2026年第二季度是复苏季度:在第一季度下跌后,所有主要指数ETF均实现两位数上涨,其中QQQ以26.5%领涨。下方各面板展示了该季度的走势、逐月阶梯式表现、利率背景、日历,以及其中两项已在文中披露的数据注意事项。所有数字均来自已存储的查询结果;展开任一面板即可查看完整SQL。
董事会眼中的季度表现
与第一季度相比,波动幅度有多大?该面板通过一次查询计算两个季度的回报率。第一季度基准值按照相同定义实时重新计算,并非从其他地方读取。
| ticker | 第二季度回报率 | 第一季度回报率 | 第二季度收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|
| DIA | 12.1 | -3.9 | 522.28 |
| IWM | 20.2 | 0.1 | 300.42 |
| QQQ | 26.5 | -6.9 | 735.76 |
| SPY | 14.1 | -5.2 | 746.32 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT ticker,
round((argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) <= toDate('2026-06-30') AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959)
/ argMinIf(toFloat64(open), window_start, toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959) - 1) * 100, 1) AS q2_return_pct,
round((argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) <= toDate('2026-03-31') AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959)
/ argMinIf(toFloat64(open), window_start, toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) >= toDate('2026-01-01') AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959) - 1) * 100, 1) AS q1_return_pct,
round(argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) <= toDate('2026-06-30') AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959), 2) AS q2_close
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'DIA', 'IWM')
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-01-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY tickerQQQ在第一季度下跌-6.9%后,本季度上涨26.5%;SPY在第一季度下跌-5.2%后,上涨14.1%;IWM上涨20.2%。第一季度下跌的每个指数在第二季度的回升幅度都超过了此前跌幅。四个指数呈现出三种不同的情况:成长型指数第一季度回撤最深,随后复苏幅度也最大;以价格加权的工业股指数DIA从-3.9%转为12.1%;IWM实际上从未真正下跌,第一季度为0.1%,因此其20.2%季度回报是在平淡开局的基础上进一步累积,而不是修复此前的回撤。单看季度回报率,复苏与动量走势完全相同;第一季度的回报率才能将两者区分开来。
每隔一个季度,当前季度在历史行情中的位置
从内部视角看,复苏季度往往具有历史意义;但行情数据可以显示,本季度是否确实如此。面板在一次查询中,使用完全相同的计算方法,为分钟级历史数据中的每一年重新计算四月至六月的同一段收益率,然后将本季度与其他年份进行排名。
| 年 | ticker | 交易时段 | 第二季度回报率 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | QQQ | 62 | 5.3 |
| 2004 | SPY | 62 | 1.2 |
| 2005 | SPY | 64 | 0.4 |
| 2006 | SPY | 63 | -2.4 |
| 2007 | SPY | 63 | 5.5 |
| 2008 | SPY | 64 | -4.3 |
| 2009 | SPY | 63 | 17.2 |
| 2010 | SPY | 63 | -12.5 |
| 2011 | QQQ | 63 | -1.2 |
| 2011 | SPY | 63 | -1.1 |
| 2012 | QQQ | 63 | -4.9 |
| 2012 | SPY | 63 | -3.1 |
| 2013 | QQQ | 64 | 3.2 |
| 2013 | SPY | 64 | 2.3 |
| 2014 | QQQ | 63 | 6.6 |
| 2014 | SPY | 63 | 4.3 |
| 2015 | QQQ | 63 | 1.4 |
| 2015 | SPY | 63 | -0.2 |
| 2016 | QQQ | 64 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | SPY | 64 | 2.5 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT toYear(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS y,
ticker,
uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions,
round((argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100, 1) AS q2_return_pct
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ')
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2003-01-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
AND toMonth(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) BETWEEN 4 AND 6
AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY y, ticker
HAVING sessions >= 50
ORDER BY y ASC, ticker ASC| ticker | 2026年第二季度百分比 | 最佳排名 | 比较的第二季度数 | 首年 | 2026年交易时段 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | 26.5 | 2 | 17 | 2004 | 62 |
| SPY | 14.1 | 3 | 23 | 2004 | 62 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT ticker,
round(anyIf(ret, y = 2026), 1) AS q2_2026_pct,
arrayCount(x -> x > anyIf(ret, y = 2026), groupArrayIf(ret, y != 2026)) + 1 AS rank_best,
count() AS q2s_compared,
min(y) AS first_year,
anyIf(sessions, y = 2026) AS sessions_2026
FROM (
SELECT toYear(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS y,
ticker,
uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions,
(argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100 AS ret
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ')
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2003-01-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
