Strasmore Research
Deep Dives · Matt ConnorBy Matt Connor · · Updated 2026-07-25

SpaceX Nasdaq-100 index add trade analysis

SpaceX iliongezwa kwenye Nasdaq-100 Julai 7, 2026. Makala hii inachambua mnada mkubwa wa kufunga uliotangulia na kukagua namba za Matt Levine dhidi ya tepu yetu ya tiketi.

SpaceX ilijiunga na fahirisi ya Nasdaq-100 Jumanne, Julai 7, 2026 — na biashara kubwa zaidi ya tukio hilo ilichapishwa alasiri ya siku iliyotangulia: hisa 74.94 milioni za SPCX katika chapisho la mnada wa kufunga kwa bei ya $160.42. Matt Levine aliishughulikia katika Money Stuff asubuhi iliyofuata; chapisho hili linakagua namba zake dhidi ya tepu yetu ya tiketi, kisha linaenda mahali ambapo jarida haliwezi — mnada kwa mnada, dakika kwa dakika, SQL chini ya kila paneli.

Uongezaji wa haraka wa fahirisi

Nasdaq iliongeza SpaceX kwenye Nasdaq-100 kuanzia Jumanne, Julai 7, 2026 — chini ya mwezi mmoja baada ya kuanza rasmi Juni 12 uchambuzi wetu wa kina wa mwezi wa kwanza unashughulikia risiti kwa risiti. Mifuko inayofuatilia fahirisi hiyo — takriban dola bilioni 800 za mali, ikijumuisha QQQ ya Invesco, kulingana na ripoti ya Wall Street Journal ambayo Levine anataja — inafanya biashara kwa bei rasmi ya kufunga ya kikao cha mwisho kabla ya mabadiliko kuanza: biashara moja kubwa iliyolingana saa 4:00 jioni kwa saa za Mashariki, mnada wa kufunga.

"Kwa nini mnada wa kufunga wa jana ulikuwa mkubwa mara kumi kuliko kawaida? Hii si siri kubwa." — Matt Levine, Money Stuff (Bloomberg Opinion), Julai 7, 2026

Kanuni moja ya msingi: tunapima kilichochapishwa; hadithi ya utaratibu — nani alinunua, nani alitoa, kwa nini — ni ya Levine na fasihi, ikitajwa popote inapoonekana.

Alama moja, makampuni mawili

SPCX ni alama iliyotumiwa tena, hivyo uthibitishaji unakuja kwanza: ticker hiyo ilifanya biashara kama hazina nyembamba karibu $22 hadi Aprili 2026, ikanyamaza Mei, na ikapewa tena Space Exploration Technologies Corp. katika orodha ya Juni 12. Paneli ya risiti inaweka mpaka huo — 13 baa za dakika katika mwezi wa mwisho wa shughuli wa chombo cha zamani (2026-04), kati ya $21.92 na $23.64; Mei tulivu (5 safu kwa miezi sita ya kalenda); kisha 10960 baa za Juni kati ya $146.88 na $225.64. Hakuna safu ya kabla ya Juni 12 hapa inayohusishwa na SpaceX.

UlizaStakabadhi ya huluki: tepu ya zamani ya SPCX inaisha Aprili 2026, Mei ni kimya, SpaceX inaorodhesha Juni 12
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH
    (
        SELECT (toString(listing_date), issuer_name)
        FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
        ORDER BY listing_date DESC LIMIT 1
    ) AS ipo
SELECT
    formatDateTime(toStartOfMonth(window_start), '%Y-%m') AS month,
    count() AS minute_bars,
    round(min(toFloat64(low)), 2) AS low_usd,
    round(max(toFloat64(high)), 2) AS high_usd,
    ipo.1 AS spacex_listing_date,
    ipo.2 AS issuer
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND window_start >= '2026-01-01 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00'
GROUP BY month
ORDER BY month

