Strasmore Research
Deep Dives · Matt ConnorBy Matt Connor · · Updated 2026-08-29

SPCX: SpaceX股价较峰值下跌了多少

了解SpaceX股票(SPCX)截至最新收盘价较2026年6月16日峰值低多少,并查看每日走势、价差、期权资金流与SEC文件。

SpaceX股票(SPCX)在Aug 26, 2026收于$140.51。这是记录中最新的完整交易时段。该收盘价较其于Jun 16, 2026创下的$225.64高点低37.7%,每股较高点低$85.12。目前股价较其首个正常交易时段成交价$150变动-6.3%,较该交易发行价$135变动4.1%。同期,标普500 ETF(SPY)变动4.04%。本文所有数据均为截至记录中最新交易时段的存储查询结果,并随每周批处理刷新;展开任一面板即可查看确切的 SQL。

SPCX较峰值下跌了多少

记分牌一行完整呈现了这一过程:发行价为$135,常规交易时段首笔成交价为$150(2026年6月12日上午11:46的开盘集合竞价;首月深度分析介绍了上市首日的交易机制),Jun 16, 2026的峰值为$225.64,最新收盘价为$140.51。该峰值出现在常规交易时段上午中段,其相邻K线可以印证这一点(数据说明)。跌幅从该峰值成交价计算至最近一个常规交易时段收盘价,因此仓库每增加一个交易日,跌幅都会随之变动。

查询单行走势:发行价、首笔成交、6月峰值及最新收盘价
发行价格IPO开盘价峰值价格峰值标签峰值月份峰值日最新标签最新收盘价较峰值下跌(美元)较峰值跌幅(%)峰值较IPO开盘价涨幅(%)较首次报价涨跌幅(%)较发行价涨跌幅(%)SPY期间涨跌幅(%)SPY较SPCX超额涨跌幅(百分点)
135150225.64Jun 16, 2026616Aug 26, 2026140.5185.1237.750.4-6.34.14.0410.4
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
    spcx_sessions AS (
        SELECT
            toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
            argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS c,
            max(toFloat64(high)) AS hi
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND window_start < now()
          AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
        GROUP BY d
        HAVING count() >= 150
    ),
    latest_row AS (
        SELECT max(d) AS latest_d, argMax(c, d) AS latest_c
        FROM spcx_sessions
    ),
    peak_row AS (
        SELECT max(hi) AS peak_hi, argMax(d, (hi, -toInt32(d))) AS peak_d
        FROM spcx_sessions
    ),
    first_print AS (
        SELECT round(toFloat64(argMin(open, window_start)), 2) AS ipo_open_px
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-06-13 00:00:00'
          AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
    ),
    issue_row AS (
        SELECT toFloat64(final_issue_price) AS issue_px
        FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
        ORDER BY listing_date DESC LIMIT 1
    ),
    spy_ret AS (
        SELECT round((argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100, 2) AS spy_pct
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
          AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND window_start < now()
          AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
    )
SELECT
    toString(round(ip.issue_px, 2)) AS issue_price,
    fp.ipo_open_px AS ipo_open,
    round(pk.peak_hi, 2) AS peak_price,
    formatDateTime(pk.peak_d, '%b %e, %Y') AS peak_label,
    toMonth(pk.peak_d) AS peak_month,
    toDayOfMonth(pk.peak_d) AS peak_day,
    formatDateTime(lt.latest_d, '%b %e, %Y') AS latest_label,
    round(lt.latest_c, 2) AS latest_close,
    round(pk.peak_hi - lt.latest_c, 2) AS drop_from_peak_usd,
    round((pk.peak_hi - lt.latest_c) / pk.peak_hi * 100, 1) AS decline_from_peak_pct,
    round((pk.peak_hi - fp.ipo_open_px) / fp.ipo_open_px * 100, 1) AS peak_above_ipo_pct,
    round((lt.latest_c / fp.ipo_open_px - 1) * 100, 1) AS vs_first_print_pct,
    round((lt.latest_c / ip.issue_px - 1) * 100, 1) AS vs_issue_pct,
    sr.spy_pct AS spy_period_pct,
    round(sr.spy_pct - (lt.latest_c / fp.ipo_open_px - 1) * 100, 1) AS spy_minus_spcx_pp
FROM peak_row pk, first_print fp, issue_row ip, latest_row lt, spy_ret sr
自己运行这个查询

