市场回顾:二零二六年七月一日数据汇总
下半年首个交易日指数平静但内部波动剧烈。SPY、QQQ小幅波动,存储器板块大跌,META上涨,多数标普板块收涨。
2026年7月1日星期三是下半年首个交易日,也是当月指数表现最平静的交易日之一,但盘面波动却异常剧烈。SPY收于-0.08%,QQQ收于-1.44%;然而,推动第二季度上涨的存储器板块市值缩水十分之一,META上涨8.88%,11只剩7的标普板块基金收涨。上一交易日:6月30日。
成绩一览
变化比较的是7月1日常规交易时段的最后一根K线与6月30日周二的收盘数据。
| 股票代码 | 前收盘价 | 日开盘价 | 日收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 日最高价 | 日最低价 | 成交股数(百万) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIA | 522.28 | 521.43 | 522.41 | 0.02 | 526.72 | 519.62 | 3.2 |
| IWM | 300.42 | 299.93 | 299.31 | -0.37 | 302.72 | 298.92 | 18.3 |
| QQQ | 735.76 | 729.19 | 725.16 | -1.44 | 731.92 | 724.6 | 34.7 |
| SPY | 746.32 | 745 | 745.69 | -0.08 | 749.44 | 742.38 | 37.2 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH prior AS (
SELECT ticker, argMax(close, window_start) AS prior_close
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'DIA', 'IWM')
AND window_start >= '2026-06-30 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-06-30 20:00:00'
GROUP BY ticker
),
sess AS (
SELECT ticker,
argMin(open, window_start) AS day_open,
argMax(close, window_start) AS day_close,
max(high) AS day_high,
min(low) AS day_low,
round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_traded_m
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'DIA', 'IWM')
AND window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
s.ticker AS ticker,
round(toFloat64(p.prior_close), 2) AS prior_close,
round(toFloat64(s.day_open), 2) AS day_open,
round(toFloat64(s.day_close), 2) AS day_close,
round((toFloat64(s.day_close) / toFloat64(p.prior_close) - 1) * 100, 2) AS pct_change,
round(toFloat64(s.day_high), 2) AS day_high,
round(toFloat64(s.day_low), 2) AS day_low,
s.shares_traded_m AS shares_traded_m
FROM sess s
JOIN prior p ON s.ticker = p.ticker
ORDER BY s.ticker分化才是关键:DIA为0.02%、SPY为-0.08%,基本持平;相比之下,QQQ为-1.44%、IWM为-0.37%。成长股遭到抛售,但大盘几乎未受影响。
过去一个月内最平静的指数交易日之一
| 日变动幅度(%) | 绝对变动排名 | 比较交易日数 | 首个交易日 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 20 | 22 | 2026-06-01 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT round(anyIf(oc_pct, d = toDate('2026-07-01')), 2) AS day_move_pct,
arrayCount(x -> x > abs(anyIf(oc_pct, d = toDate('2026-07-01'))), groupArrayIf(abs(oc_pct), d != toDate('2026-07-01'))) + 1 AS abs_move_rank,
count() AS sessions_compared,
toString(min(d)) AS first_session
FROM (
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
(argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) / argMin(toFloat64(open), window_start) - 1) * 100 AS oc_pct
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY d
)从开盘到收盘观察,与收盘价对收盘价的统计口径不同,SPY变动了0.09%:按绝对变动幅度计,在过去22个交易日中排名20,只有两天的变动更小。波动率相关资产也反映了这一点。该数据库不包含现货VIX指数,因此我们改用已上市的VIX期货基金进行核对。这是最接近可交易的保护性资产价格指标:
| 股票代码 | 前收盘价 | 日收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 波动范围(%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 746.32 | 745.69 | -0.08 | 0.95 |
| SVXY | 57.25 | 57.01 | -0.42 | 1.19 |
| UVXY | 24.87 | 25.15 | 1.13 | 3.68 |
| VIXY | 21.3 | 21.47 | 0.8 | 2.38 |
| VXX | 22.11 | 22.27 | 0.72 | 2.45 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH per_name AS (
SELECT
ticker,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS prior_close,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS day_close,
maxIf(toFloat64(high), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS day_high,
minIf(toFloat64(low), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS day_low
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'SVXY', 'UVXY', 'VIXY', 'VXX')
AND ((window_start >= '2026-06-30 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-06-30 20:00:00')
OR (window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'))
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
ticker,
round(prior_close, 2) AS prior_close,