AND toMonth(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) BETWEEN 4 AND 6
AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY y, ticker
HAVING sessions >= 50
)
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY ticker ASC该指标显示,本季度接近历史高位:QQQ 的 26.5% 在 17 个可比第二季度中排名 2(排名第一为最佳)。此前只有一个第二季度的收盘表现更高,上方按年份列出的表格显示了具体年份。SPY 的 14.1% 自 2004 以来,在 23 个第二季度中排名 3。同时有两点需要说明:QQQ 的序列较短(该基金有若干年使用不同的根代码交易;会话数量筛选会明确排除这些年份,表格中列出了各年的会话数量);此外,每次历史查询都将上限固定在本季度结束时,因此后续年份出现时,可比样本不会在不知不觉中扩大。本页所有排名均以同一口径为基础:日历季度内正常交易时段的开盘至收盘收益率。
月度阶梯
| 期间开始 | ticker | 月回报率 | 月收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | QQQ | 14.8 | 667.6 |
| 2026-04-01 | SPY | 9.9 | 718.43 |
| 2026-05-01 | QQQ | 10.3 | 738.25 |
| 2026-05-01 | SPY | 4.9 | 756.4 |
| 2026-06-01 | QQQ | -0.2 | 735.76 |
| 2026-06-01 | SPY | -1.2 | 746.32 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT toString(toStartOfMonth(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')))) AS period_start, ticker,
round((argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) / argMinIf(toFloat64(open), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) - 1) * 100, 1) AS month_return_pct,
round(argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199), 2) AS month_close
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ')
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-04-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
GROUP BY period_start, ticker
ORDER BY period_start, ticker本季度的涨幅主要集中在前期:4月贡献最大(SPY 9.9%、QQQ 14.8%),5月进一步上涨(4.9%和10.3%),6月则小幅回吐,SPY -1.2%。6月回顾详细介绍了当月表现,包括其下方的市场广度分化。
季度交易活跃度排名
| ticker | 十亿美元 | 占领先者百分比 |
|---|---|---|
| MU | 2047.5 | 100 |
| SPY | 2032 | 99.2 |
| QQQ | 1658.5 | 81 |
| NVDA | 1591.8 | 77.7 |
| TSLA | 1198.8 | 58.5 |
| SNDK | 980 | 47.9 |
| AMD | 755.2 | 36.9 |
| INTC | 712.3 | 34.8 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT ticker,
round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 1) AS dollar_bn,
round(100 * sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / max(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume))) OVER (), 1) AS pct_of_leader
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-04-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY dollar_bn DESC
LIMIT 8整个季度,MU以$2047.5十亿美元的成交额略高于SPY的$2032十亿美元,成为成交额最高的标的。一只个股在三个月内的交易额超过了旗舰指数基金,领先幅度相当于其自身总成交额的99.2%。其后是QQQ,成交额为$1658.5十亿美元;接下来是NVDA,成交额为$1591.8十亿美元。该标的仅6月的交易情况已在此处逐笔拆解。TSLA排名其后,成交额为$1198.8十亿美元。请注意,这份排名反映的是常规交易时段成交额,而非表现;某个标的即使在下跌月份,也可能主导成交额。该领先标的6月的交易情况已在深度分析中逐笔拆解。统计口径:4月1日至6月30日的常规交易时段;一个重复使用代码的6月上市记录因尚待实体核验而排除(相关凭证)。
市场广度:日度颗粒度
| 上涨交易时段 | 下跌交易时段 | 持平交易时段 | 交易时段总数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 26 | 0 | 62 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT countIf(day_ret > 0) AS up_sessions,
countIf(day_ret < 0) AS down_sessions,
countIf(day_ret = 0) AS flat_sessions,
count() AS sessions_total
FROM (
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
round((argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100, 2) AS day_ret
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-04-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY d
)36 个季度交易日中,有 62 个交易日 SPY 上涨,26 个交易日下跌。上涨日占优,符合两位数季度涨幅的特征。按股票代码统计的颗粒度,即所有上涨股和下跌股的数量,在季度尺度上受到限制:单次覆盖全市场的扫描会超过本页面生成查询时的预算(以撰写时的测算为准)。因此,等权计数的市场广度采用月度尺度。6月上涨股与下跌股的分布中,下跌股多于上涨股,详见6月回顾。相关限制已在此披露,而不是在未说明的情况下缩小统计范围。
期权成交明细:逐月观察
本季度的市场微观结构变化,只有按整个月份、横跨全部挂牌期权成交明细观察,才能完整呈现。成交量在季末前上升:4月为1386.9百万张合约,6月增至1477.9百万张,后者是本季度成交最活跃的月份。到期日为当日的期权(0DTE)占比也同步上升,从30.3%升至34.3%。6月占比创上半年新高;自1月以来的变化详见上半年回顾。
| 百万份合约 | 零日到期合约百分比 | 交易时段 |
|---|---|---|
| 1386.9 | 30.3 | 21 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT round(sum(toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS contracts_mm,
round(100.0 * sumIf(toFloat64(volume), toDateOrNull(concat('20', substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6))) = toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) / sum(toFloat64(volume)), 1) AS zero_dte_pct,
uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions
