 1000 > start_close) / sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C'), 1) AS call_vol_strike_above_start_pct
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)

Mikataba 17.28 milioni na malipo ya $5.09B katika tarehe 27 za kukoma, kwa 0.42 za kuweka kwa kila simu. Ikilinganishwa na nini: wiki nne kamili zilizopita za NVDA zilikuwa na 0.6 — mwelekeo wa simu ulizidi kuwa mkali wakati wa wiki ya kupanda, sio mdogo. Kwa bei zipi za utekelezaji: 96.6% ya kiasi cha simu kiliuzwa juu ya bei ya kufunga ya $194.51 ya mwanzo wa wiki — eneo ambalo hisa ilikuwa bado haijafikia wiki ilipoanza. Kwa tarehe gani: 34.9% ya kiasi hicho kilitumika katika mkataba wa wiki ya Ijumaa pekee, na mkataba ulio na shughuli nyingi zaidi — $210 call, expiry 2026-07-10 — ulikoma kwa kufunga kwa Ijumaa kukiwa juu ya bei yake ya utekelezaji kwa $0.96 tu: ndani ya dola moja ya bei ya utekelezaji iliyotumiwa sana wiki hiyo. Zaidi ya Ijumaa, mkataba ulio na shughuli nyingi zaidi ulikuwa 07-17 — mkataba wa kila mwezi wa Julai uliobaki wiki moja (kalenda ya kukoma; kusoma uwiano).

Fupi, na kinyota cha wiki hii

Faili za kila siku za FINRA hufuatilia kiasi cha mauzo yaliyowekwa alama kuwa mafupi — isipokuwa kuna tahadhari moja ya ubora wa faili wiki hii, iliyoashiriwa wazi badala ya kufichwa.

UlizaKiasi cha uuzaji mfupi cha kila siku cha FINRA, NVDA — pamoja na tahadhari ya ukamilifu wa faili
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT toString(date) AS d,
       round(sum(short_volume) / 1e6, 1) AS short_shares_m,
       count() AS nvda_rows_on_file
FROM global_markets.stocks_short_volume
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND date >= toDate('2026-07-06') AND date <= toDate('2026-07-10')
GROUP BY date
ORDER BY date

Kiasi cha mauzo mafupi kilichoripotiwa kwa siku kilikuwa 12.7M hisa Jumatatu na 26.6M Ijumaa — takriban mara mbili kadri kiasi cha dola cha wiki kilivyojengwa. Si cha kushangaza kama inavyosikika: faili hizi huhesabu MAUZO yaliyowekwa alama kuwa mafupi, hasa usimamizi wa hesabu za wafanya soko — riba fupi dhidi ya kiasi fupi hutofautisha hizi mbili. Kinyota kimoja: faili ya Julai 7 ilifika iliyokatwa kote sokoni (imepokelewa katika muhtasari wa wiki), kwa hivyo takwimu za kikao hicho, zikiwemo za NVDA, zichukuliwe kuwa za muda hadi zitakapowasilishwa tena. Chapisho la riba fupi la mara mbili kwa mwezi lililo karibu zaidi na wiki hii lilitulia Juni 30; siku za kufidia linaweka nafasi fupi katika suala la muda.

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara kwa Mara

Je, hisa ya NVDA ilifanyaje katika wiki ya Julai 6, 2026?

NVDA ilipanda kwa 8.5%, kutoka $194.51 hadi $210.96 siku ya Ijumaa Julai 10, ikiwa na kiwango cha juu cha $211.1 na kiwango cha chini cha $190.6. Ijumaa ilikuwa kikao chenye nguvu zaidi kwa +4%.

Je, NVDA iko kwenye rekodi ya juu baada ya wiki ya Julai 6?

Hapana. Kufunga kwa $210.96 siku ya Ijumaa kulikuwa 10.8% chini ya kiwango chake cha juu cha mwaka uliopita cha $236.54, kilichowekwa 2026-05-14.

Je, NVDA iko juu ya wastani wake muhimu wa kusonga?