round(day_close, 2) AS day_close,
round((day_close / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS pct_chg,
round((day_high / day_low - 1) * 100, 2) AS range_pct
FROM per_name
ORDER BY tickerVXX是规模最大的近月VIX期货基金,上涨0.72%;VIXY上涨0.8%;杠杆型UVXY在3.68%的区间内变动1.13%;反向基金SVXY变动-0.42%。与个股的表现相比,这些变化几乎可以忽略。
市场广度:下跌股票多于上涨股票,但创出新高的股票多于创出新低的股票
| 上涨股数 | 下跌股数 | 平盘股数 | 上涨股占比 | 创季度新高数 | 创季度新低数 | 新高/新低数 | 完整季度数据股票数 | 高流动性股票代码数 | 两交易日均成交股票代码数 | 因流动性筛选剔除数 | 因季度历史不足剔除数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2928 | 3465 | 82 | 45.2 | 836 | 246 | 3.4 | 6217 | 6475 | 11910 | 5435 | 258 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH per_ticker AS (
SELECT
ticker,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS prior_close,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS day_close,
maxIf(toFloat64(high), window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS quarter_high,
minIf(toFloat64(low), window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS quarter_low,
maxIf(toFloat64(high), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS day_high,
minIf(toFloat64(low), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS day_low,
sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS day_dollar_volume,
countIf(window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS quarter_bars
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ((window_start >= '2026-04-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-06-30 20:00:00')
OR (window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'))
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
countIf(day_close > prior_close AND day_dollar_volume >= 1000000) AS advancers,
countIf(day_close < prior_close AND day_dollar_volume >= 1000000) AS decliners,
countIf(day_close = prior_close AND day_dollar_volume >= 1000000) AS unchanged,
round(100.0 * countIf(day_close > prior_close AND day_dollar_volume >= 1000000)
/ countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000), 1) AS advancer_pct,
countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000 AND quarter_bars >= 1000 AND day_high > quarter_high) AS new_quarter_highs,
countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000 AND quarter_bars >= 1000 AND day_low < quarter_low) AS new_quarter_lows,
round(countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000 AND quarter_bars >= 1000 AND day_high > quarter_high)
/ countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000 AND quarter_bars >= 1000 AND day_low < quarter_low), 1) AS highs_per_low,
countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000 AND quarter_bars >= 1000) AS names_with_a_full_quarter,
countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000) AS liquid_tickers,
count() AS tickers_traded_both_sessions,
count() - countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000) AS dropped_by_liquidity_filter,
countIf(day_dollar_volume >= 1000000 AND quarter_bars < 1000) AS dropped_short_quarter_history
FROM per_ticker
WHERE prior_close > 0 AND day_close > 02928只股票上涨,3465只股票下跌,82只股票持平;流动性较高的交易记录中,有45.2%上涨。但覆盖范围不等于跌幅严重程度:与第二季度常规交易时段的波动区间相比,在这一下跌日,完成整个季度交易的6217只股票中,有836只创出季度新高,有246只创出新低,即每创出一个新低对应3.4个新高。多数股票只是小幅回落,少数跌破了原有区间。下跌股票包括:在100万美元门槛筛选下,双时段交易代码中有5435,以及没有完整季度K线数据的流动性较高股票中有11910;后者占流动性较高、没有完整季度K线数据股票的258。
行业板块:跌幅仅深入一个板块
这十一只SPDR行业基金,是观察整个市场横截面的最低成本工具,每个交易日跟踪同一篮子资产。
| 股票代码 | 前收盘价 | 日收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 高于最差板块的比例 | 截至目前上涨 | 日成交额(十亿美元) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLC | 107.16 | 109.74 | 2.41 | 4.97 | 1 | 1.46 |
| XLF | 53.61 | 54.79 | 2.2 | 4.76 | 2 | 2.35 |
| XLY | 117.27 | 118.07 | 0.68 | 3.24 | 3 | 1.02 |
| XLV | 158.67 | 159.57 | 0.57 | 3.13 | 4 | 1.48 |
| XLRE | 44.02 | 44.18 | 0.36 | 2.93 | 5 | 0.33 |
| XLB | 50.84 | 51 | 0.31 | 2.88 | 6 | 0.63 |
