A decade of SPY daily closing moves, sorted into size buckets
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-10, from How Futures Margin Works: SPAN and Calls.
| move_bucket | sessions | share_pct |
|---|---|---|
| under 0.5% | 1256 | 50 |
| 0.5 to 1% | 656 | 26.1 |
| 1 to 1.5% | 299 | 11.9 |
| 1.5 to 2% | 151 | 6 |
| 2 to 3% | 99 | 3.9 |
| 3% or more | 52 | 2.1 |
- Rows × columns
- 6 × 3
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
move_bucket |
text | 6 distinct values (0.5 to 1%, 1 to 1.5%, 1.5 to 2%…) | |
sessions |
number | 52 to 1,256 | |
share_pct |
number | 2.1 to 50 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH spy AS
(
SELECT
date,
toFloat64(close) AS close_px,
lagInFrame(toFloat64(close)) OVER
(ORDER BY date ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prev_close
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND date >= '2016-08-01'
AND date < '2026-08-01'
)
SELECT
multiIf(move_pct < 0.5, 'under 0.5%',
move_pct < 1.0, '0.5 to 1%',
move_pct < 1.5, '1 to 1.5%',
move_pct < 2.0, '1.5 to 2%',
move_pct < 3.0, '2 to 3%',
'3% or more') AS move_bucket,
count() AS sessions,
round(100 * count() / (SELECT count() FROM spy WHERE prev_close > 0), 1) AS share_pct
FROM
(
SELECT abs(close_px / prev_close - 1) * 100 AS move_pct
FROM spy
WHERE prev_close > 0
)
GROUP BY move_bucket
ORDER BY min(move_pct)
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