FROM global_markets.options_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-04-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-05-01 00:00:00')| 百万份合约 | 零日到期合约百分比 | 交易时段 |
|---|---|---|
| 1394.6 | 30.3 | 20 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT round(sum(toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS contracts_mm,
round(100.0 * sumIf(toFloat64(volume), toDateOrNull(concat('20', substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6))) = toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) / sum(toFloat64(volume)), 1) AS zero_dte_pct,
uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions
FROM global_markets.options_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-05-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')| 百万份合约 | 零日到期合约百分比 | 交易时段 |
|---|---|---|
| 1477.9 | 34.3 | 21 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT round(sum(toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS contracts_mm,
round(100.0 * sumIf(toFloat64(volume), toDateOrNull(concat('20', substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6))) = toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) / sum(toFloat64(volume)), 1) AS zero_dte_pct,
uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions
FROM global_markets.options_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')交易成本:按月抽样
| 交易时段 | 中位价差(基点) | 报价更新(百万次) | 已丢弃无效项 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | 0.286 | 2.12 | 1047 |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.27 | 2.64 | 661 |
| 2026-06-10 | 0.409 | 7.48 | 12382 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session,
round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2) * 10000, toUInt64(toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp)), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price), 3) AS med_spread_bps,
round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS quote_updates_m,
countIf(NOT (bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price)) AS invalid_dropped
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND ((sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-04-15 13:30:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-04-15 20:00:00', 9))
OR (sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-05-13 13:30:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-05-13 20:00:00', 9))
OR (sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-10 13:30:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-06-10 20:00:00', 9)))
GROUP BY session
ORDER BY session ASCSPY在本季度各月抽样交易日的报价中位价差:4月样本为0.286个基点,5月为0.27个基点,6月为0.409个基点;6月样本的价差最大。口径说明:数据来自每月单一指定抽样交易日(每月第二个星期三),并非整月中位数;无效报价计入面板数据,未予剔除。
利率:收益率曲线趋平的季度
| 日 | 10年期 | 2年期至10年期利差(基点) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | 4.33 | 52 |
| 2026-04-02 | 4.31 | 52 |
| 2026-04-03 | 4.35 | 51 |
| 2026-04-06 | 4.34 | 50 |
| 2026-04-07 | 4.33 | 52 |
| 2026-04-08 | 4.29 | 50 |
| 2026-04-09 | 4.29 | 51 |
| 2026-04-10 | 4.31 | 50 |
| 2026-04-13 | 4.3 | 52 |
| 2026-04-14 | 4.26 | 50 |
| 2026-04-15 | 4.29 | 53 |
| 2026-04-16 | 4.32 | 54 |
| 2026-04-17 | 4.26 | 55 |
| 2026-04-20 | 4.26 | 54 |
| 2026-04-21 | 4.3 | 52 |
| 2026-04-22 | 4.3 | 51 |
| 2026-04-23 | 4.34 | 51 |
| 2026-04-24 | 4.31 | 53 |
| 2026-04-27 | 4.35 | 57 |
| 2026-04-28 | 4.36 | 52 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT toString(date) AS d,
round(yield_10_year, 2) AS y10,
round((yield_10_year - yield_2_year) * 100, 0) AS spread_2s10s_bp
FROM global_markets.treasury_yields
WHERE date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND date <= toDate('2026-06-30')
AND isNotNull(yield_10_year) AND isNotNull(yield_2_year)
ORDER BY date2s10s利差在本季度初为52个基点,季度末为30,呈现趋平走势;10年期收益率收于4.44%。这段走势的六个月版本见上半年回顾。从机制上看,曲线趋平意味着短端与长端的利差收窄;这一趋势是否会延续,无法从这张表中判断,本页也不作此判断。
日历,季度尺度