| XLP | 83.08 | 83.33 | 0.3 | 2.86 | 7 | 0.85 |
| XLE | 53.14 | 52.82 | -0.6 | 1.96 | 7 | 1.66 |
| XLI | 185.22 | 183.41 | -0.98 | 1.59 | 7 | 1.35 |
| XLU | 45.34 | 44.76 | -1.28 | 1.28 | 7 | 1.17 |
| XLK | 190.42 | 185.54 | -2.56 | 0 | 7 | 1.7 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH per_name AS (
SELECT
ticker,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS prior_close,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS day_close,
round(sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') / 1e9, 2) AS day_dollar_bn
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('XLB', 'XLC', 'XLE', 'XLF', 'XLI', 'XLK', 'XLP', 'XLRE', 'XLU', 'XLV', 'XLY')
AND ((window_start >= '2026-06-30 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-06-30 20:00:00')
OR (window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'))
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
ticker,
round(prior_close, 2) AS prior_close,
round(day_close, 2) AS day_close,
round((day_close / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS pct_chg,
round((day_close / prior_close - 1) * 100 - min((day_close / prior_close - 1) * 100) OVER (), 2) AS pct_above_worst_sector,
sum(if(day_close > prior_close, 1, 0)) OVER (ORDER BY (day_close / prior_close) DESC ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS green_so_far,
day_dollar_bn
FROM per_name
ORDER BY pct_chg DESC通信服务(XLC)板块基金持有META,领涨,涨幅为2.41%;金融(XLF)紧随其后,涨幅为2.2%。科技(XLK)板块独居跌幅榜底部,较领涨板块低-2.56%和4.97个百分点。总体来看,11只基金中有7只收涨;可选消费(0.68%)和医疗保健(0.57%)上涨,而公用事业(-1.28%)、工业(-0.98%)和能源(-0.6%)下跌。这就是“指数几乎没有变动”在市场内部的真实情况。
当日焦点:存储股遭遇重挫,META则走出相反行情
八只股票推动了这场分化:四只在第二季度领涨的存储与内存股,以及围绕它们的四只芯片和平台股。文中报告联动性、跌幅和时间点;数据并未说明原因。
| 股票代码 | 前收盘价 | 日收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 日最高价时间(ET) | 日最低价时间(ET) | 最低价分钟(ET) | 波动范围(%) | 日成交额(十亿美元) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | 580.82 | 540.89 | -6.87 | 09:51 | 15:57 | 957 | 4.71 | 12 |
| META | 562.94 | 612.92 | 8.88 | 11:05 | 09:30 | 570 | 5.58 | 22.72 |
| MRVL | 297.79 | 271.95 | -8.68 | 10:08 | 15:58 | 958 | 7.8 | 7.14 |
| MU | 1151.01 | 1033.29 | -10.23 | 09:48 | 15:59 | 959 | 6.28 | 42.94 |
| NVDA | 199.76 | 197.58 | -1.09 | 15:09 | 09:33 | 573 | 3.31 | 21.73 |
| SNDK | 2272.59 | 2035.07 | -10.45 | 09:51 | 14:49 | 889 | 6.39 | 18.38 |
| STX | 964.55 | 915.25 | -5.11 | 09:51 | 09:35 | 575 | 5.69 | 2.84 |
| WDC | 638.57 | 598.37 | -6.3 | 09:51 | 10:46 | 646 | 5.39 | 4 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH per_name AS (
SELECT
ticker,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start < '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS prior_close,
toFloat64(argMaxIf(close, window_start, window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00')) AS day_close,
maxIf(toFloat64(high), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS day_high,
minIf(toFloat64(low), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS day_low,
argMinIf(window_start, (toFloat64(low), toInt64(toUnixTimestamp(window_start))), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS low_bar,
argMaxIf(window_start, (toFloat64(high), -toInt64(toUnixTimestamp(window_start))), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') AS high_bar,
round(sumIf(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume), window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00') / 1e9, 2) AS day_dollar_bn
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('AMD', 'META', 'MRVL', 'MU', 'NVDA', 'SNDK', 'STX', 'WDC')
AND ((window_start >= '2026-06-30 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-06-30 20:00:00')
OR (window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'))
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
ticker,
