Strasmore Research
市场回顾 Matt Connor作者: Matt Connor · 更新于 2026-10-06

2026年7月9日市场回顾:开盘跳空后的反转

芯片设备股高开回落,科技巨头低开反弹,市场转为普涨;NVDA逆势收跌。查看盘前跳空、开盘成交与收盘变化的完整数据。

2026年7月9日(星期四)的剧烈波动集中在一分钟内,而这一分钟发生在开盘铃响之前。芯片设备股在盘前交易中已经明显高于周三收盘价,而META则低于周三收盘价-3.16%;9:30的成交确认了这两种走势。此后,市场部分回吐了开盘时的变动:芯片股的跳空涨幅逐渐收窄,META一路收复失地,最终大盘收涨71.5%,创下本周最广泛的上涨行情。NVDA在周二暴跌行情期间一直上涨,但最终收跌。以下所有数字均来自存储查询。

开盘由什么推动

这些跳空并不是在9:30才形成的。美东时间凌晨4:00至9:29期间,盘前交易已经重新定价了这些股票,开盘成交价也落在了这一水平。

查询盘前走势,东部时间4:00–9:29:盘前最后成交价与周三收盘价对比,以及随后开盘价
股票代码前收盘价盘前首根K线(ET)盘前最新价盘前涨跌幅(%)盘前成交股数(千股)跳空幅度(%)开盘价较盘前涨跌幅(%)
KLAC221.0304:00239.88.49357.18.14-0.33
LRCX332.9304:00365.049.64359.69.670.02
META603.0304:00584-3.161463.8-3.160
NVDA204.1404:00204.460.163741.70.160
QQQ711.304:00718.320.991652.70.990
SPY745.3104:00747.380.28814.80.270
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    ticker,
    round(prior_close, 2) AS prior_close,
    formatDateTime(first_pm_bar, '%H:%i') AS first_premkt_bar_et,
    round(premkt_last, 2) AS premkt_last,
    round((premkt_last / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS premkt_pct,
    round(premkt_shares / 1e3, 1) AS premkt_shares_k,
    round((day_open / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS gap_pct,
    round((day_open / premkt_last - 1) * 100, 2) AS open_vs_premkt_pct
FROM (
    SELECT
        ticker,
        toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00')) AS prior_close,
        minIf(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'), window_start >= '2026-07-09 08:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 13:30:00') AS first_pm_bar,
        toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 08:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 13:30:00')) AS premkt_last,
        sumIf(toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-09 08:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 13:30:00') AS premkt_shares,
        toFloat64(argMinIf(open, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00')) AS day_open
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'KLAC', 'LRCX', 'META', 'NVDA')
      AND ((window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00')
        OR (window_start >= '2026-07-09 08:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'))
    GROUP BY ticker
)
ORDER BY ticker
自己运行这个查询

KLAC盘前最后一笔成交价较周三收盘上涨+8.49%,开盘上涨+8.14%;LRCX盘前上涨+9.64%,开盘上涨+9.67%;META盘前成交价为-3.16%,开盘为-3.16%。参见open_vs_premkt_pct:六只股票的开盘价均在盘前最后成交价上下1%以内。NVDA是例外,隔夜上涨0.16%,成交量为3741.7k股,是六只股票中盘前成交量最大、涨幅最小的一只(盘前交易与盘后交易)。

是否存在催化剂?我们的数据未发现

市场回顾应说明股价为何变动。但在这里,我们的表格没有给出任何原因:对于跳空幅度最大的四只股票,新闻源和SEC文件索引均为空。

查询已记录催化剂:各标的新闻文章和SEC文件,从周三收盘至周四
股票代码隔夜文章数时段文章数SEC文件数8-K文件数
AMD1200
KLAC0000
LRCX0000
META4710
MSFT6500
MU6600
NVDA7900
TER0000
WDC0000
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    ticker,
    toUInt32(sum(overnight_articles)) AS overnight_articles,
    toUInt32(sum(session_articles)) AS session_articles,
    toUInt32(sum(sec_filings)) AS sec_filings,
    toUInt32(sum(filings_8k)) AS filings_8k
FROM (
    SELECT
        arrayJoin(['AMD', 'KLAC', 'LRCX', 'META', 'MSFT', 'MU', 'NVDA', 'TER', 'WDC']) AS ticker,
        toUInt64(0) AS overnight_articles, toUInt64(0) AS session_articles,
        toUInt64(0) AS sec_filings, toUInt64(0) AS filings_8k
    UNION ALL
    SELECT
        arrayJoin(tickers) AS ticker,
        countIf(published_utc < '2026-07-09 13:30:00') AS overnight_articles,
        countIf(published_utc >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00') AS session_articles,
        toUInt64(0) AS sec_filings, toUInt64(0) AS filings_8k
    FROM global_markets.stocks_news
    WHERE published_utc >= '2026-07-08 20:00:00' AND published_utc < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
    GROUP BY ticker
    UNION ALL
    SELECT
        ticker, toUInt64(0), toUInt64(0),
        count() AS sec_filings,
        countIf(form_type = '8-K') AS filings_8k
    FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index
    WHERE filing_date >= '2026-07-08' AND filing_date <= '2026-07-09'
    GROUP BY ticker
)
WHERE ticker IN ('AMD', 'KLAC', 'LRCX', 'META', 'MSFT', 'MU', 'NVDA', 'TER', 'WDC')
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY ticker
自己运行这个查询

KLAC的0篇隔夜文章、0篇盘中文章和0份SEC文件均为空;LRCX、TER和WDC也显示相同的空白记录。NVDA从未出现跳空,却是九只股票中获得报道最多的股票(7篇隔夜文章、9篇盘中文章),最终收跌。这只代表一个信息源的关注度,并不代表全球媒体的报道情况;记录为空也不能证明没有发生事件。但我们的数据没有指出任何原因,而“原因不明”本身就是完整答案。

