NVDA: 7月6日当周:先观望后冲高
英伟达7月6日当周逆势波动,周五领涨并登上成交额榜首。查看五个交易日的涨跌、最高价、成交额与排名,数字均有SQL凭据。
NVDA spent the week of July 6, 2026 out of phase with its own sector, then out in front of it. On Tuesday's chip rout it was the only green close among the five majors tracked below; on Thursday, when all four peers closed up, the only red one. Friday it put up its best session of the week and finished as the heaviest ticker on that day's tape. Net result across 5 sessions: +8.5%, a $211.1 high, $107.1B of regular-hours dollars, the 3rd-biggest ticker of the week. Every number is a stored query; expand any panel for the SQL.
一行概览全周
一行涵盖全周:前一周周四的收盘价(7月3日因独立日休市)、开盘价、收盘价、带时间戳的最高价和最低价,以及成交量。
| 上周五收盘价 | 本周开盘价 | 本周收盘价 | 本周涨跌幅 | 最高收盘日期 | 最高收盘价 | 本周最高价 | 本周最高价首根K线ET时间 | 本周最低价 | 本周最低价K线ET时间 | 本周成交股数(百万) | 本周成交额(十亿美元) | 常规交易时段成交额(十亿美元) | 观测交易日数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194.51 | 194.42 | 210.96 | 8.5 | 2026-07-10 | 210.96 | 211.1 | 2026-07-10 16:01 | 190.6 | 2026-07-07 07:35 | 565.2 | 113.6 | 107.1 | 5 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
(
SELECT (toString(argMax(et_date, c)), max(c), argMax(c, et_date))
FROM (
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS c
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY et_date
)
) AS closes,
(
SELECT max(toFloat64(high)) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
) AS hi,
(
SELECT min(toFloat64(low)) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
) AS lo,
(
SELECT argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-03 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
) AS prior_week_close
SELECT
round(prior_week_close, 2) AS prior_friday_close,
round(toFloat64(argMinIf(open, window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199)), 2) AS week_open,
closes.3 AS week_close,
round((closes.3 / prior_week_close - 1) * 100, 1) AS week_change_pct,
closes.1 AS peak_close_date,
round(closes.2, 2) AS peak_close,
round(hi, 2) AS week_high,
formatDateTime(toTimeZone(minIf(window_start, toFloat64(high) >= hi - 0.011), 'America/New_York'), '%Y-%m-%d %H:%i') AS week_high_first_bar_et,
round(lo, 2) AS week_low,
formatDateTime(toTimeZone(minIf(window_start, toFloat64(low) <= lo + 0.011), 'America/New_York'), '%Y-%m-%d %H:%i') AS week_low_bar_et,
round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS week_shares_m,
round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 1) AS week_dollar_bn,
round(sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) / 1e9, 1) AS rth_dollar_bn,
uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS session_days_observed
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')从$194.51至$210.96:+8.5%。两个端点勾勒出全周走势:$190.6的低点于2026-07-07 07:35 ET出现,即周二盘前,距离抛售行情开盘还有数小时;$211.1的高点于2026-07-10 16:01 ET出现,即周五收盘竞价结束后不久的盘后交易时段。第二个交易日之前触底,几乎在最后一笔成交时触顶;成交量为565.2百万股,包含延长交易时段在内的成交额为$113.6B。
逐个交易日
五个交易日各不相同,究竟是哪几天推动了表现?
