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Traded price against intrinsic value, by days to expiry

Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-09, from How Event Contracts Settle: Payout and Fees.

as of table 30×4read in context →
Traded price against intrinsic value, by days to expiry — 30 rows by 4 columns, computed from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
days_to_expiryavg_traded_priceavg_intrinsic_valueavg_gap
13.652.521.13
24.532.771.76
35.13.062.05
45.283.082.2
55.693.082.61
66.293.133.16
76.833.273.56
87.163.174
97.493.14.39
107.873.224.66
118.013.174.85
127.962.775.19
138.282.635.65
149.133.285.86
159.793.386.41
169.773.276.5
1710.353.327.03
1810.743.347.41
1912.993.359.64
2012.163.348.82
2111.533.398.14
2211.673.298.38
2311.93.378.53
2412.053.268.8
2512.343.269.08
2612.073.198.88
2713.363.439.93
2812.663.169.5
2913.173.269.91
3013.413.2310.18
Rows × columns
30 × 4
Computed
Completeness
No missing values
Source
US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
Licence
Strasmore terms · free, no signup
Formats
JSON · CSV · the SQL below

What each column holds

Column definitions for Traded price against intrinsic value, by days to expiry, derived from the stored result.
ColumnTypeRangeNotes
days_to_expiry number 1 to 30
avg_traded_price number 3.65 to 13.41 US dollars
avg_intrinsic_value number 2.52 to 3.43
avg_gap number 1.13 to 10.18

Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.

the exact SQL behind every number
SELECT
    days_to_expiry,
    round(avg(price), 2)                   AS avg_traded_price,
    round(avg(payoff_now), 2)              AS avg_intrinsic_value,
    round(avg(abs(price - payoff_now)), 2) AS avg_gap
FROM
(
    SELECT
        days_to_expiry,
        toFloat64(option_close) AS price,
        greatest(
            if(option_type IN ('call', 'C'),
               toFloat64(underlying_close) - toFloat64(strike_price),
               toFloat64(strike_price) - toFloat64(underlying_close)),
            0.0) AS payoff_now
    FROM global_markets.options_greeks
    WHERE underlying_symbol = 'SPY'
      AND date >= '2026-01-02'
      AND date <  '2026-07-01'
      AND volume > 0
      AND iv_converged = 1
      AND days_to_expiry BETWEEN 0 AND 30
      AND abs(toFloat64(strike_price) / toFloat64(underlying_close) - 1) < 0.02
)
GROUP BY days_to_expiry
ORDER BY days_to_expiry

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