盘面排名

每一项变化都比较7月9日常规交易时段最后一分钟K线与周三数据;各行按字母顺序排列,因此每只ETF的位置固定。

查询SPY / QQQ / DIA / IWM:7月9日与7月8日收盘价对比,常规交易时段
股票代码前收盘价日开盘价日收盘价跳空幅度(%)日内涨跌幅(%)涨跌幅(%)日最高价日最低价成交股数(百万股)
DIA522.72523.65524.220.180.110.29525.15522.142.7
IWM293.47295.27297.260.610.671.29297.88294.914.4
QQQ711.3718.33723.190.990.681.67724.23715.1227.8
SPY745.31747.35751.640.270.570.85751.97745.5932.5
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH prior AS (
    SELECT ticker, argMax(close, window_start) AS prior_close
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'DIA', 'IWM')
      AND window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00'
    GROUP BY ticker
),
sess AS (
    SELECT ticker,
           argMin(open, window_start) AS day_open,
           argMax(close, window_start) AS day_close,
           max(high) AS day_high,
           min(low) AS day_low,
           round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_traded_m
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'DIA', 'IWM')
      AND window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
    GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
    s.ticker AS ticker,
    round(toFloat64(p.prior_close), 2) AS prior_close,
    round(toFloat64(s.day_open), 2) AS day_open,
    round(toFloat64(s.day_close), 2) AS day_close,
    round((toFloat64(s.day_open) / toFloat64(p.prior_close) - 1) * 100, 2) AS gap_pct,
    round((toFloat64(s.day_close) / toFloat64(s.day_open) - 1) * 100, 2) AS intraday_pct,
    round((toFloat64(s.day_close) / toFloat64(p.prior_close) - 1) * 100, 2) AS pct_change,
    round(toFloat64(s.day_high), 2) AS day_high,
    round(toFloat64(s.day_low), 2) AS day_low,
    s.shares_traded_m
FROM sess s LEFT JOIN prior p ON s.ticker = p.ticker
ORDER BY ticker
自己运行这个查询

四只ETF均收涨。QQQ领涨,涨幅为+1.67%;增幅为+0.99%,涨幅为+0.68%。小盘股ETF IWM上涨+1.29%,SPY上涨+0.85%至$751.64,DIA涨幅最低,为+0.29%。成长股领涨,道指落后。

这一天是否异常?

从指数层面看,并不异常:按收盘价较前一交易日收盘价的变动幅度计算,QQQ的+1.67%排名为过去21个交易日中的第10位;SPY的开盘至收盘表现排名为22个交易日中的第8位。当天的剧烈波动主要发生在各板块之间。

查询SPY / QQQ日内涨跌幅的近期背景(约22个交易日)
QQQ收盘至收盘涨跌幅(%)QQQ绝对波动排名QQQ比较时段数SPY开盘至收盘涨跌幅(%)SPY绝对波动排名SPY比较时段数首个时段
1.6710210.578222026-06-08
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    round(anyIf(cc_pct, ticker = 'QQQ' AND d = toDate('2026-07-09')), 2) AS qqq_close_over_close_pct,
    arrayCount(x -> x > abs(anyIf(cc_pct, ticker = 'QQQ' AND d = toDate('2026-07-09'))), groupArrayIf(abs(cc_pct), ticker = 'QQQ' AND d != toDate('2026-07-09'))) + 1 AS qqq_abs_move_rank,
    countIf(ticker = 'QQQ' AND isFinite(cc_pct)) AS qqq_sessions_compared,
    round(anyIf(oc_pct, ticker = 'SPY' AND d = toDate('2026-07-09')), 2) AS spy_open_to_close_pct,
    arrayCount(x -> x > abs(anyIf(oc_pct, ticker = 'SPY' AND d = toDate('2026-07-09'))), groupArrayIf(abs(oc_pct), ticker = 'SPY' AND d != toDate('2026-07-09'))) + 1 AS spy_abs_move_rank,
    countIf(ticker = 'SPY') AS spy_sessions_compared,
    toString(min(d)) AS first_session
FROM (
    SELECT ticker, d,
           if(isFinite(close_px / lagInFrame(close_px) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY d) - 1),
              (close_px / lagInFrame(close_px) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY d) - 1) * 100, NULL) AS cc_pct,
           oc_pct
    FROM (
        SELECT ticker, toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
               argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS close_px,
               (argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100 AS oc_pct
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ')
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-08 13:30:00')
          AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00')
          AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
        GROUP BY ticker, d
    )
)
自己运行这个查询

本周最广的交易日

查询流动性成交广度:7月9日上涨股占比与7月8日对比,成交额$1M筛选
上涨股数下跌股数平盘股数高流动性股票代码数两个时段均交易的股票数因流动性筛选剔除数上涨股占比(%)7月8日上涨股占比(%)
4263163172596611351538571.529.6
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    countIf(close_9 > close_8 AND close_8 > 0 AND dv_9 >= 1000000) AS advancers,
    countIf(close_9 < close_8 AND close_8 > 0 AND dv_9 >= 1000000) AS decliners,
    countIf(close_9 = close_8 AND close_8 > 0 AND dv_9 >= 1000000) AS unchanged,
    countIf(close_8 > 0 AND close_9 > 0 AND dv_9 >= 1000000) AS liquid_tickers,
    countIf(close_8 > 0 AND close_9 > 0) AS traded_both_sessions,
    countIf(close_8 > 0 AND close_9 > 0) - countIf(close_8 > 0 AND close_9 > 0 AND dv_9 >= 1000000) AS dropped_by_liquidity_filter,
    round(100.0 * countIf(close_9 > close_8 AND close_8 > 0 AND dv_9 >= 1000000) / countIf(close_8 > 0 AND close_9 > 0 AND dv_9 >= 1000000), 1) AS advancer_pct,
    round(100.0 * countIf(close_8 > close_7 AND close_7 > 0 AND dv_8 >= 1000000) / countIf(close_8 > 0 AND close_7 > 0 AND dv_8 >= 1000000), 1) AS jul8_advancer_pct
FROM (
    SELECT ticker,
           toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-07 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-07 20:00:00')) AS close_7,
           toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00')) AS close_8,
           toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00')) AS close_9,
           sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00') AS dv_9,
           sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00') AS dv_8
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-07 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
    GROUP BY ticker
)
自己运行这个查询