Vipindi vitatu vya Levine, vilivyothibitishwa

Levine anachapisha usomaji mara tatu kwa kila kipindi, kutoka kwenye kurasa za Bloomberg terminal. Jumatano, Julai 1: hisa milioni 109.3 zilifanyika biashara, takriban milioni 5.4 katika mnada wa kufunga, kufunga kwa $157.54. Alhamisi, Julai 2: hisa milioni 61.3, milioni 2.6, $162. Jumatatu, Julai 6: hisa milioni 188.8, milioni 74.9, $160.42 — ikishuka kwa takriban asilimia 1 siku ambayo soko pana lilipanda. Kanda yetu inarudisha picha hiyo hiyo:

UlizaVikao vitatu vya Levine kwenye tepu yetu: kiasi cha siku, msalaba wa kufunga, na sehemu ya msalaba katika siku
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session,
    round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38]))) / 1e6, 1) AS day_matched_shares_m,
    round(toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / 1e6, 2) AS auction_shares_m,
    round(100 * toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38]))), 1) AS auction_pct_of_day,
    round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))), 2) AS official_close,
    countIf(has(conditions, 8)) AS code8_prints,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(argMaxIf(sip_timestamp, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8)), 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i:%S') AS auction_time_et
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND ((sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-03 00:00:00')
    OR (sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-06 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-07 00:00:00'))
GROUP BY session
ORDER BY session

Ukubwa wa minada na kufunga rasmi kunalingana na yake hadi kwenye mzunguko — 5.38 milioni kwa $157.54, 2.58 milioni kwa $162, 74.94 milioni kwa $160.42 — kila kipindi kikionyesha uchapishaji mmoja wa mnada wa msimbo-8 (safu ya risiti). Jumla za siku zinaangukia ndani ya asilimia chache za zake (112.4, 61.6, na 188.9 milioni hisa; uhasibu wa muuzaji hutofautiana kwenye kingo; tazama maelezo ya data). Safu iliyoongezwa ni ile ambayo hakuchapisha — sehemu ya msalaba katika kila siku: 4.8% Jumatano, 4.2% Alhamisi, 39.7% Jumatatu.

Kila kufungwa kwa mnada wa SPCX tangu kuanza kuorodheshwa

"Kiwango cha ukubwa" kinaweza kupimika. Hapa kuna kufungwa kwa mnada kwa vipindi vyote 15 vya SPCX, kuanzia kuanza kuorodheshwa hadi usiku wa kuongeza:

UlizaKila msalaba wa kufunga wa SPCX tangu kuorodheshwa Juni 12: ukubwa, sehemu ya siku, na kufunga rasmi kulikoweka
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session,
    round(toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / 1e6, 2) AS auction_shares_m,
    round(100 * toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38]))), 1) AS auction_pct_of_day,
    round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38]))) / 1e6, 1) AS day_matched_shares_m,
    round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))), 2) AS official_close,
    countIf(has(conditions, 8)) AS code8_prints
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-07 00:00:00'
GROUP BY session
ORDER BY session

Wastani wa kufungwa kwa mnada wa SPCX kabla ya Julai 6 ni hisa milioni 4.49. Julai 6 ilichapisha hisa milioni 74.94mara 16.7 ya wastani huo wa awali. Maneno ya Levine yanathibitishwa kwa kipimo. Kufungwa kwa mnada mkubwa mbili za awali zinajitokeza: hisa milioni 52.28 mnamo 2026-06-18 — Alhamisi ya mwisho wa muda, kipindi kabla ya kufungwa kwa Juni 19 — na hisa milioni 39.56 mnamo 2026-06-26 (31.1% ya siku hiyo). Muktadha wa kalenda, si maelezo — na hakuna inayolingana na Julai 6 kwa pande zote: kufungwa kwa mnada wa usiku wa kuongeza kulikuwa kubwa kwa hisa na kubeba 39.7% ya siku yake.

