daily_moves
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-09-29, from off-the-run-vs-on-the-run-treasuries.
| month | month_label | median_abs_move_bps | p90_abs_move_bps |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-01 | Oct 2024 | 3 | 7 |
| 2024-11-01 | Nov 2024 | 3 | 13.2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Dec 2024 | 4 | 7 |
| 2025-01-01 | Jan 2025 | 3 | 9 |
| 2025-02-01 | Feb 2025 | 4 | 9.2 |
| 2025-03-01 | Mar 2025 | 4 | 9 |
| 2025-04-01 | Apr 2025 | 6 | 11 |
| 2025-05-01 | May 2025 | 4 | 8 |
| 2025-06-01 | Jun 2025 | 4 | 7.2 |
| 2025-07-01 | Jul 2025 | 3.5 | 7.9 |
| 2025-08-01 | Aug 2025 | 2 | 5 |
| 2025-09-01 | Sep 2025 | 3 | 5 |
| 2025-10-01 | Oct 2025 | 2 | 5.9 |
| 2025-11-01 | Nov 2025 | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| 2025-12-01 | Dec 2025 | 3 | 5 |
| 2026-01-01 | Jan 2026 | 2 | 4.2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Feb 2026 | 2 | 6.4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Mar 2026 | 5 | 8.9 |
| 2026-04-01 | Apr 2026 | 3 | 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | May 2026 | 3 | 7.3 |
| 2026-06-01 | Jun 2026 | 3 | 8 |
| 2026-07-01 | Jul 2026 | 3.5 | 6 |
| 2026-08-01 | Aug 2026 | 4 | 6 |
| 2026-09-01 | Sep 2026 | 2.5 | 8.5 |
- Rows × columns
- 24 × 4
- Period covered
- to
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
month |
date | 2024-10-01 to 2026-09-01 | |
month_label |
text | 24 distinct values (Apr 2025, Apr 2026, Aug 2025…) | |
median_abs_move_bps |
number | 2 to 6 | |
p90_abs_move_bps |
number | 4 to 13.2 |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
Run it yourself
This is the exact query behind the result above. Change a ticker, a date or a column and run it against the warehouse — no account, no key. The no-signup tier is smaller than the one this page was computed on; a query that reaches past it comes back saying which plan runs it.
SELECT
toString(toStartOfMonth(d)) AS month,
formatDateTime(toStartOfMonth(d), '%b %Y') AS month_label,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(chg_bps, toUInt32(d)), 1) AS median_abs_move_bps,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.9)(chg_bps, toUInt32(d)), 1) AS p90_abs_move_bps
FROM
(
SELECT
d,
prev,
abs(cur - prev) * 100 AS chg_bps
FROM
(
SELECT
date AS d,
toFloat64(ifNull(yield_10_year, 0)) AS cur,
any(toFloat64(ifNull(yield_10_year, 0)))
OVER (ORDER BY date ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND 1 PRECEDING) AS prev
FROM global_markets.treasury_yields
WHERE date >= today() - 780
AND yield_10_year > 0
)
)
WHERE prev > 0
AND d >= toStartOfMonth(today() - 700)
GROUP BY month, month_label
HAVING count() >= 5
ORDER BY month
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