4263只股票上涨,1631只股票下跌,上涨股占比为71.5%;周三这一比例为29.6%。计算方法相同,仍使用成交额达到100万美元的筛选条件(5385只股票低于11351)。

查询本周迄今:每个已完成交易日的指数涨跌幅和上涨股占比
日期SPY涨跌幅QQQ涨跌幅上涨股占比(%)高流动性股票
2026-07-060.871.3962.46189
2026-07-07-0.48-1.8233.96189
2026-07-08-0.310.2529.66162
2026-07-090.851.6771.45973
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH per_day AS (
    SELECT ticker,
           toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
           argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS c,
           sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) AS dv
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-02 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
      AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
    GROUP BY ticker, d
),
lagged AS (
    SELECT ticker, d, c, dv,
           lagInFrame(c) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY d) AS prev_c
    FROM per_day
)
SELECT
    toString(d) AS date,
    round(anyIf((c / prev_c - 1) * 100, ticker = 'SPY'), 2) AS spy_pct,
    round(anyIf((c / prev_c - 1) * 100, ticker = 'QQQ'), 2) AS qqq_pct,
    round(100.0 * countIf(c > prev_c AND prev_c > 0 AND dv >= 1000000) / countIf(c > 0 AND prev_c > 0 AND dv >= 1000000), 1) AS advancer_pct,
    countIf(c > 0 AND prev_c > 0 AND dv >= 1000000) AS liquid_names
FROM lagged
WHERE d >= toDate('2026-07-06')
GROUP BY d
ORDER BY d
自己运行这个查询

周一上涨股数量为62.4%,周二和周三分别降至33.9%和29.6%。周四的71.4%是本周已完成四个交易日中的最高值(7月10日周五晚于本次回顾时间)。QQQ也呈现相同走势:周二-1.82%,周三0.25%,周四+1.67%。

芯片之外:市场其他板块如何交易

市场广度数据显示,大多数股票上涨,但这并不意味着涨势均衡。下图为每个板块选取三只流动性较高的股票构成的等权组合。每天使用相同的预先确定组合。

查询八个指定行业篮子,每篮三只:7月9日收盘价较前收盘价变化,等权重
板块股票平均涨跌幅最差股票涨跌幅最佳股票涨跌幅与最佳板块差距
Semiconductors34.243.25.680
Financials31.881.462.61-2.36
Industrials30.42-11.4-3.82
Healthcare30.22-1.621.41-4.02
Big tech30.17-0.760.93-4.07
Staples3-0.91-1.04-0.75-5.15
Utilities3-0.96-1.28-0.41-5.21
Energy3-2.01-2.54-1.06-6.25
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    sector,
    count() AS names,
    round(avg(pct_chg), 2) AS avg_pct_chg,
    round(min(pct_chg), 2) AS worst_name_pct,
    round(max(pct_chg), 2) AS best_name_pct,
    round(avg(pct_chg) - max(avg(pct_chg)) OVER (), 2) AS gap_to_best_sector_pct
FROM (
    SELECT
        ticker,
        multiIf(ticker IN ('AMD', 'AVGO', 'KLAC'), 'Semiconductors',
                ticker IN ('AAPL', 'MSFT', 'GOOGL'), 'Big tech',
                ticker IN ('JPM', 'BAC', 'GS'), 'Financials',
                ticker IN ('CAT', 'HON', 'GE'), 'Industrials',
                ticker IN ('XOM', 'CVX', 'COP'), 'Energy',
                ticker IN ('JNJ', 'UNH', 'PFE'), 'Healthcare',
                ticker IN ('KO', 'PG', 'WMT'), 'Staples',
                'Utilities') AS sector,
        (toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'))
         / toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00')) - 1) * 100 AS pct_chg
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker IN ('AMD', 'AVGO', 'KLAC', 'AAPL', 'MSFT', 'GOOGL', 'JPM', 'BAC', 'GS', 'CAT', 'HON', 'GE',
                     'XOM', 'CVX', 'COP', 'JNJ', 'UNH', 'PFE', 'KO', 'PG', 'WMT', 'NEE', 'DUK', 'SO')
      AND window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
    GROUP BY ticker
)
GROUP BY sector
ORDER BY avg_pct_chg DESC
自己运行这个查询

Semiconductors以+4.24%领涨,Energy以-2.01%垫底,板块间价差为-6.25个百分点(gap_to_best_sector_pct)。金融板块是除芯片板块外表现最强的组合,涨幅为+1.88%;必需消费品(-0.91%)、公用事业(-0.96%)和能源板块收跌。大型科技股(AAPL、MSFT和GOOGL)平均仅上涨+0.17%。当日最大的一次开盘至收盘反转来自META,波动幅度为+8.1%,但META不属于这八个组合中的任何一个;在本组合内部,MSFT从-2.25%开盘到+0.33%收盘的走势,反转幅度最为明显。