| ET日期 | 收盘价(美元) | 涨跌幅 | 成交股数(百万) | 成交额(十亿美元) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | 195.62 | 0.6 | 84.3 | 16.54 |
| 2026-07-07 | 196.93 | 0.7 | 110.4 | 21.52 |
| 2026-07-08 | 204.14 | 3.7 | 126.8 | 25.43 |
| 2026-07-09 | 202.76 | -0.7 | 112.1 | 22.67 |
| 2026-07-10 | 210.96 | 4 | 131.6 | 27.41 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
et_date,
close_usd,
round(if(prev_close = 0, NULL, (close_usd / prev_close - 1) * 100), 1) AS change_pct,
shares_m,
dollar_bn
FROM (
SELECT et_date, close_usd, shares_m, dollar_bn,
lagInFrame(close_usd) OVER (ORDER BY et_date ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prev_close
FROM (
SELECT
toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
round(argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199), 2) AS close_usd,
round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m,
round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS dollar_bn
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
GROUP BY et_date
)
)
WHERE et_date >= toDate('2026-07-06')
ORDER BY et_date走势如下:周一和周二小幅收涨。周二是芯片股暴跌日,NVDA仍能收涨+0.7%,因此成为该板块唯一幸存者(成交数据见下一节)。周三收涨+3.7%,为本周第二佳收盘表现,此前大盘走势趋于稳定。周四收跌-0.7%,表现缺席:今夏最剧烈的开盘行情中股价下跌,而所有同业股票均收涨。周五收涨+4%至$210.96,全天成交额为27.41B美元,是周五大盘成交中成交额最高的股票,成交数据见下文。除周四外,美元成交额逐日上升:周一为16.54B美元,周五升至27.41B美元。
芯片板块逐日表现
“相对所属板块交易”这一说法应当接受检验:NVDA与AMD、MU、INTC和TSM(台积电ADR)并列比较,覆盖全部五个交易日。
| ET日期 | NVDA涨跌幅 | AMD涨跌幅 | MU涨跌幅 | INTC涨跌幅 | TSM涨跌幅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | 0.7 | -6.4 | -4.6 | -9.6 | -4.2 |
| 2026-07-08 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 0.9 |
| 2026-07-09 | -0.7 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| 2026-07-10 | 4 | 2.1 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -0.6 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
toString(d) AS et_date,
round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'NVDA'), 1) AS nvda_pct,
round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'AMD'), 1) AS amd_pct,
round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'MU'), 1) AS mu_pct,
round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'INTC'), 1) AS intc_pct,
round(maxIf(pct, ticker = 'TSM'), 1) AS tsm_pct
FROM (
SELECT ticker, d,
(c / lagInFrame(c) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY d ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) - 1) * 100 AS pct
FROM (
SELECT ticker,
toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS c
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('NVDA', 'AMD', 'MU', 'INTC', 'TSM')
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
GROUP BY ticker, d
)
)
WHERE d >= toDate('2026-07-06')
GROUP BY d
ORDER BY d周一板块上涨,AMD上涨 +6.5%,而NVDA仅小幅上涨 +0.6%。周二板块遭遇抛售:AMD -6.4%,MU -4.6%,INTC -9.6%,TSM -4.2%;NVDA仍为绿色,收涨 +0.7%,是板块中唯一收涨的股票。周四走势反转:四只可比股票全部上涨,AMD涨幅最高,达 +5.7%;NVDA则独自下跌,收于 -0.7%。周五,NVDA上涨 +4%,领涨板块;MU(-1.2%)、INTC(-2.4%)和TSM(-0.6%)则转跌。五个交易日中有三个交易日,NVDA的收盘涨跌方向与四只可比股票中至少三只相反。MU深度分析介绍了本周成交量领跑的股票。
The 3rd-biggest ticker on the tape
Rank claims need a stated basis and a receipt, the leaderboard for context, then a one-row receipt against every other ticker.