逐个交易日:一路下跌

SPCX上市以来已完成52个正常交易时段。首个交易时段开盘价为$150,两 个交易时段后于Jun 16创下$225.64的高点,并在Aug 26以$140.51收盘,盘中低点为$138.87。成交量也有明确变化:首日为495.6百万股,创下高点的交易时段为274.5百万股,最近一个交易时段为2.3百万股。该股上市以来首次在正常交易时段收盘价低于首个公开成交价,出现在Jul 7, 2026,即其上市历程中的第16个交易时段;纳斯达克-100指数纳入交易记录了此前出现的收盘集合竞价成交。

查询常规交易时段数据:上市以来每个SPCX交易日的开盘、收盘、最低、最高及成交量
52 rows (showing 20)
交易日期交易标签常规交易时段开盘价常规交易时段收盘价常规交易时段最低价常规交易时段最高价成交量(百万)
2026-06-12Jun 12150161.29149.34176.52495.6
2026-06-15Jun 15171.74192.42168.35193219.6
2026-06-16Jun 16200.51201.99195.13225.64274.5
2026-06-17Jun 17209.84192.2187.01213.8179.3
2026-06-18Jun 18188.39184.97172.11190189.3
2026-06-22Jun 22176.04154.59154176.75150.7
2026-06-23Jun 23151.06156.06147.11165.5132.1
2026-06-24Jun 24154.2154.46150.72159.8665
2026-06-25Jun 25156.62153.01150160.6552.4
2026-06-26Jun 26150.62152.74148.51158.466.6
2026-06-29Jun 29157.35164151.74166.1767.9
2026-06-30Jun 30163.38170.72161.64172.471.4
2026-07-01Jul 1171.56157.69155171.7489.8
2026-07-02Jul 2159.72161.86155.88162.1650.7
2026-07-06Jul 6165.95160.4155.04167.975.8
2026-07-07Jul 7158.92149.58148.86159.366.2
2026-07-08Jul 8152.55148.33145.2152.9352.3
2026-07-09Jul 9150.44152.12147.59153.539.8
2026-07-10Jul 10150.12145.4145.07150.5738.8
2026-07-13Jul 13144.7139.19136.78144.9265.2
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS session_date,
    formatDateTime(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), '%b %e') AS session_label,
    round(toFloat64(argMin(open, window_start)), 2) AS rth_open,
    round(toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)), 2) AS rth_close,
    round(toFloat64(min(low)), 2) AS rth_low,
    round(toFloat64(max(high)), 2) AS rth_high,
    round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS vol_m
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND window_start < now()
  AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY session_date, session_label
HAVING count() >= 150
ORDER BY session_date
自己运行这个查询

最新交易时段

下方面板按时间段展示最近一个完整交易时段的走势,从开盘铃声到收盘。开盘半小时成交量为0.7百万股,股价报$139.48。收盘半小时成交量为0.23百万股,收于$140.51;本时段最低价为$138.87

查询最新完整交易日半小时走势:收盘价、最低价及成交量
美东时间收盘价区间下限成交量(百万)
09:30139.48138.870.7
10:00140.07139.290.54
10:30140.05140.010.4
11:00140.26140.050.15
11:30140.49140.260.14
12:00140.69140.290.14
12:30140.51140.380.23
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH latest_session AS (
    SELECT max(d) AS latest_d
    FROM (
        SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND window_start < now()
          AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
        GROUP BY d
        HAVING count() >= 150
    )
)
SELECT
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(toStartOfInterval(window_start, INTERVAL 30 MINUTE), 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i') AS et_time,
    round(toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)), 2) AS close_px,
    round(toFloat64(min(low)), 2) AS bucket_low,
    round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 2) AS vol_m
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND window_start < now()
  AND toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) = (SELECT latest_d FROM latest_session)
  AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY et_time
ORDER BY et_time
自己运行这个查询