半导体板块的开盘与随后回吐

gap_pct表示相对周三收盘价的开盘表现;intraday_pct表示当天剩余时段的表现。各行按字母顺序排列。

查询14只芯片股:7月9日开盘跳空幅度与日内其余时段表现
股票代码前收盘价日开盘价日收盘价跳空幅度(%)日内涨跌幅(%)涨跌幅日美元成交额(十亿)
AMD517.26537.26546.663.871.755.6812.15
AVGO388.67402.19401.113.48-0.273.28.34
INTC110.27114.87112.554.17-2.022.079.21
KLAC221.03239.02229.518.14-3.983.842.29
LRCX332.93365.13353.249.67-3.266.13.36
MRVL231.66246.18243.336.27-1.165.044.04
MU949.371016.51990.57.07-2.564.3333.56
NVDA204.14204.46202.760.16-0.83-0.6821.28
SNDK1729.41835.611858.266.141.237.4520.59
SOXL174.84199.81192.4414.28-3.6910.077.8
SOXS4.523.874.07-14.385.17-9.962.18
STX859.68922.28889.797.28-3.523.53.64
TER351.56379.24362.877.87-4.323.220.95
WDC550.71594.14578.327.89-2.665.013.27
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH per_name AS (
    SELECT
        ticker,
        toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-09 00:00:00')) AS prior_close,
        toFloat64(argMinIf(open, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00')) AS day_open,
        toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00')) AS day_close,
        maxIf(toFloat64(high), window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00') AS day_high,
        minIf(toFloat64(low), window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00') AS day_low,
        round(sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00') / 1e9, 2) AS day_dollar_bn
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker IN ('AMD', 'AVGO', 'INTC', 'KLAC', 'LRCX', 'MRVL', 'MU', 'NVDA', 'SNDK', 'SOXL', 'SOXS', 'STX', 'TER', 'WDC')
      AND ((window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00')
        OR (window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'))
    GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
    ticker,
    round(prior_close, 2) AS prior_close,
    round(day_open, 2) AS day_open,
    round(day_close, 2) AS day_close,
    round((day_open / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS gap_pct,
    round((day_close / day_open - 1) * 100, 2) AS intraday_pct,
    round((day_close / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS pct_chg,
    day_dollar_bn
FROM per_name
ORDER BY ticker
自己运行这个查询

KLAC较周三收盘价高开+8.14%,随后回吐-3.98%;LRCX高开+9.67%,随后回落-3.26%;TER(+7.87%)和WDC(+7.89%)也呈现相同走势。MU跳空高开+7.07%,下滑-2.56%,但仍收涨+4.33%。在33.56B中,该股连续第二个交易日成为成交最活跃的个股(周三复盘介绍了第一次)。AMD和SNDK是例外:AMD在高开+3.87%后又上涨1.75%,最终收涨+5.68%;SNDK开盘时已上涨+6.14%,随后再涨1.23%,最终收涨+7.45%。还有NVDA:高开+0.16%,没有跳空,最终收涨-0.68%。

查询成交记录:14只股票7月9日涨跌数量,以及NVDA两日转向
7月9日上涨7月9日下跌7月8日上涨NVDA 7月9日涨跌幅NVDA 7月8日涨跌幅统计股票数
12212-0.683.6614
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    countIf(close_9 > close_8) AS jul9_green,
    countIf(close_9 < close_8) AS jul9_red,
    countIf(close_8 > close_7) AS jul8_green,
    round(anyIf((close_9 / close_8 - 1) * 100, ticker = 'NVDA'), 2) AS nvda_jul9_pct,
    round(anyIf((close_8 / close_7 - 1) * 100, ticker = 'NVDA'), 2) AS nvda_jul8_pct,
    count() AS names_counted
FROM (
    SELECT ticker,
           toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-07 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-07 20:00:00')) AS close_7,
           toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00')) AS close_8,
           toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00')) AS close_9
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker IN ('AMD', 'AVGO', 'INTC', 'KLAC', 'LRCX', 'MRVL', 'MU', 'NVDA', 'SNDK', 'SOXL', 'SOXS', 'STX', 'TER', 'WDC')
      AND window_start >= '2026-07-07 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
    GROUP BY ticker
)
自己运行这个查询

十四只股票中有12只收涨;2只收跌,走势与上述相反。在上涨日出现这种结构性表现,且NVDA收于-0.68%;就在前一天,该股收涨+3.66%。该板块成交量最大的芯片股没有参与板块行情,却承受了最密集的新闻报道。

另一面:超大市值股低开后回升

查询八只超大盘股和防御股:7月9日开盘跳空幅度与日内其余时段表现
股票代码前收盘价日开盘价日收盘价跳空幅度(%)日内涨跌幅(%)涨跌幅日美元成交额(十亿)
AAPL313.26310.51316.17-0.881.820.9311.14
AMZN243.55239.82246.95-1.532.971.46.79
CVX175.92174.63174.05-0.73-0.33-1.060.91
GOOGL361.64354.31358.89-2.031.29-0.766.75
JNJ263.36260.63259.1-1.04-0.59-1.621.25
META603.03583.99631.31-3.168.14.6912.69
MSFT383.05374.45384.33-2.252.640.338.27
TSLA393.92393.99406.560.023.193.2112.67
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH per_name AS (
    SELECT
        ticker,
        toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-09 00:00:00')) AS prior_close,
        toFloat64(argMinIf(open, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00')) AS day_open,
        toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00')) AS day_close,
        round(sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00') / 1e9, 2) AS day_dollar_bn
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker IN ('AAPL', 'AMZN', 'CVX', 'GOOGL', 'JNJ', 'META', 'MSFT', 'TSLA')
      AND ((window_start >= '2026-07-08 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 20:00:00')
        OR (window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'))
    GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
    ticker,
    round(prior_close, 2) AS prior_close,
    round(day_open, 2) AS day_open,
    round(day_close, 2) AS day_close,
    round((day_open / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS gap_pct,
    round((day_close / day_open - 1) * 100, 2) AS intraday_pct,
    round((day_close / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS pct_chg,
    day_dollar_bn
FROM per_name
ORDER BY ticker
自己运行这个查询

八只股票中有七只低于周三收盘价开盘,随后走势各不相同。META低开-3.16%,随后上涨+8.1%,最终收涨4.69%,是本文中开盘至收盘反转幅度最大的股票。MSFT低开-2.25%,随后回升至+0.33%;AMZN(+1.4%)和AAPL(+0.93%)也走出了类似走势;TSLA没有出现跳空,随后上涨至+3.21%。维持下跌的股票并非成长股:GOOGL(-0.76%)、CVX(-1.06%)和JNJ(-1.62%)。股票为何会隔夜跳空介绍了其中的运行机制。