Julai 6, dakika kwa dakika

Siku ya nyongeza, dakika kwa dakika: SPCX ilifungua kwa $165.95, ikasimama kwa $162.18 saa 1:00 jioni (ET), na ikaendelea kushuka. Kipimo cha dakika ya 3:30 jioni kinajumuisha $155.42–$155.92 — kituo cha ukaguzi cha Levine cha "$155.50 saa 3:30 jioni" kiko ndani ya kipimo hicho — na kipimo kilifunga kwa $155.46. Kutoka hapo hadi kengele, mkanda ulipanda $4.96 kwa hisa 19.3 milioni za mfululizo, chapa ya mwisho ya mfululizo ikitua kwa $160.5 saa 16:00:00 ET. Njia ya dakika tano hapa chini (vipimo 78) inaishia kwa $160.4:

UlizaJulai 6, 2026 katika ndoo za dakika tano: utelezi, kupanda kwa kuchelewa, na kiasi chini yake
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    formatDateTime(toStartOfInterval(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'), INTERVAL 5 MINUTE), '%H:%i') AS et_time,
    round(toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)), 2) AS price_usd,
    round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 2) AS shares_m
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND window_start >= '2026-07-06 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-06 20:00:00'
GROUP BY et_time
ORDER BY et_time

Kila kituo cha ukaguzi kiko kwenye safu moja inayoweza kukaguliwa, pamoja na chapa iliyojalisha:

UlizaSafu ya stakabadhi za usiku wa kuongeza: vituo, biashara ya mwisho inayoendelea, na chapisho la mnada lenyewe
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH
    (
        SELECT (
            round(toFloat64(argMin(open, window_start)), 2),
            round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-06 17:01:00')), 2),
            round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-06 19:31:00')), 2),
            round(toFloat64(minIf(low, window_start = '2026-07-06 19:30:00')), 2),
            round(toFloat64(maxIf(high, window_start = '2026-07-06 19:30:00')), 2),
            round(toFloat64(sumIf(volume, window_start >= '2026-07-06 19:30:00')) / 1e6, 1)
        )
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= '2026-07-06 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-06 20:00:00'
    ) AS bars,
    (
        SELECT round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(auction_m, day_key), 2)
        FROM (
            SELECT
                toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
                toUInt64(toYYYYMMDD(toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')))) AS day_key,
                toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / 1e6 AS auction_m
            FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
            WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
              AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-03 00:00:00'
            GROUP BY d, day_key
        )
    ) AS med_prior,
    (
        SELECT round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))), 2)
        FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-02 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-03 00:00:00'
    ) AS spcx_prev_close,
    (
        SELECT (
            round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8) AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-03 00:00:00')), 2),
            round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8) AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-06 00:00:00')), 2)
        )
        FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
        WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
          AND ((sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-02 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-03 00:00:00')
            OR (sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-06 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-07 00:00:00'))
    ) AS spy,
    (
        SELECT maxIf(sip_timestamp, has(conditions, 8))
        FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX' AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-06 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-07 00:00:00'
    ) AS auction_ts
SELECT
    bars.1 AS open_0930,
    bars.2 AS px_1300_et,
    bars.3 AS px_1530_close,
    bars.4 AS px_1530_bar_low,
    bars.5 AS px_1530_bar_high,
    bars.6 AS shares_1530_1559_m,
    round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (sip_timestamp, sequence_number), sip_timestamp < auction_ts AND NOT has(conditions, 8) AND NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38]))), 2) AS last_continuous_px,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(maxIf(sip_timestamp, sip_timestamp < auction_ts AND NOT has(conditions, 8) AND NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38])), 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i:%S') AS last_continuous_et,
    countIf(has(conditions, 8)) AS code8_prints,
    round(toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / 1e6, 2) AS auction_shares_m,
    round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))), 2) AS auction_price,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(auction_ts, 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i:%S') AS auction_time_et,
    round(toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) * toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))) / 1e9, 2) AS auction_notional_busd,
    round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))) - bars.3, 2) AS close_minus_1530_usd,
    round(bars.1 - toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))), 2) AS open_minus_close_usd,
    round(bars.2 - toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))), 2) AS px1300_minus_close_usd,
    round(bars.1 - bars.2, 2) AS open_minus_1300_usd,
    round((toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))) - toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (sip_timestamp, sequence_number), sip_timestamp < auction_ts AND NOT has(conditions, 8) AND NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38])))) * 100, 1) AS cross_vs_last_tick_cents,
    round((1 - toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))) / spcx_prev_close) * 100, 2) AS spcx_close_below_prior_pct,
    spy.2 AS spy_close_jul6,
    round((spy.2 / spy.1 - 1) * 100, 2) AS spy_day_change_pct,
    med_prior AS median_prior_auction_m,
    round(toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / 1e6 / med_prior, 1) AS auction_vs_prior_median_x
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-06 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-07 00:00:00'