round(prior_close, 2) AS prior_close,
round(day_close, 2) AS day_close,
round((day_close / prior_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS pct_chg,
formatDateTime(toTimeZone(high_bar, 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i') AS day_high_et,
formatDateTime(toTimeZone(low_bar, 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i') AS day_low_et,
toHour(toTimeZone(low_bar, 'America/New_York')) * 60 + toMinute(toTimeZone(low_bar, 'America/New_York')) AS low_minute_et,
round((day_high / day_low - 1) * 100, 2) AS range_pct,
day_dollar_bn
FROM per_name
ORDER BY tickerSanDisk(-10.45%)和 Micron(-10.23%)的市值跌幅均超过十分之一;Marvell -8.68%、AMD -6.87%、Western Digital -6.3%、Seagate -5.11%。MU成交额达 42.94十亿美元,超过 SPY 全天成交额;MU、AMD 和 Marvell 均在收盘前几分钟创下日内低点(15:59、15:57、15:58 ET),卖盘在收盘集合竞价中完成,而不是早盘短暂下挫后迅速修复(MU深度分析介绍了背后的季度情况)。
META则完全相反:成交额为 8.88%,成交额达 22.72十亿美元,低点出现在 09:30 ET,即开盘K线,此后再未回到该水平。NVDA基本没有变动,报 -1.09%(NVDA的六月表现)。
报道内容
本页面不对原因作出判断。但我们的授权新闻源与其他数据表一样,只记录当天发布的内容:
| 发布时间(ET) | 发布者 | 标记名称数 | 标题 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | The Motley Fool | MU | Could Micron Stock Reach $2,000 on Memory Demand Alone? |
| 12:15 | The Motley Fool | MU | If You'd Invested $1,500 in Micron Stock 1 Year Ago, Here's How Much You |
| 12:26 | The Motley Fool | META | Why CoreWeave Stock Is Tumbling Today |
| 14:11 | The Motley Fool | MU | Why Micron Stock Is Plummeting Today |
| 14:24 | Investing.com | META | Markets Whipsaw as Semiconductors Fall and Magnificent 7 Stocks Move Hig |
| 15:23 | The Motley Fool | SNDK MU WDC | Will Sandisk Stock Split by Year-End 2026? |
| 15:32 | Investing.com | META | Nasdaq Posts Best Quarter in 6 Years as AI Backlogs Grow |
| 15:43 | Investing.com | META MU | S&P 500 Breadth Shows Rotation Is Replacing Mega-Cap Dependence |
| 17:12 | The Motley Fool | META MU SNDK | Stock Market Today, July 1: Meta Shakes Up Cloud Sector and Tech Stocks |
| 17:16 | The Motley Fool | META | Stock Market Today, July 1: Meta Surges on Reported Plan for AI Cloud Bu |
| 17:33 | The Motley Fool | META | Stock Market Today, July 1: CoreWeave Stock Tumbles as Meta Cloud Report |
| 22:20 | The Motley Fool | META | Why Meta Platforms Stock Surged Today |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT published_et, publisher, names_tagged, headline
FROM (
SELECT
published_utc,
formatDateTime(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i') AS published_et,
JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name') AS publisher,
arrayStringConcat(arrayFilter(x -> x IN ('MU', 'SNDK', 'STX', 'WDC', 'META'), tickers), ' ') AS names_tagged,
substring(title, 1, 72) AS headline
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE published_utc >= '2026-07-01 04:00:00' AND published_utc < '2026-07-02 04:00:00'
AND hasAny(tickers, ['MU', 'SNDK', 'STX', 'WDC', 'META'])
AND NOT has(tickers, 'SPCX')
AND position(title, 'SPCX') = 0
ORDER BY published_utc DESC
LIMIT 12
)
ORDER BY published_utc ASC《Motley Fool》在午后发布的美光(14:11 ET)文章,标题为“Why Micron Stock Is Plummeting Today”。该媒体在晚间综述(17:12 ET)及四分钟后发布的后续文章(17:16 ET)中,都将 META 的上涨与一项已报道的计划联系起来,即将过剩的 AI 算力作为云业务出售。这是该媒体的叙述框架,并非行情记录得出的结论;来自两家出版商的 12 篇文章,代表的是一个新闻源受到的关注度,而不是整个市场的关注度。
资金交易流向
| 股票代码 | 排行榜 | 美元成交额(十亿) | 美元价值(百万) | 股数(百万) | 占榜首百分比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | by dollars traded | 42.94 | None | 40.6 | 100 |
| SPY | by dollars traded | 27.76 | None | 37.2 | 64.6 |
| QQQ | by dollars traded | 25.24 | None | 34.7 | 58.8 |
| META | by dollars traded | 22.72 | None | 36.9 | 52.9 |
| NVDA | by dollars traded | 21.73 | None | 110.4 | 50.6 |
| SNDK | by dollars traded | 18.38 | None | 8.9 | 42.8 |
| SOXS | by shares traded | 2.05 | None | 553.1 | 100 |
| TZA | by shares traded | 0.87 | 867 | 230.4 | 41.7 |