成交资金流向

查询成交额前6名、成交股数前4名:7月9日常规交易时段
排行榜股票代码美元成交量(十亿)股数(百万)隐含平均价格占榜首比例
by dollars tradedMU33.5633.11013.9100
by dollars tradedSPY24.3732.5749.8572.6
by dollars tradedNVDA21.28105.3202.0963.4
by dollars tradedSNDK20.59111871.8261.4
by dollars tradedQQQ20.0427.8720.8659.7
by dollars tradedMETA12.6920.8610.137.8
by shares tradedSOXS2.18558.13.91100
by shares tradedBITO2.79326.28.5558.4
by shares tradedTZA0.651643.9629.4
by shares tradedSNDQ0.34137.42.4724.6
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT leaderboard, ticker, dollar_volume_bn, shares_m,
    round(1000 * dollar_volume_bn / shares_m, 2) AS implied_avg_price,
    round(100 * if(leaderboard = 'by dollars traded', dollar_volume_bn, shares_m)
        / max(if(leaderboard = 'by dollars traded', dollar_volume_bn, shares_m)) OVER (PARTITION BY leaderboard), 1) AS pct_of_board_leader
FROM (
    SELECT
        'by dollars traded' AS leaderboard,
        ticker,
        round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS dollar_volume_bn,
        round(sum(toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
      AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
    GROUP BY ticker
    ORDER BY dollar_volume_bn DESC
    LIMIT 6
    UNION ALL
    SELECT
        'by shares traded' AS leaderboard,
        ticker,
        round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS dollar_volume_bn,
        round(sum(toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
      AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
    GROUP BY ticker
    ORDER BY shares_m DESC
    LIMIT 4
)
ORDER BY leaderboard, pct_of_board_leader DESC
自己运行这个查询

MU 再次位居成交额榜首,达到 33.56B,高于 SPY(24.37B)、NVDA(21.28B)和 SNDK(20.59B);前四名中有两只是存储器相关股票。成交股数榜则呈现不同格局:SOXS 以 558.1M 股居首,隐含价格为 $3.91(相对成交量)。

查询东部时间每30分钟成交股数,常规交易时段;最后一档含收盘竞价成交,并标注其占当日最大时段的百分比
美东时间股数(十亿)占最大分组比例
09:301.7958.3
10:001.445.4
10:301.0935.5
11:000.9530.9
11:300.8226.7
12:000.7524.3
12:300.6420.9
13:000.6420.9
13:300.6621.5
14:000.7123
14:300.7424.1
15:000.8427.5
15:303.07100
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    et_time,
    round(sum(shares) / 1e9, 2) AS shares_bn,
    round(100 * sum(shares) / max(sum(shares)) OVER (), 1) AS pct_of_biggest_bucket
FROM
(
    SELECT
        formatDateTime(toStartOfInterval(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'), INTERVAL 30 MINUTE), '%H:%i') AS et_time,
        toFloat64(volume) AS shares
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
    UNION ALL
    SELECT
        '15:30' AS et_time,
        toFloat64(size) AS shares
    FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
    WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 20:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-09 20:15:00'
      AND has(conditions, 8)
)
GROUP BY et_time
ORDER BY et_time
自己运行这个查询

成交量走势呈标准的 U 形:开盘时段成交量为 1.79B 股,相当于最大成交量的 58.3%;午盘低点为 0.64B;收盘竞价半小时成交量则创下全日最高,达到 3.07B。即使当天的行情在开盘时段就已基本形成,成交量最终仍集中在收盘时段。

期权成交明细

查询期权成交:成交笔数、合约数、看涨期权占比、0DTE占比与周三对比、最大合约
期权成交笔数(百万)合约数(百万)7月8日合约数(百万)看涨期权成交量占比0DTE占比7月8日0DTE占比SPY常规收盘价第1标的第1行权价第1类型第1合约数(千)第1平均价格第1是否为0DTE第2标的第2行权价第2类型第2是否为0DTE第3标的第3行权价第3类型第3是否为0DTE第1实值程度
9.9958.8563.265828.738.7751.64SPY751C846.60.5261SPY752C1SPY750C1-0.64
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
    (
        SELECT (groupArray(und), groupArray(strike), groupArray(typ), groupArray(vol), groupArray(avg_px), groupArray(is_0dte))
        FROM (
            SELECT any(underlying_symbol) AS und, any(toFloat64(strike_price)) AS strike, any(option_type) AS typ,
                   sum(size) AS vol, round(avg(toFloat64(price)), 3) AS avg_px,
                   if(substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260709', 1, 0) AS is_0dte
            FROM global_markets.options_trades
            WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00'
            GROUP BY ticker
            ORDER BY vol DESC
            LIMIT 3
        )
    ) AS top3,
    (
        SELECT round(toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)), 2)
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
    ) AS spy_regular_close,
    (
        SELECT round(toFloat64(sum(size)) / 1e6, 2)
        FROM global_markets.options_trades
        WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-08 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-09 00:00:00'
    ) AS jul8_contracts_m,
    (
        SELECT round(100.0 * sumIf(size, substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260708') / sum(size), 1)
        FROM global_markets.options_trades
        WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-08 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-09 00:00:00'
    ) AS jul8_pct_0dte
SELECT
    round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS option_prints_m,
    round(toFloat64(sum(size)) / 1e6, 2) AS contracts_m,
    jul8_contracts_m,
    round(100.0 * sumIf(size, option_type = 'C') / sum(size), 1) AS call_pct_of_volume,
    round(100.0 * sumIf(size, substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260709') / sum(size), 1) AS pct_0dte,
    jul8_pct_0dte,
    spy_regular_close,
    top3.1[1] AS top1_und, top3.2[1] AS top1_strike, top3.3[1] AS top1_type,
    round(toFloat64(top3.4[1]) / 1e3, 1) AS top1_contracts_k, top3.5[1] AS top1_avg_px, top3.6[1] AS top1_is_0dte,
    top3.1[2] AS top2_und, top3.2[2] AS top2_strike, top3.3[2] AS top2_type, top3.6[2] AS top2_is_0dte,
    top3.1[3] AS top3_und, top3.2[3] AS top3_strike, top3.3[3] AS top3_type, top3.6[3] AS top3_is_0dte,
    round(toFloat64(top3.2[1]) - spy_regular_close, 2) AS top1_moneyness
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00'
自己运行这个查询