买卖价差、上市周及当前状况

买卖价差是每笔可成交委托都要承担的成本。上市首日,买卖价差平均为中间价的 10.74 个基点;在交易最活跃的交易时段,平均为 7.14 个基点;在 Aug 19,平均为 2.9 个基点。首日最优报价处的平均深度为 9506 股,而样本中最新交易时段为 326 股。报价数据取自两个窗口:上市后的四周和最近三周。因此,这项比较的成本足够低,可以每周重新运行。

查询按交易日统计的股票报价价差与深度:上市后四周及随后三周
29 rows (showing 20)
交易日期交易标签平均价差(基点)平均深度已剔除无效项
2026-06-12Jun 1210.74950624988
2026-06-15Jun 155.1923678411
2026-06-16Jun 167.1414787679
2026-06-17Jun 17810794348
2026-06-18Jun 183.9786110114
2026-06-22Jun 222.5355303898
2026-06-23Jun 233.4446574050
2026-06-24Jun 246.552411970
2026-06-25Jun 255.632401335
2026-06-26Jun 264.348252960
2026-06-29Jun 294.543312280
2026-06-30Jun 304.413201227
2026-07-01Jul 13.423123839
2026-07-02Jul 24.53191411
2026-07-06Jul 63.823842449
2026-07-07Jul 74.1832653394
2026-07-08Jul 84.814562013
2026-07-09Jul 94.723281485
2026-07-10Jul 103.66853692
2026-08-06Aug 63.128097466
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session_date,
    formatDateTime(toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')), '%b %e') AS session_label,
    round(avgIf((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2) * 10000, bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price), 2) AS avg_spread_bps,
    round(avgIf((toFloat64(ask_size) + toFloat64(bid_size)) / 2, bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price), 0) AS avg_depth,
    countIf(NOT (bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price)) AS dropped_invalid
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND sip_timestamp < now()
  AND ((sip_timestamp >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-11 00:00:00')
       OR sip_timestamp >= now() - INTERVAL 21 DAY)
  AND (toHour(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY session_date, session_label
HAVING countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price) > 0
ORDER BY session_date
自己运行这个查询

期权:当前市场交易情况

Aug 26, 2026(这是目前有SPCX期权成交记录的最近一个交易日),交易最活跃的合约是将于Aug 28, 2026到期的140-strike call,成交量为38648张;其次是135-strike put,成交量为25909张。SPCX提供每周和每月到期合约,而非每日到期合约,因此大多数交易日根本没有当日0DTE合约。过去三周内,认沽/认购成交量比分别为0.98Aug 6)和0.57Aug 26)。单日成交量领先的合约本身无法确定期权持有者在到期时获得金额最少的行权价,而这正是最大痛点所衡量的指标。该计算依据的是整个期权链的未平仓合约量,而不是单个交易日的成交记录。