Mnada: hisa 74.94 milioni kwa $160.42, iliyowekwa muhuri saa 16:00:00 ET — $12.02 bilioni katika chapa moja. Levine anaripoti Rob Du Boff wa Bloomberg Intelligence akikadiria angalau $5.4 bilioni za ununuzi wa mfuko wa fahirisi katika kufunga huko, takriban hisa milioni 31.2 kati ya milioni 74.9. Takwimu zinatofautiana kwa makusudi: yetu ni chapa nzima, pande zote mbili; yake ni makadirio ya sehemu ya mahitaji ya fahirisi ndani yake.

Kufunga hakukuwa na mwendo wa ghafla. Kufunga rasmi kulichapisha $5.53 chini ya ufunguzi wa SPCX mwenyewe saa 9:30 asubuhi na $1.76 chini ya bei yake saa 1:00 jioni; kikao kilimaliza 0.98% chini ya kufunga kwa Alhamisi huku SPY ikipanda 0.87% (muhtasari wa Jumatatu una kikao kizima). Levine, kuhusu mnada ulio na ugavi mzuri:

"Ikiwa yote yanafanya kazi, ugavi unalingana na mahitaji katika mnada wa kufunga, na bei haisogei sana." — Matt Levine, Money Stuff (Bloomberg Opinion), Julai 7, 2026

Kwa kigezo hicho, mpito 16.7 mara ya wastani wa awali ukichapisha ndani ya senti za biashara ya mwisho ya mfululizo ($160.42 dhidi ya $160.5) ni biashara inayofanya kazi. Mfumo wake; vipimo vyetu.

Nani alikuwa upande wa pili

Hapa mkanda unaacha na uhalisi unachukua nafasi. Katika maelezo ya Levine, mahitaji ya fahirisi hujikita wakati wa kufunga kwa tarehe ya kuongezwa; watoa huduma wa ukwasi — zamani madawati ya benki, sasa mara nyingi vikundi vya mikakati mingi — hujilimbikiza katika vipindi vya awali na kusambaza katika mnada, wakipata tofauti kati ya bei yao ya wastani ya ununuzi na bei ya mnada.

"Vichocheo vya benki hapa kwa kiasi kikubwa havina madhara: Kazi yao ni kulainisha mahitaji." — Matt Levine, Money Stuff (Bloomberg Opinion), Julai 7, 2026

Kwa kiwango anaelekeza kwenye ripoti ya Nishant Kumar wa Bloomberg kwamba timu mbili za kusawazisha fahirisi za Millennium zilipata takriban dola bilioni 3.7 mwezi Juni kutokana na biashara za mabadiliko ya fahirisi, na kwa mwanda mpana, karatasi mbili: Chinco na Sammon (2024), inayoweka umiliki tulivu karibu 33.5% ya soko la Marekani — karibu mara mbili ya kichwa cha habari cha 16% — na Greenwood na Sammon (2024), inayoandika athari ya bei ya kuongezwa kwa fahirisi ikipungua katika miongo. Hakuna madai hayo yanayoweza kupimwa kwenye mkanda wetu; hakuna yanayopingana na yaliyomo.

Mahali kiasi cha siku ya Jumatatu kilichapishwa

Mkato ulichukua 39.7% ya kiasi cha siku ya Julai 6. Kiasi kilichobaki kiligawanyika kwa njia mbili: hisa milioni 45.1 katika biashara endelevu kwenye soko (23.9%); hisa milioni 68.8 nje ya soko kupitia vifaa vya kuripoti biashara vya FINRA (36.4%) — kundi mabwawa meusi, wauzaji wa jumla, na biashara za kura zilizojadiliwa huripotiwa humo. Biashara moja ilichapisha kiasi kikubwa kuliko kipindi chote cha biashara endelevu kwenye soko.