成交明细显示,成交量为 9.99M 笔,涉及 58.85M 张合约。周三,63.26M 张看涨期权占成交量的 58%,0DTE期权占比降至 28.7%,低于 38.7%。成交最活跃的三个合约均为当日到期的 SPY 看涨期权,分别是 751C(846.6K 张,平均价格为 $0.526)、752C 和 750C。这些合约围绕 SPY 的 $751.64 收盘价分布,形成一组梯式行权价(0DTE期权介绍了这一产品)。

是对冲还是押注?对冲通常买入偏离平值的行权价;押注则买入自己看好的方向。

查询SPY当日到期(0DTE)期权:按距收盘价的行权价距离统计合约数
行权价区间看涨合约数(千)看跌合约数(千)看涨占比
Strike >2% below close1.8146.81.2
Strike 0.5-2% below255.41356.515.8
Strike within 0.5%3768.92563.359.5
Strike 0.5-2% above29.12.791.6
Strike >2% above close0.30.349
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH (
    SELECT toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start))
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
) AS spy_close
SELECT
    multiIf(dist < -2, 'Strike >2% below close',
            dist < -0.5, 'Strike 0.5-2% below',
            dist <= 0.5, 'Strike within 0.5%',
            dist <= 2, 'Strike 0.5-2% above',
            'Strike >2% above close') AS strike_bucket,
    round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, option_type = 'C')) / 1e3, 1) AS call_contracts_k,
    round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, option_type = 'P')) / 1e3, 1) AS put_contracts_k,
    round(100.0 * sumIf(size, option_type = 'C') / sum(size), 1) AS call_share_pct
FROM (
    SELECT option_type, size, (toFloat64(strike_price) / spy_close - 1) * 100 AS dist
    FROM global_markets.options_trades
    WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00'
      AND underlying_symbol = 'SPY'
      AND substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260709'
)
GROUP BY strike_bucket
ORDER BY min(dist)
自己运行这个查询

当日到期合约的成交集中在平值附近:距离收盘价半个百分点以内的看涨期权成交量为 3768.9k 张,看跌期权为 2563.3k 张,其中看涨期权占 59.5%。在更远的虚值区间,方向分化明显。收盘价下方,看跌期权成交量为 1356.5k 张,高于看涨期权的 255.4k 张;在更深的下方区间,看涨期权占比为 1.2%。收盘价上方,看涨期权占成交量 91.6%,对应的总成交量仅为 29.1k 张。翼部成交主要集中在下行方向的行权价,这通常对应保护性买入:市场呈现的是平值梯式布局,而不是上行方向的布局。

报价带

查询股票NBBO更新次数:7月9日与7月8日对比,并列出指定代码更新次数(百万)
7月9日更新数(百万)7月8日更新数(百万)日环比7月9日SPY更新数(百万)7月9日QQQ更新数(百万)7月9日NVDA更新数(百万)7月9日TSLA更新数(百万)7月9日MU更新数(百万)
383.44530.55-27.72.714.351.830.460.72
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    round(countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-09')) / 1e6, 2) AS jul9_updates_m,
    round(countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-08')) / 1e6, 2) AS jul8_updates_m,
    round((countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-09')) / countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-08')) - 1) * 100, 1) AS day_over_day_pct,
    round(countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-09') AND ticker = 'SPY') / 1e6, 2) AS jul9_spy_updates_m,
    round(countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-09') AND ticker = 'QQQ') / 1e6, 2) AS jul9_qqq_updates_m,
    round(countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-09') AND ticker = 'NVDA') / 1e6, 2) AS jul9_nvda_updates_m,
    round(countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-09') AND ticker = 'TSLA') / 1e6, 2) AS jul9_tsla_updates_m,
    round(countIf(toDate(sip_timestamp) = toDate('2026-07-09') AND ticker = 'MU') / 1e6, 2) AS jul9_mu_updates_m
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-08 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00'
自己运行这个查询

当天最平静的事实是:股票报价带上有 383.44M 次 NBBO 更新,较周三为 -27.7%。剧烈波动体现在价格水平,而不是买卖盘最优价位的频繁变动。列出的股票中,QQQ以 4.35M 次更新居首,高于 SPY 的 2.71M 次和 NVDA 的 1.83M 次。

查询SPY / QQQ / NVDA / TSLA / MU / SNDK / AVGO:常规交易时段报价中位价差(基点)
股票代码价差中位数(基点)
SPY0.27
QQQ0.42
NVDA0.99
TSLA2.27
AVGO3.06
MU4.23
SNDK8.79
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    ticker,
    round(quantileExact(0.5)((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2) * 10000), 2) AS median_spread_bps
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'NVDA', 'TSLA', 'MU', 'SNDK', 'AVGO')
  AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-09 20:00:00'
  AND bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY median_spread_bps ASC
自己运行这个查询

SPY报价价差的中位数为 0.27 个基点,QQQ为 0.42,NVDA为 0.99,均属正常水平。价差较大的股票包括 MU,为 4.23 个基点;SNDK为 8.79 个基点(买卖价差就是该指标衡量的成本)。

查询SPY常规交易时段平均报价价差的近月背景
7月9日平均价差(美分)价差紧密度排名比较的交易时段最窄时段价差(美分)最宽时段价差(美分)首个时段
2.07110221.8092.8652026-06-08
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    round(anyIf(avg_spread_cents, d = toDate('2026-07-09')), 3) AS jul9_avg_spread_cents,
    arrayCount(x -> x < anyIf(avg_spread_cents, d = toDate('2026-07-09')), groupArrayIf(avg_spread_cents, d != toDate('2026-07-09'))) + 1 AS tightness_rank,
    count() AS sessions_compared,
    round(min(avg_spread_cents), 3) AS tightest_session_cents,
    round(max(avg_spread_cents), 3) AS widest_session_cents,
    toString(min(d)) AS first_session
FROM (
    SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
           avgIf(toFloat64(ask_price - bid_price), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price) * 100 AS avg_spread_cents
    FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
    WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
      AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime('2026-06-08 00:00:00')
      AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime('2026-07-10 00:00:00')
      AND (toHour(sip_timestamp) * 60 + toMinute(sip_timestamp)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
    GROUP BY d
)
自己运行这个查询