| BITO | by shares traded | 1.84 | None | 227.1 | 41.1 |
| LHAI | by shares traded | 0.32 | 319 | 189.8 | 34.3 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT ticker, leaderboard, dollar_volume_bn, if(dollar_volume_bn < 1, dollar_volume_m, NULL) AS dollar_value_m, shares_m,
round(100 * if(leaderboard = 'by dollars traded', dollar_volume_bn, shares_m)
/ max(if(leaderboard = 'by dollars traded', dollar_volume_bn, shares_m)) OVER (PARTITION BY leaderboard), 1) AS pct_of_board_leader
FROM (
SELECT
'by dollars traded' AS leaderboard,
ticker,
round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS dollar_volume_bn,
round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 0) AS dollar_volume_m,
round(sum(toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY dollar_volume_bn DESC
LIMIT 6
UNION ALL
SELECT
'by shares traded' AS leaderboard,
ticker,
round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS dollar_volume_bn,
round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 0) AS dollar_volume_m,
round(sum(toFloat64(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY shares_m DESC
LIMIT 4
)
ORDER BY leaderboard ASC, if(leaderboard = 'by dollars traded', dollar_volume_bn, shares_m) DESCMU成交额以 $42.94 billion 居首,SPY以$27.76 billion排名第二,META以$22.72 billion排名第四。META股价下跌,但成交额比该指数基金高出一半。涨跌幅最大的股票也是成交最活跃的股票。
股票成交量榜单一如既往地像哈哈镜:三倍反向半导体ETF SOXS以553.1 million股居首,芯片股大跌当天成交最活跃;一只低价股以189.8 million股、价值$319 million的成交量收尾(相对成交量正好标示了这一点)。口径:7月1日正常交易时段,剔除一个重复使用的股票代码上市记录(存托凭证)。
期权交易明细
| 期权成交笔数(百万) | 合约数(百万) | 看涨期权成交量占比 | 看跌看涨比 | 当日到期占比 | 7月2日(周四)到期合约数(百万) | 7月3日(周五)到期成交笔数 | SPY看跌合约数(百万) | 低于SPY 2%的看跌期权占比 | 高于SPY 2%的看涨期权占比 | MU看跌看涨比 | META看跌看涨比 | 最大合约标的 | 最大合约行权价 | 最大合约类型 | 最大合约成交量 | 最大合约成交量格式 | 最大合约平均价格 | 最大合约是否当日到期 | 最大行权价减SPY收盘价 | SPY收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.22 | 68.46 | 58.6 | 0.71 | 33.5 | 14.43 | 0 | 5.76 | 11.6 | 3.7 | 1.11 | 0.39 | SPY | 748 | C | 878947 | 878,947 | 0.707 | 1 | 2.31 | 745.69 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
(
SELECT (any(underlying_symbol), any(toFloat64(strike_price)), any(option_type),
sum(size), round(avg(toFloat64(price)), 3),
any(if(substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260701', 1, 0)))
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-02 00:00:00'
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY sum(size) DESC, ticker ASC
LIMIT 1
) AS top_contract,
(
SELECT round(toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)), 2)
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'
) AS spy_regular_close
SELECT
round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS option_prints_m,
round(toFloat64(sum(size)) / 1e6, 2) AS contracts_m,
round(100.0 * sumIf(size, option_type = 'C') / sum(size), 1) AS call_pct_of_volume,
round(sumIf(toFloat64(size), option_type = 'P') / sumIf(toFloat64(size), option_type = 'C'), 2) AS put_call_ratio,
round(100.0 * sumIf(size, substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260701') / sum(size), 1) AS same_day_expiry_pct,
round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260702')) / 1e6, 2) AS thu_jul2_expiry_contracts_m,
countIf(substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 14, 6) = '260703') AS fri_jul3_expiry_prints,
round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, underlying_symbol = 'SPY' AND option_type = 'P')) / 1e6, 2) AS spy_put_contracts_m,
round(100.0 * sumIf(size, underlying_symbol = 'SPY' AND option_type = 'P' AND toFloat64(strike_price) < spy_regular_close * 0.98)
/ sumIf(size, underlying_symbol = 'SPY' AND option_type = 'P'), 1) AS spy_puts_2pct_below_pct,
round(100.0 * sumIf(size, underlying_symbol = 'SPY' AND option_type = 'C' AND toFloat64(strike_price) > spy_regular_close * 1.02)
/ sumIf(size, underlying_symbol = 'SPY' AND option_type = 'C'), 1) AS spy_calls_2pct_above_pct,