UlizaKiasi kilicholinganishwa cha Julai 6 kwa mahali kilipochapishwa: msalaba, unaoendelea kwenye soko, nje ya soko (TRF)
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
SELECT
    multiIf(has(conditions, 8), 'Closing auction (one print)', exchange = 4, 'Off-exchange (TRF)', 'On-exchange, continuous') AS bucket,
    round(toFloat64(sum(size)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m,
    round(100 * toFloat64(sum(size)) / sum(toFloat64(sum(size))) OVER (), 1) AS pct_of_matched,
    count() AS prints
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-06 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-07 00:00:00'
  AND NOT hasAny(conditions, [15, 16, 38])
GROUP BY bucket
ORDER BY bucket

Asubuhi iliyofuata

Levine anabainisha kuwa SPCX ilifanya biashara ya chini tena Jumanne asubuhi — na sura ya asubuhi hiyo inastahili jopo: huu ulikuwa uuzaji wakati wa kipindi cha soko, si pengo la usiku kucha. SpaceX ilifungua Jumanne kwa $158.92 — chini ya $0.9% tu kutoka kwa $160.42 ya kufunga usiku wa kuongeza — kisha ikafanya biashara katika safu ya $150.12–$159.3 na ikakaa 5.2% chini ya kufunga hiyo kufikia 12:59 kwa saa za Mashariki, ukingo uliowekwa wa jopo. (Toleo la kwanza la jopo hili, lililoandikwa Julai 8 kwenye mkanda ulioingizwa kwa sehemu, lilionyesha "ufunguzi" wa kina zaidi — athari ya baa za mapema zilizokosekana, zilizorekebishwa hapa kwenye kipindi kamili; tazama maelezo ya data.)

UlizaAsubuhi iliyofuata: Julai 7, 2026 hadi 12:59 mchana ET (dirisha limebandikwa kwa muundo; tazama maelezo ya data)
SQL halisi nyuma ya kila namba
WITH
    (
        SELECT round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, (size, sip_timestamp), has(conditions, 8))), 2)
        FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-06 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-07 00:00:00'
    ) AS monday_close
SELECT
    count() AS morning_bars,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(max(window_start), 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i') AS last_bar_et,
    round(toFloat64(argMin(open, window_start)), 2) AS open_0930,
    round((1 - toFloat64(argMin(open, window_start)) / monday_close) * 100, 1) AS open_below_monday_close_pct,
    round(min(toFloat64(low)), 2) AS morning_low,
    round(max(toFloat64(high)), 2) AS morning_high,
    round(toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)), 2) AS px_1259_et,
    round((1 - toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)) / monday_close) * 100, 1) AS px_1259_below_monday_close_pct,
    round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS morning_shares_m,
    monday_close AS monday_official_close
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND window_start >= '2026-07-07 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-07 17:00:00'

Jopo hapo juu linasimama kwa makusudi saa 12:59 mchana kwa saa za Mashariki (maelezo ya data). Kipindi kamili cha Julai 7 — siku ya kwanza ya hisa ndani ya fahirisi, na siku ambayo kurudi kwake kwa bei ya IPO kulikamilika — kinapimwa mwisho hadi mwisho katika safari ya kurudi ya hisa ya SpaceX kutoka kileleni.

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara kwa Mara kuhusu SpaceX katika Nasdaq-100

Kwa nini SpaceX ilijiunga na Nasdaq-100 haraka sana?

Mbinu za fahirisi za Nasdaq huruhusu nyongeza kati ya marekebisho ya kila mwaka ya Desemba, na ripoti za vyombo vya habari ambazo Levine anazitaja (ikijumuisha WSJ) zilielezea kuingia kwa SpaceX Julai 7, 2026 kama nyongeza iliyoharakishwa, ndani ya mwezi mmoja tangu IPO ya Juni 12.

Je, ni nini mnada wa kufunga wa kuongeza fahirisi?