SPY的平均报价价差为 2.071 美分,在过去 22 个交易日中排名 10,处于 1.809至2.865 美分的区间内:即使开盘时也没有报价压力。

查询期权NBBO行情:总更新次数与股票行情对比,另含SPY代码切片
7月9日期权(十亿)期权与股票比率7月9日SPY期权(百万)
6.918242
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.cache_options_quotes WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00') AS jul9_options_rows,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00') AS jul9_stock_quote_rows
SELECT
    round(jul9_options_rows / 1e9, 2) AS jul9_options_bn,
    round(jul9_options_rows / jul9_stock_quote_rows, 1) AS options_to_stock_ratio,
    round((SELECT count() FROM global_markets.cache_options_quotes WHERE ticker >= 'O:SPY26' AND ticker < 'O:SPY27' AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-09 20:00:00') / 1e6, 0) AS jul9_spy_options_m
自己运行这个查询

期权报价带记录了 6.9 billion 次NBBO更新,是股票报价带的 18 倍;仅SPY代码就有 242M 次。

利率:7月9日成交数据

查询国债成交记录状态:记录中的7月9日数据,以及7月8日收益率曲线(撰写时最新)
7月9日成交记录行数最新成交记录日期最新2年期(%)最新10年期(%)最新30年期(%)最新2s10s(%)
12026-07-094.164.545.050.38
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.treasury_yields WHERE date = '2026-07-09') AS jul9_print_rows,
    toString(any(date)) AS latest_print_date,
    round(toFloat64(any(yield_2_year)), 2) AS latest_2y_pct,
    round(toFloat64(any(yield_10_year)), 2) AS latest_10y_pct,
    round(toFloat64(any(yield_30_year)), 2) AS latest_30y_pct,
    round(toFloat64(any(yield_10_year)) - toFloat64(any(yield_2_year)), 2) AS latest_2s10s_pct
FROM global_markets.treasury_yields
WHERE date = '2026-07-09'
自己运行这个查询

7月9日的美国国债成交数据在本文撰写后发布,按照每日收益率文件通常的滞后安排,1 行现已记录。当天的收益率曲线(2026-07-09):2年期 4.16%,10年期 4.54%,30年期 5.05%,2s10s利差为 0.38 个基点。2年期收益率较7月8日的水平回落,而长端保持稳定。

日历背后的交易日

查询除息、拆股、SEC文件、新闻关注度
除息记录已执行拆股反向拆股正向拆股424B2文件Form 4文件8-K文件文件总数新闻文章新闻发布商头条新闻代码头条新闻数量头条新闻领先下一条头条新闻是否为NVDA
12765160662314929811843NVDA2081
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
    (
        SELECT (count(), uniqExact(publisher))
        FROM global_markets.stocks_news
        WHERE toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = '2026-07-09'
    ) AS news,
    (
        SELECT (argMax(t, (n, t)), max(n), max(n) - arraySort(x -> -x, groupArray(n))[2])
        FROM (
            SELECT t, count() AS n
            FROM (
                SELECT arrayJoin(tickers) AS t
                FROM global_markets.stocks_news
                WHERE toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = '2026-07-09'
            )
            WHERE t != 'SPCX'
            GROUP BY t
        )
    ) AS top_news
SELECT
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-09') AS ex_dividend_records,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date = '2026-07-09') AS splits_executed,
    (SELECT countIf(toFloat64(split_from) > toFloat64(split_to)) FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date = '2026-07-09') AS reverse_splits,
    (SELECT countIf(toFloat64(split_to) > toFloat64(split_from)) FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date = '2026-07-09') AS forward_splits,
    (SELECT countIf(form_type = '424B2') FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = '2026-07-09') AS fil_424b2,
    (SELECT countIf(form_type = '4') FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = '2026-07-09') AS fil_form4,
    (SELECT countIf(form_type = '8-K') FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = '2026-07-09') AS fil_8k,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = '2026-07-09') AS fil_total,
    news.1 AS news_articles, news.2 AS news_publishers,
    top_news.1 AS top_news_ticker, top_news.2 AS top_news_n, top_news.3 AS top_news_lead_over_next,
    if(top_news.1 = 'NVDA', 1, 0) AS top_news_is_nvda
自己运行这个查询

常规日历对应着并不寻常的开盘表现:127 条除息日记录、5 次反向拆股、1 次正向拆股,以及 2981 份SEC申报文件(623 份Form 4、606 份424B2、149 份8-K)。该信息流覆盖184篇文章,涉及3家发布方;报道最多的ticker是 NVDA,共有20篇文章,比下一名多出8篇。