查询最新交易日:按成交量计最活跃的SPCX期权合约
标签到期标签交易标签成交量名义金额(百万)
140-strike callAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026386480.07
135-strike putAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026259090.04
143-strike callAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026254250.03
145-strike callAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026250450.02
150-strike callAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026200860.01
138-strike callAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026144660.04
130-strike putAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026114370
139-strike callAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026111980.03
137-strike callAug 28, 2026Aug 26, 2026111390.03
150-strike callSep 4, 2026Aug 26, 202685300.01
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH latest_opt_session AS (
    SELECT max(toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York'))) AS d
    FROM global_markets.options_trades
    WHERE ticker LIKE 'O:SPCX%'
      AND length(ticker) = 21
      AND sip_timestamp >= now() - INTERVAL 8 DAY AND sip_timestamp < now()
)
SELECT
    concat(toString(toUInt32OrZero(substring(ticker, 14, 8)) / 1000), '-strike ', if(substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C', 'call', 'put')) AS label,
    formatDateTime(toDate(concat('20', substring(ticker, 7, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 9, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 11, 2))), '%b %e, %Y') AS expiry_label,
    formatDateTime(max(toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York'))), '%b %e, %Y') AS session_label,
    sum(size) AS volume,
    round(sum(toFloat64(size) * toFloat64(price)) / 1e6, 2) AS notional_m
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE ticker LIKE 'O:SPCX%'
  AND length(ticker) = 21
  AND sip_timestamp >= now() - INTERVAL 8 DAY AND sip_timestamp < now()
  AND toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) = (SELECT d FROM latest_opt_session)
GROUP BY label, expiry_label
ORDER BY volume DESC
LIMIT 10
自己运行这个查询
查询按交易日统计的看跌/看涨成交量比率,最近三周
交易日期交易标签认沽认购比认购量认沽量
2026-08-06Aug 60.98844272827484
2026-08-07Aug 70.7116710391191298
2026-08-10Aug 100.73680522494674
2026-08-11Aug 110.84463593390503
2026-08-12Aug 120.721007840722266
2026-08-13Aug 130.82667160547380
2026-08-14Aug 140.82728039595505
2026-08-17Aug 170.78611684475398
2026-08-18Aug 180.75405459305787
2026-08-19Aug 190.61404640246774
2026-08-20Aug 201.13538864609128
2026-08-21Aug 210.66684494451729
2026-08-24Aug 240.76342877259019
2026-08-25Aug 250.51375655192494
2026-08-26Aug 260.57383684218989
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session_date,
    formatDateTime(toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')), '%b %e') AS session_label,
    round(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P') / sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C'), 2) AS pc_ratio,
    sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C') AS call_vol,
    sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P') AS put_vol
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE ticker LIKE 'O:SPCX%'
  AND length(ticker) = 21
  AND sip_timestamp >= now() - INTERVAL 21 DAY AND sip_timestamp < now()
GROUP BY session_date, session_label
HAVING sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C') > 0
ORDER BY session_date
自己运行这个查询

期权报价仍然偏宽

该股盘口与期权链的报价尺度并不一致。在 Aug 21,SPCX合约的平均报价价差为 1070.46 个基点;在 Aug 25,为 1146.32 个基点,而该股最近交易日的价差为 2.9 个基点。上述两个交易日中,最佳报价处的平均挂单量分别为 204 张和 224 张。本面板有意比股票面板少展示一个交易日或两个交易日:cache_options_quotes 的数据入库延迟在该数据仓库中最长,因此其最近交易日比市场行情晚一天或两天。

查询期权报价价差与买卖一档数量:过去一个半星期内有记录的交易日
交易日期交易标签期权价差(基点)平均规模已剔除无效项报价数
2026-08-21Aug 211070.462041373383299899
2026-08-24Aug 241035.73225436081862425
2026-08-25Aug 251146.32224300474527947
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session_date,
    formatDateTime(toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')), '%b %e') AS session_label,
    round(avgIf((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2) * 10000, bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price), 2) AS opt_spread_bps,
    round(avgIf((toFloat64(ask_size) + toFloat64(bid_size)) / 2, bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price), 0) AS avg_size,
    countIf(NOT (bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price)) AS dropped_invalid,
    count() AS quotes
FROM global_markets.cache_options_quotes
WHERE ticker LIKE 'O:SPCX%'
  AND sip_timestamp >= now() - INTERVAL 8 DAY AND sip_timestamp < now()
  AND (toHour(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY session_date, session_label
HAVING countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price) > 0
ORDER BY session_date
自己运行这个查询

SPCX与大盘的表现

从上市日至最近一个收盘日,SPY较期初交易价变动了4.04%,而SPCX较其首次公开成交价变动了-6.3%,两者相差10.4个百分点。下方面板按交易时段列出相同测算结果:在Aug 26,SPY开盘至收盘变动0.54%,SPCX变动1.08%。