Hisopo linapoingia kwenye fahirisi, fedha zinazofuatilia hufanya biashara kwa bei rasmi ya kufunga ya kikao cha mwisho kabla ya mabadiliko kuanza — bei inayowekwa na mnada wa kufunga, chapisho moja linalolingana saa 4:00 alasiri kwa saa za Mashariki. Julai 6, 2026, mnada wa usiku wa kuongeza wa SPCX ulibeba 39.7% ya kiasi cha siku hiyo kilicholingana.

Je, hisa za SpaceX zilipanda bei zilipojiunga na Nasdaq-100?

Sio kwenye rekodi zetu. Bei ya kufunga usiku wa kuongeza ilichapishwa $5.53 chini ya ufunguzi wa siku hiyo yenyewe na 0.98% chini ya kufunga kabla — baada ya kupanda kwa $4.96 katika nusu saa ya mwisho — na asubuhi iliyofuata ilifungua 0.9% chini zaidi. Haya ni uchunguzi kutoka kwenye rekodi, si hukumu juu ya utekelezaji wa mtu yeyote.

Je, mnada wa kufunga wa kuongeza fahirisi wa SpaceX ulikuwa mkubwa kiasi gani?

74.94 milioni hisa katika chapisho moja kwa $160.42 — $12.02 bilioni, 39.7% ya kiasi cha siku hiyo kilicholingana, na 16.7 mara ya mnada wa kufunga wa wastani wa SPCX kabla yake.

Vidokezo vya Data

Vidokezo Kamili vya Data
  • Mpaka wa Huluki (msingi wa verified_tickers katika frontmatter). SPCX ilihamishiwa kwa Space Exploration Technologies Corp. katika orodha ya 2026-06-12; mkanda wa zamani unaisha Aprili 2026, Mei unaonyesha pau sifuri (paneli hapo juu). Uchunguzi wa kina wa mwezi wa kwanza una uthibitishaji kamili (rekodi ya IPO, kubadilisha lebo ya habari, mteremko wa short-interest).
  • "Kiasi kilicholinganishwa" ni hesabu ya mkanda uliojumuishwa: masharti ya mauzo ambayo ingizo lake la kamusi lina updates_volume = false (15, 16, 38) hayajumuishwi katika kila jumla na kigawanyo. Takwimu za "hisa zilizouzwa" za wauzaji hukata kingo tofauti: jumla yetu ya Julai 1 iko takriban 3% juu ya chapisho la Levine; Julai 2 na Julai 6 zinakubaliana ndani ya sehemu ya asilimia.
  • Kufunga kwa mnada ni sharti la mauzo namba 8, kama ilivyo katika maelezo ya mnada wa kufunga. Vikao vichache vina rekodi ya ziada isiyo na maana ya namba-8 kutoka kwa soko la pili (2 siku ya orodha); mnada ndio chapisho kubwa zaidi la namba-8 katika kikao. Julai 1, 2, na 6 kila moja inaonyesha moja haswa.
  • Paneli ya asubuhi inasimama saa 12:59 p.m. ET kwa muundo (pau za 210 katika dirisha la 9:30–1:00): huo ulikuwa ukingo ulioingizwa wakati chapisho hili liliandikwa kwa mara ya kwanza (Julai 8, 2026), na dirisha limefungwa ili takwimu zijitokeze tena. Kikao kamili cha Julai 7 kinapimwa katika chapisho la safari ya kwenda na kurudi.
  • Nambari zinazohusishwa zinabaki zikihusishwa. Takwimu za Levine, WSJ, Du Boff, Kumar, na karatasi ni madai yao, yanayotolewa kwa muktadha, si yaliyopimwa hapa; chapisho hili halidai sababu yoyote kwa hatua yoyote.
  • Muhuri wa wakati umehifadhiwa kwa UTC; Julai 2026 ni EDT (saa za kawaida 13:30–20:00 UTC). Dhana ya mnada ni ukubwa wa chapisho mara bei ya chapisho, hakuna zaidi.

Kila paneli ni kitu kimoja kilichohifadhiwa — chati, jedwali, SQL. Chambua minada hii zaidi, kwa ticker yoyote, kwenye terminal ya Strasmore.