round(sumIf(toFloat64(size), underlying_symbol = 'MU' AND option_type = 'P')
/ sumIf(toFloat64(size), underlying_symbol = 'MU' AND option_type = 'C'), 2) AS mu_put_call_ratio,
round(sumIf(toFloat64(size), underlying_symbol = 'META' AND option_type = 'P')
/ sumIf(toFloat64(size), underlying_symbol = 'META' AND option_type = 'C'), 2) AS meta_put_call_ratio,
top_contract.1 AS top_contract_underlying,
top_contract.2 AS top_contract_strike,
top_contract.3 AS top_contract_type,
top_contract.4 AS top_contract_volume,
reverse(arrayStringConcat(extractAll(reverse(toString(assumeNotNull(top_contract.4))), '\\d{1,3}'), ',')) AS top_contract_volume_fmt,
round(top_contract.5, 3) AS top_contract_avg_price,
top_contract.6 AS top_contract_is_same_day,
round(top_contract.2 - spy_regular_close, 2) AS top_strike_minus_spy_close,
spy_regular_close AS spy_close
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE sip_timestamp >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00' AND sip_timestamp < '2026-07-02 00:00:00'期权成交量为 68.46百万张合约,对应 11.22百万笔成交记录。看涨期权占成交量的 58.6%,当日到期期权占 33.5%。全市场并没有针对指数进行对冲:看跌期权与看涨期权的比例为 0.71;SPY的 5.76百万张看跌期权中,只有 11.6%的执行价低于其 745.69收盘价超过2%,也就是能够在市场崩跌时带来收益的深度虚值执行价。偏斜主要集中在个股期权中:Micron的看跌期权多于看涨期权,每张看涨期权对应 1.11张看跌期权;META的看涨期权则明显多于看跌期权,比例超过二比一(0.39)。成交最活跃的合约是当日到期的SPY $748看涨期权,成交 878,947张合约,平均价格为$0.707,到期时距离虚值状态还有 2.31美元,正如周二的合约一样。7月3日到期的期权全天没有成交(0笔成交记录;当日为周五,市场休市);周四到期的周度期权成交量为 14.43百万张。
利率:整体走高,短端下行
收益率为相对6月30日的每日收盘值。
| 曲线点 | 7月1日收益率(%) | 单日变动(基点) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 3.67 | -3 |
| 3 month | 3.85 | -2 |
| 1 year | 4 | 2 |
| 2 year | 4.17 | 3 |
| 5 year | 4.24 | 5 |
| 10 year | 4.48 | 4 |
| 30 year | 4.97 | 6 |
| 2s10s spread | 0.31 | 1 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
t.1 AS curve_point,
round(t.2, 2) AS jul1_yield_pct,
round((t.2 - t.3) * 100) AS one_day_change_bp
FROM (
SELECT arrayJoin([
('1 month', toFloat64(d.yield_1_month), toFloat64(p.yield_1_month)),
('3 month', toFloat64(d.yield_3_month), toFloat64(p.yield_3_month)),
('1 year', toFloat64(d.yield_1_year), toFloat64(p.yield_1_year)),
('2 year', toFloat64(d.yield_2_year), toFloat64(p.yield_2_year)),
('5 year', toFloat64(d.yield_5_year), toFloat64(p.yield_5_year)),
('10 year', toFloat64(d.yield_10_year), toFloat64(p.yield_10_year)),
('30 year', toFloat64(d.yield_30_year), toFloat64(p.yield_30_year)),
('2s10s spread', toFloat64(d.yield_10_year - d.yield_2_year), toFloat64(p.yield_10_year - p.yield_2_year))
]) AS t
FROM (SELECT * FROM global_markets.treasury_yields WHERE date = '2026-07-01') AS d,
(SELECT * FROM global_markets.treasury_yields WHERE date = '2026-06-30') AS p
)10年期收益率上升4个基点至4.48%,30年期上升6个基点;1个月期国库券收益率变动-3个基点。中端和长端上行,短端下行。2s10s利差收于0.31个百分点:这里的走势与股票市场的分化并不一致。
日历刻画的交易日
| 除息记录 | 月度派息股 | 季度派息股 | 月度派息比例 | 已执行拆股 | 已上市 IPO | SEC 文件 | 内部人士 Form 4 文件 | 8-K 文件 | IPO 名称 | 新闻文章 | 新闻发布商 | 报道最多的股票代码 | 报道最多的文章 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 746 | 572 | 123 | 76.7 | 9 | 3 | 4283 | 1072 | 248 | BSP — Bending Spoons S.p.A.; ITG — ITG Inc.; LIME — Neutron Holdings Inc. | 201 | 3 | MSFT | 16 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH
(
SELECT (count(), uniqExact(publisher))
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = '2026-07-01'
) AS news,
(
SELECT (argMax(t, n), max(n))
FROM (
SELECT t, count() AS n
FROM (
SELECT arrayJoin(tickers) AS t
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) = '2026-07-01'
)
WHERE t != 'SPCX'
GROUP BY t
)
) AS top_news
SELECT
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-01') AS ex_dividend_records,
(SELECT countIf(frequency = 12) FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-01') AS monthly_payers,
(SELECT countIf(frequency = 4) FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-01') AS quarterly_payers,