查询SPY与SPCX开盘至收盘表现,常规交易时段,最近三周
交易日期交易标签SPY涨跌幅SPCX百分比
2026-08-06Aug 6-0.227.31
2026-08-07Aug 70.2815.78
2026-08-10Aug 100.062.81
2026-08-11Aug 11-0.53-3.82
2026-08-12Aug 12-0.288.26
2026-08-13Aug 130.38-1.74
2026-08-14Aug 14-0.29-2.14
2026-08-17Aug 17-0.454.5
2026-08-18Aug 18-0.171.85
2026-08-19Aug 19-0.17-3.65
2026-08-20Aug 200.05-0.04
2026-08-21Aug 210.22-0.07
2026-08-24Aug 240.050.26
2026-08-25Aug 25-0.16-0.17
2026-08-26Aug 260.541.08
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    a.session_date AS session_date,
    a.session_label AS session_label,
    round(a.spy_pct, 2) AS spy_pct,
    round(b.spcx_pct, 2) AS spcx_pct
FROM (
    SELECT
        toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS session_date,
        formatDateTime(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), '%b %e') AS session_label,
        (argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100 AS spy_pct
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
      AND window_start >= now() - INTERVAL 21 DAY AND window_start < now()
      AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
    GROUP BY session_date, session_label
    HAVING count() >= 150
) a
INNER JOIN (
    SELECT
        toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS session_date,
        (argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100 AS spcx_pct
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
      AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00'
      AND window_start >= now() - INTERVAL 21 DAY AND window_start < now()
      AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
    GROUP BY session_date
    HAVING count() >= 150
) b ON a.session_date = b.session_date
ORDER BY a.session_date
自己运行这个查询

新闻源显示的内容

标题数量是可以统计的。从上市日到最近一次读数,供应商新闻源共收录 650 篇带有 SPCX 标签的文章,来自 4 家出版商。其中,The Motley Fool 家出版商单独发布了 81.4% 的文章。报道最密集的一天是上市日,即 6 月 12 日,共有 42 篇文章;6 月 16 日市场见顶时为 31 篇。此后没有任何一天的文章数量接近 IPO 当日的水平,差距达到 13 篇。上市当周平均每天有 25.7 篇文章。最近一周为 2.9 篇。另有 128 篇文章同时标记 Tesla;32 篇的标题中包含“Nasdaq”。在下跌过程中,没有出现任何一天成为报道重点。

查询从上市日到最新数据的新闻流关注度:数量、集中度及最近一周
文章总数发布机构数头部发布机构头部发布机构占比最繁忙月份最繁忙日期IPO日文章数峰值时段文章数峰值后日最大数IPO日减峰值后最大数首周平均数最近7日平均数与TSLA共同标记数标题含NASDAQ数
6504The Motley Fool81.46124231291325.72.912832
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH daily_counts AS (
    SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) AS d, count() AS n
    FROM global_markets.stocks_news
    WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
      AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 04:00:00') AND published_utc < now()
    GROUP BY d
),
top_pub AS (
    SELECT JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name') AS p, count() AS n
    FROM global_markets.stocks_news
    WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
      AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 04:00:00') AND published_utc < now()
    GROUP BY p ORDER BY n DESC, p ASC LIMIT 1
)
SELECT
    count() AS total_articles,
    uniqExact(JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name')) AS publishers,
    (SELECT p FROM top_pub) AS top_publisher,
    round(100.0 * (SELECT n FROM top_pub) / count(), 1) AS top_publisher_share_pct,
    (SELECT toMonth(argMax(d, (n, -toInt32(toDayOfYear(d))))) FROM daily_counts) AS busiest_month,
    (SELECT toDayOfMonth(argMax(d, (n, -toInt32(toDayOfYear(d))))) FROM daily_counts) AS busiest_dom,
    countIf(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = toDate('2026-06-12')) AS ipo_day_articles,
    countIf(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = toDate('2026-06-16')) AS peak_session_articles,
    (SELECT max(n) FROM daily_counts WHERE d > toDate('2026-06-16')) AS max_daily_after_peak,
    countIf(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = toDate('2026-06-12')) - (SELECT max(n) FROM daily_counts WHERE d > toDate('2026-06-16')) AS ipo_day_minus_max_after,
    (SELECT round(sum(n) / 7, 1) FROM daily_counts WHERE d <= toDate('2026-06-18')) AS first_week_avg,
    (SELECT round(sum(n) / 7, 1) FROM daily_counts WHERE d > today() - 7) AS last7_avg,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'TSLA')) AS tsla_co_tagged,
    countIf(positionCaseInsensitive(title, 'nasdaq') > 0) AS nasdaq_titled
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
  AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 04:00:00') AND published_utc < now()
自己运行这个查询