| ticker | 常规交易时段成交额(十亿美元) |
|---|---|
| MU | 164 |
| SPY | 137.3 |
| NVDA | 107.1 |
| QQQ | 103.4 |
| SNDK | 88 |
| TSLA | 69.3 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT ticker, round(sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) / 1e9, 1) AS rth_dollar_bn
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY rth_dollar_bn DESC
LIMIT 6| NVDA排名 | NVDA成交额(十亿美元) | 成交额高于NVDA的个股数 | 占领先者百分比 | 周五排名 | 周五 NVDA 正常交易时段(十亿) | 周五相对下周保证金(十亿) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 107.1 | 1 | 65.3 | 1 | 26.56 | 0.27 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH (
SELECT sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close))
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
) AS nvda_d,
(
SELECT sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close))
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
) AS nvda_friday,
(
SELECT (countIf(d > nvda_friday) + 1, max(d))
FROM (
SELECT ticker, sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) AS d
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX', 'NVDA')
GROUP BY ticker
)
) AS friday_field
SELECT
countIf(d > nvda_d AND ticker != 'NVDA') + 1 AS nvda_rank,
round(nvda_d / 1e9, 1) AS nvda_dollar_bn,
countIf(d > nvda_d AND ticker NOT IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'NVDA')) AS single_stocks_above_nvda,
round(100 * nvda_d / max(d), 1) AS pct_of_leader,
friday_field.1 AS friday_rank,
round(nvda_friday / 1e9, 2) AS friday_nvda_rth_bn,
round((nvda_friday - friday_field.2) / 1e9, 2) AS friday_margin_over_next_bn
FROM (
SELECT ticker, sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) AS d
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker
)Only MU, the week's volume monster, and SPY printed more regular-hours dollars; 1 single stock ranked above NVDA all week, and NVDA ran 65.3% of the leader's total. The Friday columns pin the intro's other claim: on Friday alone, NVDA's $26.56B ranked #1 on the entire tape, $0.27B ahead of the next ticker, a whisker, but the top spot. Basis: regular-hours dollar volume, the July 6–10 window, one reused-symbol ticker excluded (see Data notes).
本周NVDA的表现
接下来要问的是持仓位置:NVDA距离自身高点还有多远?这轮上涨究竟收复了什么位置?
| 周五收盘价 | 52周最高价 | 52周最高价日期 | 低于52周高点(%) | 52周最低价 | 52周最低价日期 | 收盘价较52周低点(%) | 50日均线 | 收盘价较50日均线(%) | 200日均线 | 收盘价较200日均线(%) | 观测交易日数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210.96 | 236.54 | 2026-05-14 | 10.8 | 162.02 | 2025-07-14 | 30.2 | 209.16 | 0.9 | 191.75 | 10 | 251 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH daily AS (
SELECT
toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS c,
maxIf(toFloat64(high), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS h,
minIf(toFloat64(low), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) AS l
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2025-07-11 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
GROUP BY et_date
HAVING countIf((toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) > 0
)
SELECT
round(argMax(c, et_date), 2) AS friday_close,
round(max(h), 2) AS high_52w,
argMax(toString(et_date), (h, et_date)) AS high_52w_date,
round(100 * (1 - argMax(c, et_date) / max(h)), 1) AS pct_below_52w_high,
round(min(l), 2) AS low_52w,
argMax(toString(et_date), (-l, et_date)) AS low_52w_date,
round(100 * (argMax(c, et_date) / min(l) - 1), 1) AS close_vs_52w_low_pct,
round(arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 50))), 2) AS ma_50d,