即将开盘

以下是根据我们自有表格整理的下一交易时段事实,不是预测。

查询日程预告:下一交易日、除息安排、SPY到期梯以及卖空权益时钟
下一交易时段日期下一交易时段假日行数下一期除息记录下一期家庭除息SPY下一到期合约(百万)SPY月度到期合约(百万)最新空头结算7月15日空头行数
2026-07-10015301.660.572026-06-150
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    toString(min(d)) AS next_session_date,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_market_holidays WHERE date = '2026-07-10') AS next_session_holiday_rows,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-10') AS ex_div_records_next,
    (SELECT countIf(ticker IN ('AAPL', 'MSFT', 'JNJ', 'KO', 'PG', 'XOM', 'CVX', 'JPM', 'WMT', 'PEP', 'HON', 'CAT'))
     FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-10') AS household_ex_div_next,
    (SELECT round(toFloat64(sum(size)) / 1e6, 2) FROM global_markets.options_trades
     WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00'
       AND underlying_symbol = 'SPY' AND substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260710') AS spy_next_expiry_contracts_m,
    (SELECT round(toFloat64(sum(size)) / 1e6, 2) FROM global_markets.options_trades
     WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-10 00:00:00'
       AND underlying_symbol = 'SPY' AND substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260717') AS spy_monthly_expiry_contracts_m,
    (SELECT toString(max(settlement_date)) FROM global_markets.stocks_short_interest
     WHERE _ingest_time < '2026-07-11 00:00:00') AS latest_short_settlement,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_short_interest
     WHERE settlement_date = '2026-07-15' AND _ingest_time < '2026-07-11 00:00:00') AS jul15_short_rows
FROM (
    SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= '2026-07-10 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-14 00:00:00'
)
自己运行这个查询

下一交易时段是2026-07-10,对应的0个假日记录为:正常交易的周五。当天上午有153家公司除息,其中0家来自我们的知名公司清单。周五 SPY 到期合约中,已交易的远期合约规模最大:7月9日为1.66M张,而7月月度合约为0.57M张。卖空数据时间点:目前记录的最新结算日为2026-06-15;7月中旬的0条记录尚未提交。FINRA通常在结算日后约八个工作日公布数据(为什么卖空数据总是滞后两周)。

已验证的完整交易时段

查询交易时段核验:SPY首根/末根K线东部时间、常规K线数量、假日记录、下一次休市
SPY首根K线(美东时间)SPY末根K线(美东时间)SPY分钟K线常规交易时段K线日交易时段7月9日假日行数下一休市日期下一休市标签下一休市名称
04:0019:59885390102026-09-07September 7, 2026Labor Day
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    formatDateTime(min(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), '%H:%i') AS first_spy_bar_et,
    formatDateTime(max(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), '%H:%i') AS last_spy_bar_et,
    count() AS spy_minute_bars,
    countIf(window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00') AS regular_session_bars,
    uniqExactIf(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), window_start >= '2026-07-09 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-09 20:00:00') AS day_sessions,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_market_holidays WHERE date = '2026-07-09') AS jul9_holiday_rows,
    (SELECT toString(min(date)) FROM global_markets.stocks_market_holidays WHERE date > '2026-07-09' AND status = 'closed') AS next_closure_date,
    (SELECT concat(monthName(min(date)), ' ', toString(toDayOfMonth(min(date))), ', ', toString(toYear(min(date))))
     FROM global_markets.stocks_market_holidays WHERE date > '2026-07-09' AND status = 'closed') AS next_closure_label,
    (SELECT argMin(name, date) FROM global_markets.stocks_market_holidays WHERE date > '2026-07-09' AND status = 'closed') AS next_closure_name
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= '2026-07-09 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-10 00:00:00'
自己运行这个查询

完整的普通交易时段:第一根 SPY 分钟K线为 04:00 ET,最后一根为 19:59 ET,共有 390 根常规分钟K线,不含节假日行。下一次休市:Labor Day,September 7, 2026。

常见问题

2026年7月9日股市发生了什么?

所有指数ETF均收高。QQQ上涨1.67%,IWM上涨1.29%,SPY上涨0.85%,DIA上涨0.29%,71.5%的高流动性股票上涨。芯片设备股跳空高开后回落;超大市值股跳空低开后收复失地。

2026年7月9日,KLAC和LRCX等芯片设备股为何大涨?

我们的数据未显示原因:从周三收盘到周四收盘,KLAC、LRCX、TER或WDC均没有相关文章或SEC文件。此轮上涨在盘前交易时段、美国东部时间上午9:30之前就已被市场定价。

芯片板块上涨时,NVDA为何下跌?

NVDA收跌-0.68%,而14只芯片股中有12收涨。NVDA从未跳空(开盘时为0.16%),也是相关文章覆盖最多的ticker,共有20篇。其共同出现频率创下记录,但原因不在本数据中。

2026年7月9日对市场而言是否异常?

从指数层面看并不异常:QQQ当日涨跌幅按规模计,在过去21个交易日中排名10;SPY的平均价差为10,在过去22个交易日中排名。其下方市场的分化则较为明显:表现最佳与最差行业篮子之间相差-6.25个百分点。

数据说明

常规交易时段为 13:30–20:00 UTC(美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 4:00);盘前面板使用 08:00–13:30 UTC。八个行业篮子经过筛选并采用等权配置,每个篮子包含三个流动性较好的标的;所有 ticker 均列在该面板的 SQL 中。这是明确披露的方法,并非供应商的行业分类:三个标的只能代表自身,不能代表整个行业。催化剂面板仅统计我们的新闻源和 EDGAR 索引。

完整数据说明

各 ticker 面板按字母顺序排列,因此正文中的每处引用都对应固定行;排行榜按数值排序,所有名次表述均限定在相应范围内。美国国债成交记录和 7 月中旬的空头权益结算数据均限定为零行;在这些数据到达前,本帖将保持不变,之后再行改写。

方法

  • 数据来源:每个面板的 SQL 会指定所用数据表,包括分钟级聚合数据、股票和期权 NBBO 缓存、期权交易、新闻源、EDGAR 索引、股息、空头利息、交易日及美国国债收益率。
  • 成交量面板的收盘前半小时包含收盘集合竞价成交记录。 一分钟 K 线不包含任何集合竞价成交记录。因此,半小时面板会将综合行情带上标记为收盘成交条件、时间戳为美东时间下午 4:00 至 4:15 的每笔交易,加总至最后一个时间区间。
  • 约定:WHERE 子句使用原始 UTC 时间字面量,只有 SELECT 中使用美东时间标签;跳空幅度 = 首根常规交易时段 K 线的开盘价 ÷ 前一根常规交易时段 K 线的收盘价 − 1;前一交易时段和前一周的数据均在查询中计算,不从此前发布的文章中沿用。数据仓库截至 2026 年 7 月 13 日。