(SELECT round(100.0 * countIf(frequency = 12) / count(), 1) FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-01') AS monthly_payer_pct,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_splits WHERE execution_date = '2026-07-01') AS splits_executed,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos WHERE listing_date = '2026-07-01') AS ipos_listed,
(SELECT uniqExact(accession_number) FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = '2026-07-01') AS sec_filings,
(SELECT uniqExactIf(accession_number, form_type = '4') FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = '2026-07-01') AS insider_form4_filings,
(SELECT uniqExactIf(accession_number, form_type = '8-K') FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index WHERE filing_date = '2026-07-01') AS filings_8k,
(SELECT arrayStringConcat(groupArray(concat(ticker, ' — ', issuer_name)), '; ') FROM (
SELECT ticker, issuer_name FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos WHERE listing_date = '2026-07-01' ORDER BY ticker
)) AS ipo_names,
news.1 AS news_articles,
news.2 AS news_publishers,
top_news.1 AS most_covered_ticker,
top_news.2 AS most_covered_articles本季度的转折点在这里达到高峰:746笔股息记录进入除息状态。这正是六月回顾所关注的浪潮,此外还有9次拆分和3宗上市(BSP — Bending Spoons S.p.A.; ITG — ITG Inc.; LIME — Neutron Holdings Inc.)。申报信息流也恢复活跃:共有4283份申报,其中1072份为Form 4,248份为8-K。此前,6月30日的指数在月末交易日几乎没有记录(月末缺口说明)。我们的信息流收录了201篇文章,报道最多的是MSFT,达到16。
但数量无法说明究竟是谁在进行交易。按成交金额排名后,榜单完全不是公司股票:
| 股票代码 | 每股现金 | 每年派息次数 | 日收盘价 | 占价格比例 | 年化收益率 | 日成交额(十亿美元) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGOV | 0.2958 | 12 | 100.4 | 0.29 | 3.54 | 3.5 |
| HYG | 0.3688 | 12 | 79.62 | 0.46 | 5.56 | 2.77 |
| LQD | 0.3815 | 12 | 108.46 | 0.35 | 4.22 | 2.57 |
| TLT | 0.318 | 12 | 85.52 | 0.37 | 4.46 | 2.01 |
| BITO | 0.0104 | 12 | 8.14 | 0.13 | 1.53 | 1.84 |
| BND | 0.2445 | 12 | 73.04 | 0.33 | 4.02 | 1.51 |
| BIL | 0.2676 | 12 | 91.39 | 0.29 | 3.51 | 1.47 |
| VCIT | 0.3319 | 12 | 82.18 | 0.4 | 4.85 | 0.93 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
WITH divs AS (
SELECT ticker, max(toFloat64(cash_amount)) AS cash, max(frequency) AS freq
FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends
WHERE ex_dividend_date = '2026-07-01' AND distribution_type = 'recurring'
GROUP BY ticker
),
tape AS (
SELECT ticker,
sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) AS dollar_volume,
toFloat64(argMax(close, (window_start, close))) AS day_close
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00'
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT
d.ticker AS ticker,
round(d.cash, 4) AS cash_per_share,
d.freq AS payments_per_year,
round(t.day_close, 2) AS day_close,
round(100 * d.cash / t.day_close, 2) AS pct_of_price,
round(100 * d.cash * d.freq / t.day_close, 2) AS annualized_yield_pct,
round(t.dollar_volume / 1e9, 2) AS day_dollar_bn
FROM divs d JOIN tape t ON d.ticker = t.ticker
WHERE t.dollar_volume > 0 AND d.cash > 0
ORDER BY t.dollar_volume DESC
LIMIT 8成交最活跃的八只除息ticker全部是每年派息12次的基金:SGOV是一只国库券基金,按每股$0.2958进入除息状态(相当于价格的0.29%,年化为3.54%),成交金额为$3.5 billion;HYG是一只高收益债券基金,除息价格为$0.3688。这是月初集中除息的一波行情:当日746笔记录中,有572笔(76.7%)来自按月派息的基金,这些基金分配利息;相比之下,按季派息的基金有123笔。除息日的下跌是机械性调整,并不代表亏损。
季度首日真的会是普通的一天吗?
这种叙事似乎顺理成章:新季度、新资金、新配置。但数据库并不认同。
| 已测量季度开盘数 | 季度开盘中位数 | 上涨季度开盘数 | 下跌季度开盘数 | 7 月 1 日开收盘比例 | 7 月 1 日排名(最差至最佳) | 最差季度开盘表现 | 最佳季度开盘表现 | 首次测量时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.01 | 46 | 45 | 0.09 | 50 | -2.28 | 3.18 | January 2004 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
count() AS quarter_opens_measured,
round(quantileExact(0.5)(oc_pct), 2) AS median_quarter_open_pct,
countIf(oc_pct > 0) AS quarter_opens_green,
countIf(oc_pct <= 0) AS quarter_opens_red,
round(anyIf(oc_pct, first_day = toDate('2026-07-01')), 2) AS jul1_oc_pct,