round(100 * (argMax(c, et_date) / arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 50))) - 1), 1) AS close_vs_ma50_pct,
round(arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 200))), 2) AS ma_200d,
round(100 * (argMax(c, et_date) / arrayAvg(arrayMap(t -> t.2, arraySlice(arrayReverseSort(t -> t.1, groupArray((et_date, c))), 1, 200))) - 1), 1) AS close_vs_ma200_pct,
count() AS trading_days_observed
FROM daily周五收于$210.96,较过去一年高点$236.54低10.8%。该高点创于2026-05-14。同时,周五收盘价较过去一年低点$162.02高30.2%。该低点出现在窗口最早端的2025-07-14。均线给出了更明确的信号:本周收盘价仅比50日均线$209.16高+0.9%,但仍比200日均线$191.75高+10%。换言之,单周上涨+8.5%,只是让NVDA回到大致相当于自身两个月均线的位置,而5月高点仍明显高于当前水平。
本周与过去半年相比
按NVDA自身的标准来看,本周表现是否突出?回报率和美元成交额两个轴均采用完全相同的方法计算,覆盖2026年的每一周。
| 期间开始日期 | 周收益率(%) | 周正常交易时段金额(十亿) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | -3.1 | 113.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2.6 | 110.2 |
| 2026-01-19 | 3 | 92.4 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2.3 | 103.2 |
| 2026-02-02 | -1.8 | 127.5 |
| 2026-02-09 | -1.1 | 114.9 |
| 2026-02-16 | 4.5 | 86.4 |
| 2026-02-23 | -5.9 | 161.9 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2.8 | 119.8 |
| 2026-03-09 | 1.9 | 126.1 |
| 2026-03-16 | -5.4 | 143 |
| 2026-03-23 | -5.5 | 127.4 |
| 2026-03-30 | 5.1 | 100.9 |
| 2026-04-06 | 6.5 | 101 |
| 2026-04-13 | 8.4 | 127.5 |
| 2026-04-20 | 4.1 | 115.1 |
| 2026-04-27 | -5.4 | 144.6 |
| 2026-05-04 | 7.9 | 123.3 |
| 2026-05-11 | 5.3 | 153.2 |
| 2026-05-18 | -6.4 | 148.9 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
toString(wk) AS period_start,
round(ret, 1) AS week_return_pct,
round(dollar_bn, 1) AS week_rth_dollar_bn
FROM (
SELECT toStartOfWeek(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), 1) AS wk,
uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions,
(argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) / argMinIf(toFloat64(open), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) - 1) * 100 AS ret,
sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) / 1e9 AS dollar_bn
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-01-05 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
GROUP BY wk
HAVING sessions >= 3
)
ORDER BY period_start按每周开盘至收盘计算,本周的+8.5%位于NVDA 2026年周度数据的强势区间,接近2026-04-13周的+8.4%;而就在两周前,2026-06-22周录得-9.3%。成交量方面的意外则不那么明显:本周成交额为107.1B,处于2026年区间的中部附近,而不是顶部;2026-06-01周的成交额达到167.7B,对应-4.9%的涨跌幅。这是价格表现强劲、但成交量并不异常的一周。基准取自此前的交易走势,并每次重新计算;六月深度分析提供月度版本。
成交明细的构成
周度总量说明成交了多少;成交明细的结构则说明交易是如何发生的。
| 成交笔数(百万) | 成交股数中位数 | 零股成交占比(%) | NBBO 更新次数(百万) | 有效双边报价占比(%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.17 | 3 | 84.4 | 9.86 | 98.99 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
(
SELECT (round(count() / 1e6, 2),
round(100.0 * countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price) / count(), 2))
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
) AS quote_census
SELECT
round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS prints_m,
quantileDeterministic(0.5)(toFloat64(size), toUInt64(abs(sequence_number))) AS median_print_shares,
round(100.0 * countIf(size < 100) / count(), 1) AS odd_lot_pct_of_prints,
quote_census.1 AS nbbo_updates_m,
quote_census.2 AS clean_two_sided_pct
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)12.17百万笔成交,单笔成交量中位数仅为3股,84.4%的成交量低于一手一百股。请注意这个顺序:成交明细出现的频率高于报价变动频率,12.17百万笔交易对应9.86百万次NBBO更新(其中98.99%为清晰的双边报价)。在这一中位数规模下,几乎没有大额订单会以完整形态抵达交易所:路由系统和算法会将母单拆分成多个子单。现代由零售订单碎片化的市场,在这一行数据中展现得十分清楚。
点差保持平稳,这是有意为之
无论是大跌、反弹、观望还是飙升,市场似乎都有理由让流动性收缩。但实际情况如此吗?