内幕申报与 EDGAR 记录

Form 4 是公司内部人士买卖本公司股票后,须在两个工作日内提交的文件。从 6 月 12 日的上市记录到最新数据,EDGAR 申报索引显示共有 19 份 SPCX 申报文件,其中包括 8 份 8-K 当前报告、1 份 Form 3 初始持股声明、1 份 Form 4,以及 9 份其他文件。最早的 Form 4 日期为 Jun 17, 2026,即峰值后的第一个日历日。该索引记录文件类型和日期,但不包含交易方向或交易规模。自峰值以来,记录中共有 15 份任何类型的申报文件;距本次数据读取最近的一份日期为 Aug 14, 2026,即 13 天前。

查询EDGAR索引中自6月12日上市以来的所有SPCX申报文件,逐项列示
申报总数Form 4申报数Form 3申报数8-K申报数其他申报数首份Form 4标签首份Form 4月份首份Form 4日期最后申报标签距最后申报天数峰值后申报数
191189Jun 17, 2026617Aug 14, 20261315
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
    count() AS total_filings,
    countIf(form_type = '4') AS form4_filings,
    countIf(form_type = '3') AS form3_filings,
    countIf(form_type = '8-K') AS eightk_filings,
    countIf(form_type NOT IN ('4', '3', '8-K')) AS other_filings,
    formatDateTime(minIf(filing_date, form_type = '4'), '%b %e, %Y') AS first_form4_label,
    toMonth(minIf(filing_date, form_type = '4')) AS first_form4_month,
    toDayOfMonth(minIf(filing_date, form_type = '4')) AS first_form4_dom,
    formatDateTime(max(filing_date), '%b %e, %Y') AS last_filing_label,
    toInt32(today() - max(filing_date)) AS days_since_last_filing,
    countIf(filing_date > toDate('2026-06-16')) AS filings_since_peak
FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND filing_date >= toDate('2026-06-12') AND filing_date <= today()
自己运行这个查询

IPO上市后回到发行价附近通常需要多长时间?

SPCX经过16个交易日后,收盘价首次低于上市首日盘中首次成交价。下方图表采用相同方法,分析近期四宗备受关注的美国IPO:CoreWeave、Klarna、Medline和Cerebras。具体做法是先取各股票正常交易时段的首次成交价,再统计首次出现正常交易时段收盘价低于该价格所需的交易日数量;统计窗口为各股票上市后的前26个日历日。Klarna开盘价较发行价高30%,但上市首个交易日收盘价就低于首次成交价;Cerebras开盘价较发行价高89.2%,结果相同;CoreWeave开盘价较发行价低2.5%,并在第2个交易日跌破首次成交价。Medline在16个交易日的观察窗口内始终未跌破。SPCX在四只出现跌破的股票中持有时间最长,中途50.4%的迂回走势也使其与其他股票有所不同。2026年上半年IPO市场回顾提供了全市场上市后表现数据。