arrayCount(x -> x < anyIf(oc_pct, first_day = toDate('2026-07-01')), groupArrayIf(oc_pct, first_day != toDate('2026-07-01'))) + 1 AS jul1_rank_worst_to_best,
round(min(oc_pct), 2) AS worst_quarter_open_pct,
round(max(oc_pct), 2) AS best_quarter_open_pct,
concat(monthName(min(first_day)), ' ', toString(toYear(min(first_day)))) AS first_measured
FROM (
SELECT f.first_day AS first_day, d.oc_pct AS oc_pct
FROM (
SELECT toStartOfQuarter(d) AS q, min(d) AS first_day
FROM (
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2004-01-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY d
)
GROUP BY q
) f
INNER JOIN (
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
(argMax(toFloat64(close), (window_start, close)) / argMin(toFloat64(open), (window_start, open)) - 1) * 100 AS oc_pct
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND window_start >= toDateTime('2004-01-01 00:00:00')
AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-02 00:00:00')
AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY d
) d ON d.d = f.first_day
)在自January 2004年以来的91个季度开盘交易日中,SPY在季度首日的开盘至收盘变动中位数为0.01%,其中46次上涨、45次下跌,区间为-2.28%至3.18%:结果近似抛硬币,只是带有四舍五入误差。7月1日录得0.09%,在从最差到最佳的91个交易日中排名第50,正好处于中间位置。计算口径:数据库中每个季度首个交易日的SPY正常交易时段开盘至收盘表现。
读者在当天收盘后应把握的要点
该指数下跌了 0.09%;八只股票组成的样本区间为 -10.45% 至 8.88%;保护性仓位的定价几乎没有变化。这是集中型市场的常规算术:一个行业的损失由 11 个其他行业中的 7 个行业的上涨所抵消,最终反映在指数净值上的就是这一结果。从指数层面观察,这一天几乎看不出异常;从持仓层面观察,则意味着单日损失了十分之一的仓位价值。
已核实的交易时段
| SPY 首根 K 线(ET) | SPY 末根 K 线(ET) | SPY 分钟 K 线 | 常规交易时段 K 线 | 交易日时段 | 7 月 1 日假日记录 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | 19:59 | 893 | 390 | 1 | 0 |
每个数字背后的完整 SQL
SELECT
formatDateTime(min(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), '%H:%i') AS first_spy_bar_et,
formatDateTime(max(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), '%H:%i') AS last_spy_bar_et,
count() AS spy_minute_bars,
countIf(window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00') AS regular_session_bars,
uniqExactIf(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')), window_start >= '2026-07-01 13:30:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-01 20:00:00') AS day_sessions,
(SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_market_holidays WHERE date = '2026-07-01') AS jul1_holiday_rows
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY' AND window_start >= '2026-07-01 00:00:00' AND window_start < '2026-07-02 00:00:00'SPY的K线时间范围为纽约时间04:00至19:59,其中包括390根常规交易时段K线,以及当日0条假日记录。完整交易时段已通过逐笔成交记录核实。
常见问题
2026年7月1日股市上涨还是下跌?
取决于观察哪个市场。SPY收于-0.08%,DIA收于0.02%,QQQ收于-1.44%;3465只股票下跌,而2928只股票上涨。不过,7的11行业基金收盘上涨,科技板块是例外。
2026年7月1日,为什么Micron、SanDisk、Western Digital和Seagate都下跌?
这些数据反映的是联动关系,而不是因果关系。这四只股票的跌幅介于-5.11%和-10.45%之间。《Motley Fool》当天关于Micron的报道(本页新闻面板中的14:11 ET)使用了标题“Why Micron Stock Is Plummeting Today”。这是该媒体的表述,并非盘面数据得出的结论。
2026年7月1日,META为什么上涨?
META收高8.88%,开盘首根K线触及当日低点。《Motley Fool》的报道将这波上涨归因于相关报告:该公司计划将过剩的AI算力作为云业务出售。这是该媒体的归因,不代表我们的判断。
一个季度的第一个交易日通常表现强劲吗?
从数据看并非如此。在自January 2004以来的91个季度开盘日中,SPY开盘至收盘的涨跌幅中位数为0.01%:46次上涨,45次下跌,基本相当于五五开。7月1日的表现处于中游。
2026年7月1日,期权市场是否在对冲这轮抛售?
从指数层面看并没有:全市场看跌期权与看涨期权的比例为0.71;SPY的看跌期权成交量中,只有11.6%的行权价低于收盘价超过两个百分点。
数据说明
- 美元成交额是每分钟的代理指标:按分钟K线计算收盘价乘成交量,并在常规交易时段内汇总。显示的极值已与相邻K线交叉核对;若数值相同,则取最早出现的记录。
- 这里没有现货VIX指数。 波动率面板显示的是上市的VIX期货基金。这些基金持有并滚动期货合约,与该指数相关,但并不等同于该指数。
- 季度新高/新低:将7月1日常规交易时段的极值与各标的4月1日至6月30日的区间进行比较。比较对象为拥有完整季度K线且流动性较高的标的;跌幅显示在该面板中。
- 行业板块是经过筛选的篮子(包含11只SPDR ETF,并非供应商字段);新闻面板使用一个授权信息源(12篇文章,来自两家出版商);一个重复使用的ticker listing已从排行榜中排除(其收据)。
方法说明
- 一个交易时段(1时段;根据实际观测到的K线和假日表核实,绝不臆定)。时间戳以UTC存储,并在查询中转换为纽约时间;“收盘价”指常规交易时段最后一分钟的K线,日变化相对于6月30日计算。
- 小数在进行比率计算前转换为64位浮点数;期权到期日重新从OCC代码中解析。所有面板均在撰写时通过受限只读路径运行一次。数据仓库状态截至2026年7月13日;本版本新增行业、波动率、新闻、股息和季度历史面板。
每个面板都包含一个已存储的查询结果、图表和表格,SQL与这三者属于同一对象。您可以将其中任何一项粘贴到Strasmore终端中。下一篇:7月2日;本周:假日周】【。