| 交易时段 | 价差中位数(基点) | 报价更新次数 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | 1.02 | 1516856 |
| 2026-07-07 | 1.03 | 2411154 |
| 2026-07-08 | 1.52 | 1762259 |
| 2026-07-09 | 0.99 | 1798944 |
| 2026-07-10 | 0.96 | 2214184 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
session,
round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2) * 10000, toUInt64(toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp)), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price), 2) AS med_spread_bps,
count() AS quote_updates
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA'
AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 13:30:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
AND (toHour(sip_timestamp) * 60 + toMinute(sip_timestamp)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session
ORDER BY session并没有。常规交易时段的中位点差始终处于个位数基点区间:周一为 1.02 个基点,周五为 0.96 个基点。细节值得再看一眼:本周最高的中位点差出现在周三,为 1.52 个基点,当天 NVDA 大幅上涨,而不是发生大跌的那天。周二大跌时,报价点差为 1.03 个基点,但当天的报价流量为全周最高,达到 2411154 次更新。在超大市值股票中,压力通常表现为报价次数增加,而不是报价点差扩大(为何应关注点差这一指标);订单类型的经济性从未改变。
新闻流:关注度在行情启动前见顶
如果要为这一周概括出一个主线,新闻动态本应体现这一点,但情况并不像你可能预期的那样。
| 本周文章数 | 出版商数 | 峰值日期 | 峰值日文章数 | 周四文章数 | 峰值减周四 | 最大出版商 | 最大出版商占比 (%) | MU合作文章数 | AMD合作文章数 | 标题含AI的文章数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 3 | 2026-07-06 | 25 | 20 | 5 | The Motley Fool | 77.9 | 24 | 17 | 29 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
(
SELECT (toString(d), n)
FROM (
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) AS d, count() AS n
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE has(tickers, 'NVDA')
AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00')
AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-11 04:00:00')
GROUP BY d ORDER BY n DESC, d ASC LIMIT 1
)
) AS peak_day,
(
SELECT (JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name') AS p, count() AS n)
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE has(tickers, 'NVDA')
AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00')
AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-11 04:00:00')
GROUP BY p ORDER BY n DESC, p ASC LIMIT 1
) AS top_pub
SELECT
count() AS week_articles,
uniqExact(JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name')) AS publishers,
peak_day.1 AS peak_day_date,
peak_day.2 AS peak_day_articles,
countIf(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = toDate('2026-07-09')) AS thursday_articles,
peak_day.2 - countIf(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = toDate('2026-07-09')) AS peak_minus_thursday,
top_pub.1 AS top_publisher,
round(100.0 * top_pub.2 / count(), 1) AS top_publisher_share_pct,
countIf(has(tickers, 'MU')) AS mu_co_articles,
countIf(has(tickers, 'AMD')) AS amd_co_articles,
countIf(positionCaseInsensitive(title, 'artificial intelligence') > 0 OR position(title, 'AI') > 0) AS ai_titled_articles
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE has(tickers, 'NVDA')
AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-07-06 00:00:00')
AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-11 04:00:00')共有 86 篇文章被打上标签,来源于 3 家出版机构。其中,77.9% 篇来自单一媒体(The Motley Fool),另有一个聚合信息流的标签记录,内容偏向散户评论,应按这一性质解读。峰值出现在 2026-07-06,即周一,当天有 25 篇文章;这高于周四围绕观望行情本身的 20 篇。内容构成更像是覆盖整个复杂板块,而非专门针对 NVDA:29 条标题采用了 AI 主题框架,24 条同时标记了 MU,17 条同时标记了 AMD。现有数据无法在两个波动日中锁定任何 NVDA 特有的催化因素。原因尚不明确,明确说明这一点胜过凭空臆测。
期权:17.28百万份合约,看涨期权占主导
期权成交记录展现了仓位的形态:与什么相比?集中在哪些行权价?到期日是什么时候?