查询从上市日至首次收盘价低于首笔成交价:SPCX与四只近期IPO对比
代码已上市发行价格首个常规交易时段开盘价开盘价较发行价涨跌幅 (%)开盘价较发行价绝对涨跌幅 (%)窗口内交易时段数收盘低于首笔成交价首次突破突破标签突破交易时段数
CRWV2025-03-284039-2.52.51732Mar 31, 20252
KLAR2025-09-104052303018181Sep 10, 20251
MDLN2025-12-17293520.720.7160never in windownever in window0
CBRS2026-05-1418535089.289.217171May 14, 20261
SPCX2026-06-1213515011.111.116116Jul 7, 202616
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH daily AS (
    SELECT ticker,
        toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS session_date,
        argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) AS rth_open,
        argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS rth_close
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ((ticker = 'CRWV' AND window_start >= '2025-03-28 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2025-04-23 00:00:00')
        OR (ticker = 'KLAR' AND window_start >= '2025-09-10 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2025-10-06 00:00:00')
        OR (ticker = 'MDLN' AND window_start >= '2025-12-17 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-01-12 00:00:00')
        OR (ticker = 'CBRS' AND window_start >= '2026-05-14 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-06-09 00:00:00')
        OR (ticker = 'SPCX' AND window_start >= '2026-06-12 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-08 00:00:00'))
      AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
    GROUP BY ticker, session_date
),
w AS (
    SELECT ticker, session_date, rth_close,
        row_number() OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY session_date) AS rn,
        first_value(rth_open) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY session_date) AS d1_open
    FROM daily
),
agg AS (
    SELECT ticker,
        min(session_date) AS first_session,
        any(d1_open) AS day1_open,
        count() AS sessions_in_window,
        countIf(rth_close < d1_open) AS closes_below,
        minIf(toInt32(rn), rth_close < d1_open) AS break_rn,
        minIf(session_date, rth_close < d1_open) AS break_d
    FROM w GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT a.ticker AS ticker,
    toString(a.first_session) AS listed,
    round(l.issue_px, 2) AS issue_price,
    round(a.day1_open, 2) AS first_rth_open,
    round((a.day1_open / l.issue_px - 1) * 100, 1) AS open_vs_issue_pct,
    round(abs((a.day1_open / l.issue_px - 1) * 100), 1) AS open_vs_issue_pct_abs,
    a.sessions_in_window AS sessions_in_window,
    a.closes_below AS closes_below_first_print,
    if(a.closes_below > 0, toString(a.break_rn), 'never in window') AS first_break,
    if(a.closes_below > 0, formatDateTime(a.break_d, '%b %e, %Y'), 'never in window') AS break_label,
    a.break_rn AS break_session_n
FROM agg a
INNER JOIN (
    SELECT ticker, min(listing_date) AS ld, argMin(toFloat64(final_issue_price), listing_date) AS issue_px
    FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos
    WHERE ticker IN ('SPCX', 'CBRS', 'MDLN', 'CRWV', 'KLAR') AND listing_date >= '2025-01-01' AND ipo_status = 'history'
    GROUP BY ticker
) l ON a.ticker = l.ticker
ORDER BY a.first_session
自己运行这个查询

常见问题

SpaceX股价从峰值回落了多少?

SPCX于Jun 16, 2026达到225.64美元的峰值,并于Aug 26, 2026收于140.51美元。从峰值成交价到该收盘价,跌幅为37.7%,即每股85.12美元。本页每周都会将这一差距重新计算至最近一个完整交易日。

SPCX的交易价格低于IPO发行价吗?

截至最近收盘价,SPCX相对于150美元的首笔常规交易时段成交价变动了-6.3%,相对于此次发行的135美元发行价变动了4.1%。首次常规交易时段收盘价低于首笔成交价的日期是Jul 7, 2026。盘中成交价更早跌破该水平,分别出现在上市首日(6月12日盘中低点为149.34美元)以及Jun 23(该交易日低点为147.11美元)。

SPCX的下跌是否属于全市场走势?