| 除息事件 | 拆股 | 首次公开募股 | 第二季度申报数 | 截至4月30日的申报数 | 截至6月30日的申报数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15402 | 435 | 105 | 235075 | 34 | 31 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND ex_dividend_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')) AS ex_div_events,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND execution_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')) AS splits,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos WHERE listing_date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND listing_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')) AS ipos,
(SELECT uniqExact(accession_number) FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND filing_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')) AS q2_filings,
(SELECT uniqExact(accession_number) FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = toDate('2026-04-30')) AS filings_apr30,
(SELECT uniqExact(accession_number) FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = toDate('2026-06-30')) AS filings_jun30105该季度上市的公司数量、435已执行的拆分数量,以及15402已支付的除息事件数量。申报文件数量(235075)存在已披露的缺口:该指数在6月30日(季度最后一天)仅包含31份申报文件,在4月30日仅包含34份;而相邻日期则有数千份。因此,季度总数漏计了两个月底日期,在数据源补齐之前会被低估。月底缺口另有诊断说明。
临近季末,日历上的事件明显增多
| 月 | 首次公开募股 | 拆股 | 除息数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 30 | 129 | 3947 |
| 2026-05 | 40 | 142 | 4804 |
| 2026-06 | 35 | 164 | 6651 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT m, ipos, splits, ex_divs FROM (
SELECT '2026-04' AS m,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos WHERE listing_date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND listing_date <= toDate('2026-04-30')) AS ipos,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND execution_date <= toDate('2026-04-30')) AS splits,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date >= toDate('2026-04-01') AND ex_dividend_date <= toDate('2026-04-30')) AS ex_divs, 1 AS o
UNION ALL SELECT '2026-05',
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos WHERE listing_date >= toDate('2026-05-01') AND listing_date <= toDate('2026-05-31')),
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date >= toDate('2026-05-01') AND execution_date <= toDate('2026-05-31')),
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date >= toDate('2026-05-01') AND ex_dividend_date <= toDate('2026-05-31')), 2
UNION ALL SELECT '2026-06',
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos WHERE listing_date >= toDate('2026-06-01') AND listing_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')),
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date >= toDate('2026-06-01') AND execution_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')),
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date >= toDate('2026-06-01') AND ex_dividend_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')), 3
) ORDER BY o随着季度进入后段,公司事件日程逐渐密集:除息事件逐月增加,从4月的3947升至6月的6651;股票拆分也同步上升,从129增至164。三个月间,新上市数量保持稳定。本季度呈现“浪潮”的是股息,而不是IPO。
本交易时段记录
| 第二季度交易时段 | 4月场次 | 5月场次 | 6月场次 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 21 | 20 | 21 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
(SELECT uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-04-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS q2_sessions,
(SELECT uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-04-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-05-01 00:00:00')) AS april_sessions,
(SELECT uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-05-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')) AS may_sessions,
(SELECT uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS june_sessions62个交易时段,依据实际观察到的K线核实,而非按日历推定:4月21个,5月20个(阵亡将士纪念日),6月21个(六月节)。按月汇总的记录和休市证据见6月回顾和节假日说明。
数据说明
完整数据说明
- 空头持仓数据截至六月十五日结算日:生成时,六月月底的成交记录尚未公布;完整披露见六月回顾。数据发布后,本帖将重新生成。
- 月末申报索引缺口已在文中说明:六月三十日和四月三十日均处于本季度内,三月三十一日也呈现相同特征。二〇二六年每个月末最后一天为工作日的月份,其数据都接近空白。诊断说明列出了相关凭证及有界诊断结论。
- 市场微观结构(逐笔层面的交易机制)在此处有意省略;完整交易时段的逐笔成交分析见六月二十九日深度分析。
- 成交量领先者排除项:一个重复使用代码的六月上市标的因等待实体核验而被排除。
方法论
- 统计区间为2026年4月1日至6月30日,共62个交易时段,已根据实际观测到的K线完成核验。季度回报按区间内正常交易时段的首个开盘价至最后一个收盘价计算;Q1对比数据也采用完全相同的定义实时重算。
- 时间戳以UTC存储,并按原始UTC边界筛选;本季度正常交易时段为13:30–20:00 UTC,对应美国东部夏令时。美元成交额按正常交易时段内的分钟收盘价乘以分钟成交量计算。多年历史数据按美国东部挂钟时间筛选每行数据对应的正常交易时段,并将上限固定在本季度末;深度核验(分钟级历史数据追溯至2003年9月)见H1回顾的方法论。
- 生成流程通过受控的只读路径运行;公开页面不会查询实时数据。数据仓库状态截至2026年7月5日。