| 交易合约数(百万) | 成交笔数(百万) | 权利金名义金额(十亿美元) | 周度认沽/认购比 | 滚动4周认沽/认购比 | 交易到期日数 | 最活跃合约 | 周五收盘价/最活跃行权价 | 周五到期占比 (%) | 最活跃远期到期日(MD) | 高于起始价的认购成交量行权价 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.28 | 2.44 | 5.09 | 0.42 | 0.6 | 27 | $210 call, expiry 2026-07-10 | 0.96 | 34.9 | 07-17 | 96.6 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
(
SELECT ticker
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
GROUP BY ticker ORDER BY sum(size) DESC, ticker ASC LIMIT 1
) AS busiest_t,
(
SELECT round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')), 2)
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-08 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-03 00:00:00', 9)
) AS trailing_pc,
(
SELECT argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start)
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-11 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
) AS friday_close,
(
SELECT argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start)
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-03 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
) AS start_close,
(
SELECT concat(substring(e, 3, 2), '-', substring(e, 5, 2))
FROM (
SELECT substring(ticker, 7, 6) AS e, sum(size) AS v
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
AND substring(ticker, 7, 6) > '260710'
AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)
GROUP BY e ORDER BY v DESC, e ASC LIMIT 1
)
) AS back_expiry
SELECT
round(sum(size) / 1e6, 2) AS contracts_traded_m,
round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS prints_m,
round(sum(toFloat64(price) * size) * 100 / 1e9, 2) AS premium_notional_busd,
round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')), 2) AS week_put_call_ratio,
trailing_pc AS trailing_4w_put_call_ratio,
uniqExact(substring(ticker, 7, 6)) AS expiries_traded,
concat('$', toString(round(toFloat64(toUInt32OrZero(substring(busiest_t, 14, 8))) / 1000, 2)),
if(substring(busiest_t, 13, 1) = 'P', ' put', ' call'),
', expiry 20', substring(busiest_t, 7, 2), '-', substring(busiest_t, 9, 2), '-', substring(busiest_t, 11, 2)) AS busiest_contract,
round(friday_close - toFloat64(toUInt32OrZero(substring(busiest_t, 14, 8))) / 1000, 2) AS friday_close_over_busiest_strike,
round(100.0 * sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 7, 6) = '260710') / sum(size), 1) AS friday_expiry_share_pct,
back_expiry AS busiest_back_expiry_md,
round(100.0 * sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C' AND toFloat64(toUInt32OrZero(substring(ticker, 14, 8))) / 1000 > start_close) / sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C'), 1) AS call_vol_strike_above_start_pct
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:NVDA') AND length(ticker) = 21
AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-07-06 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-11 00:00:00', 9)17.28百万份合约的成交量和$5.09B的权利金分布于27个到期日,看跌期权与看涨期权的比例为0.42。与什么相比:NVDA此前连续四个完整周的平均值为0.6;在本轮上涨周内,看涨期权倾向反而进一步加剧,而不是减弱。集中在哪些行权价:96.6%的看涨期权成交量高于本周$194.51的开盘价,而股票本周开盘时尚未触及这一价格区间。到期日是什么时候:34.9%的成交量集中在周五的周度到期合约中;其中成交最活跃的合约为$210 call, expiry 2026-07-10,周五收盘时股价仅比其行权价高$0.96,距离本周成交最活跃的行权价不到一美元。除周五外,成交最活跃的到期日是07-17,即一个月后的七月月度合约(到期日历;解读这一比例)。
空头数据:本周需加注说明
FINRA的每日文件跟踪标记为空头卖出的成交量。本周有一项文件质量问题,已明确标注,而非隐去。
| D | 卖空股数(百万) | 文件中的NVDA记录数 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | 12.7 | 1 |
| 2026-07-07 | 22.1 | 1 |
| 2026-07-08 | 24.6 | 1 |
| 2026-07-09 | 19.5 | 1 |
| 2026-07-10 | 26.6 | 1 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT toString(date) AS d,
round(sum(short_volume) / 1e6, 1) AS short_shares_m,
count() AS nvda_rows_on_file
FROM global_markets.stocks_short_volume
WHERE ticker = 'NVDA' AND date >= toDate('2026-07-06') AND date <= toDate('2026-07-10')
GROUP BY date
ORDER BY date报告显示,周一的每日空头成交量为12.7百万股,周五为26.6百万股。随着本周美元成交额增加,成交量大致翻倍。实际情况没有听起来那么剧烈:这些文件统计的是标记为空头卖出的交易,主要反映做市商的库存管理。空头持仓与空头成交量可区分这两个概念。需要加注说明的是,7月7日的文件在全市场范围内出现截断,周度回顾已记录这一问题。因此,在文件重新提交前,应将该交易日的数据视为临时数据,NVDA的数据也不例外。本周最近的一次半月度空头持仓数据截至6月30日;补仓天数以退出仓位所需时间来衡量空头头寸。
常见问题
NVDA在2026年7月6日当周表现如何?