Ndiyo: kufunga kwa Julai 10 kulisimama +0.9% juu ya wastani wa siku 50 ($209.16) na +10% juu ya wastani wa siku 200 ($191.75).

Uwiano wa put-call wa NVDA ulikuwa gani kwa wiki, na ni wa kawaida?

Wiki ilifanya biashara kwa 0.42 put kwa kila call — yenye mwelekeo zaidi wa call kuliko 0.6 ya NVDA ya wiki nne zilizopita — huku 34.9% ya mikataba ikiwa katika mwisho wa wiki wa Ijumaa.

Je, NVDA ilihamia pamoja na sekta nzima ya chip wiki hii?

Hapana kwa kiasi kikubwa. Dhidi ya AMD, MU, INTC, na TSM, ilikuwa ndiyo pekee iliyofunga kijani wakati wa msukosuko wa Jumanne (+0.7% dhidi ya -6.4% ya AMD) na ndiyo pekee iliyofunga nyekundu wakati wa kurudi nyuma kwa Alhamisi (-0.7% dhidi ya +5.7% ya AMD).

Vidokezo vya data

  • Saa na saa. Nyakati huhifadhiwa kwa UTC; saa za kawaida ni kipindi cha dakika 810–1199 ET (saa 9:30 asubuhi–4:00 jioni New York). Kufungwa kabla ni Alhamisi Julai 2 (Julai 3 ilikuwa likizo ya soko).
  • Kutengwa kwa jedwali la viongozi. Jedwali la viongozi la kiasi cha dola linatenga ishara moja kwa usahihi kwa kanuni ya kawaida ya nyumba: ishara ambayo mlishaji wa muuzaji anaipeana kwa makampuni mawili tofauti — uchambuzi wa kina kuhusu orodha hiyo hubeba risiti za uthibitishaji wa utambulisho. Hakuna kingine kinachotengwa.
  • Kikapu cha wenza. Kikapu kilichotangazwa — AMD, MU, INTC, TSM (ADR ya TSMC) — cha majina ya chip yanayouzwa sana yaliyoorodheshwa Marekani, si uainishaji wa sekta ya muuzaji.
  • Wastani wa kusonga. Wastani rahisi wa kufungwa kwa vikao vya kawaida vya hamsini na mia mbili vilivyopita hadi Julai 10; viwango vya juu na vya chini vya mwaka uliopita hutumia viwango vya juu na vya chini vya saa za kawaida.
  • Mlisho wa habari. Uwekaji lebo wa mlisho MMOJA uliojumlishwa, si vyombo vya habari vya kimataifa. Hakuna seti ya data ya kalenda ya mapato iliyo na leseni iliyopo kwenye ghala, kwa hivyo hakuna madai ya tarehe za mapato za mbele hapa.
  • Uchanganuzi wa OCC. Vihusishi vya chaguo huchanganuliwa kwa nafasi (msingi O:NVDA; bei ya utekelezaji katika tarakimu nane za mwisho). Madai ya nafasi na mpangilio yamewekwa kama mipaka ya ukweli.

Mbinu

  • Chanzo: mkanda wa pamoja — delayed_stocks_minute_aggs, stocks_trades + cache_stocks_quotes, options_trades, FINRA stocks_short_volume, stocks_short_interest iliyoripotiwa na soko la hisa.
  • Mikusanyiko ya uhakika: quantileDeterministic kwenye funguo thabiti; mgawanyo wa jozi kwenye viwango vya juu na vya chini.
  • Ulinganisho wa vipindi vya awali: hukokotolewa moja kwa moja kutoka kwenye mkanda, kamwe hautajwi kutoka machapisho ya awali; msingi wa wiki hubeba safu ya period_start kwa ajili ya kufidia mabadiliko.
  • Hifadhi kama ilivyo: Julai 12, 2026 (T+2 kwa kikao cha mwisho cha wiki).

Viungo mtambuka: uchambuzi wa kina wa NVDA Juni 2026, tano za kila siku kupitia muhtasari wa soko la wiki, DTE imeelezwa kwa msamiati wa chaguo. SQL ya kila paneli inaendeshwa kama ilivyo kwenye terminal ya Strasmore.

← All NVDA periods
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