STRASMORE/EXPLORE 2,309 QUERIES

inversions

Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-09-17, from what-is-the-3m10y-spread.

as of series 9×6read in context →
inversions — 9 rows by 6 columns, computed from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
beganendedstart_datemonths_inverteddeepest_month_bpsaverage_depth_bps
Jun 1989Aug 19891989-06-013-16-11
Nov 1989Dec 19891989-11-012-7-6
Jul 2000Jan 20012000-07-017-70-42
Aug 2006May 20072006-08-0110-52-34
May 2019Sep 20192019-05-015-36-17
Feb 2020Feb 20202020-02-011-4-4
Nov 2022Nov 20242022-11-0125-173-115
Mar 2025Apr 20252025-03-012-6-5
Jun 2025Aug 20252025-06-013-4-3
Rows × columns
9 × 6
Period covered
to
Computed
Completeness
No missing values
Source
US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
Licence
Strasmore terms · free, no signup
Formats
JSON · CSV · the SQL below

What each column holds

Column definitions for inversions, derived from the stored result.
ColumnTypeRangeNotes
began text 9 distinct values (Aug 2006, Feb 2020, Jul 2000…)
ended text 9 distinct values (Apr 2025, Aug 1989, Aug 2025…)
start_date date 1989-06-01 to 2025-06-01
months_inverted number 1 to 25
deepest_month_bps number -173 to -4
average_depth_bps number -115 to -3

Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.

the exact SQL behind every number
SELECT
    formatDateTime(min(month), '%b %Y')   AS began,
    formatDateTime(max(month), '%b %Y')   AS ended,
    toString(min(month))                  AS start_date,
    count()                               AS months_inverted,
    toInt32(round(min(spread_bps)))       AS deepest_month_bps,
    toInt32(round(avg(spread_bps)))       AS average_depth_bps
FROM
(
    SELECT
        month,
        spread_bps,
        sum(if(spread_bps < 0, 0, 1)) OVER (ORDER BY month ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS run_id
    FROM
    (
        SELECT
            toStartOfMonth(date)                                              AS month,
            avg(toFloat64(yield_10_year) - toFloat64(yield_3_month)) * 100    AS spread_bps
        FROM global_markets.treasury_yields
        WHERE date >= toDate('1985-01-01')
          AND yield_3_month > 0
          AND yield_10_year > 0
        GROUP BY month
    )
)
WHERE spread_bps < 0
GROUP BY run_id
ORDER BY start_date

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