NVDA上涨了8.5%。截至7月10日星期五,股价从$194.51升至$210.96,盘中最高触及$211.1,最低下探至$190.6。星期五是表现最强的交易日,涨幅为+4%。
截至7月6日当周结束,NVDA是否创下历史新高?
不是。星期五收于$210.96,较过去一年高点$236.54低10.8%。该高点于2026-05-14创下。
NVDA是否高于关键移动均线?
是。7月10日收盘价较50日均线($209.16)高+0.9%,较200日均线($191.75)高+10%。
NVDA当周的看跌看涨期权比率是多少?这一水平是否异常?
当周每张看涨期权对应0.42张看跌期权。看涨期权交易占比高于NVDA过去四周的0.6。周五到期的周度期权合约占比为34.9%。
本周NVDA是否跟随芯片板块其他股票走势?
大多没有。与AMD、MU、INTC和TSM相比,NVDA是周二大跌中唯一收涨的股票(上涨+0.7%,AMD下跌-6.4%),也是周四反弹中唯一收跌的股票(下跌-0.7%,AMD上涨+5.7%)。
数据说明
- 时间窗口与时区。 时间戳以 UTC 存储;常规交易时段为 ET 第 810–1199 分钟区间(纽约时间上午 9:30 至下午 4:00)。前一交易日收盘价为 7 月 2 日星期四的收盘价(7 月 3 日为市场假日)。
- 排行榜排除规则。 成交额排行榜严格按照既定规则排除一个 ticker:供应商数据源将某一代码分配给两家不同公司,该证券的深度分析附有身份核验记录。除此之外不排除任何标的。
- 同业篮子。 这是一个预先定义的篮子,包含 AMD、MU、INTC 和 TSM(台积电 ADR)等交易活跃、在美国上市的芯片股,并非供应商的行业分类。
- 移动平均线。 以截至 7 月 10 日的最近五十个和最近两百个常规交易时段收盘价计算简单移动平均线;过去一年的极值使用常规交易时段的最高价和最低价。
- 新闻数据源。 数据来自一个聚合新闻源的标签,并不代表全球媒体的整体情况。由于数据仓库中没有获得授权的财报日历数据集,本文不作任何未来财报发布日期的判断。
- OCC 解析。 期权 ticker 按位置解析(根代码为 O:NVDA;行权价位于末八位数字中)。有关位置和排序的判断均通过合理性边界进行校验。
方法论
- 数据来源:综合行情带、
delayed_stocks_minute_aggs、stocks_trades+cache_stocks_quotes、options_trades、FINRAstocks_short_volume、交易所报告的stocks_short_interest。 - 确定性聚合:基于稳定键执行
quantileDeterministic;极值采用元组作为并列决胜规则。 - 前期比较:直接根据行情带实时计算,不引用早期文章中的数据;周度基准包含
period_start列,用于覆盖漂移。 - 数据仓库截至日期:2026年7月12日(本周最后一个交易日的 T+2)。
交叉链接:NVDA 2026年6月深度分析,五篇日报可通过本周市场回顾查看;期权术语请参阅DTE 详解。每个面板的 SQL 均可直接在 Strasmore 终端运行。