不是。在同一时间段内,SPY自首笔成交价起变动了4.04%,而SPCX变动了-6.3%,两者相差10.4个百分点。逐个交易日看,Aug 26,SPY开盘至收盘变动了0.54%,SPCX变动了1.08%。

SpaceX内部人士是否在股价下跌期间卖出股票?

SEC申报索引显示,自6月12日上市以来共有1份SPCX Form 4申报。该类表格用于披露内部人士交易,最早日期为Jun 17, 2026。该索引不包含交易方向,因此无法据此判断相关申报代表买入还是卖出。截至峰值以来,记录中共有15份任何类型的SPCX申报。

IPO股票通常能在首个交易价格上方维持多久?

通常不会太久。按照相同方法统计四只备受关注的2025—26年上市股票:Klarna和Cerebras在上市首个交易日收盘跌破首笔常规交易时段成交价,CoreWeave则在第2个交易日跌破;SPCX维持到第16个交易日,Medline在前16个交易日内尚未跌破该水平。

数据说明

  • 实体核验(复用代码):此前,SPCX代码对应的是另一家无关公司,该公司的交易记录持续至2026年4月;2026年6月12日上市前的任何数据均不归属于SpaceX,本页所有面板的统计起点也均为该日期。记分板的发行价记录对应stocks_ipos记录(Space Exploration Technologies Corp.,于2026年6月12日上市);首月深度分析包含完整的核验记录。
  • “最新完整交易时段”指最近一个纽约交易时段,且该时段至少包含150根正常交易时段的分钟K线。 这一定义允许纳入预定的半日交易时段,并排除尚未完整录入的交易日,避免其进入当前状态数据。数据仓库通常比实时行情晚一个交易时段,因此最新读数通常对应前一交易时段。
  • 峰值已通过单笔成交交叉核验:峰值交易日的最高价连续两个分钟(纽约时间上午10:02至10:03)均有成交记录,且相邻K线的价格相差约两美元以内。这是经过追溯确认的极值,而非孤立成交记录。若出现新高,将突破本页峰值日期的界限,并进入复核流程。
  • 报价面板排除单边报价、交叉报价或锁定报价记录,并在同一面板的dropped_invalid列中统计被剔除的记录数。股票报价面板取两个窗口的数据(上市起四周,以及最近三个月),因此页面存续时间变长后,扫描成本仍保持稳定。
  • 成交量仅为正常交易时段的分钟K线成交量合计;盘前等延长交易时段的成交记录,包括首月文章提到的6月23日盘前低点,均不计入本页任何面板。
  • 新闻数量来自一家供应商的资讯源,按纽约日历日归类;The Motley Fool撰写了标记文章中的81.4%,因此这些数量反映的是资讯源关注度,而非重要性。
  • EDGAR索引仅包含表格类型、日期和URL。 本页不对任何Form 4的交易方向作出判断。
  • 往返比较扫描每只股票上市后的前26个日历日,并固定使用明确的日期字面量,因此日后可复现;“窗口内从未出现”即表示确实从未出现。

方法论

  • 这是滚动更新的文章。每个当前状态面板均以执行时点为边界,并在每周批处理时重新测量;页面会标注“数据截至”时间。历史比较面板使用明确的日期字面量,因此在之后任何日期运行时都会复现相同数据。
  • 时间戳以 UTC 存储,并在查询内部转换为纽约时间;常规交易时段按美东时间筛选,即分钟线为上午 9:30 至下午 3:59,因此该时间窗口可在夏令时切换前后保持一致。“收盘价”指常规交易时段最后一根分钟线的价格;价格来自延迟的综合行情视图。
  • 比率计算前,十进制列会转换为 64 位浮点数。期权到期日、类型和行权价均从 OCC 代码中解析(对于这一四字符根代码,分别取第 7、13 和 14 位;length(ticker) = 21 精确限定根代码,因此不会混入相似根代码)。

本文是 SPCX 系列的第三篇,前两篇分别是首月深度分析纳斯达克-100 指数纳入交易。所有数据均来自已存储的查询,请在 Strasmore 终端自行运行 SQL。