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Average move between the 4:00 p.m. close and 5:30 p.m. ET

Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-22, from Broker Exercise Cut-Off Times Explained.

as of ranking 6×4read in context →
Average move between the 4:00 p.m. close and 5:30 p.m. ET — 6 rows by 4 columns, computed from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
tickerfriday_countavg_abs_drift_pctmax_abs_drift_pct
TSLA210.2660.87
NVDA210.1881.25
AAPL210.1570.5
KO210.1390.77
MSFT210.130.42
SPY210.110.7
Rows × columns
6 × 4
Computed
Completeness
No missing values
Source
US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
Licence
Strasmore terms · free, no signup
Formats
JSON · CSV · the SQL below

What each column holds

Column definitions for Average move between the 4:00 p.m. close and 5:30 p.m. ET, derived from the stored result.
ColumnTypeRangeNotes
ticker text 6 distinct values (AAPL, KO, MSFT…)
friday_count number every row is 21 count
avg_abs_drift_pct number 0.11 to 0.266 percent
max_abs_drift_pct number 0.42 to 1.25 percent

Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.

the exact SQL behind every number
SELECT
    ticker,
    count()                     AS friday_count,
    round(avg(drift_pct), 3)    AS avg_abs_drift_pct,
    round(max(drift_pct), 2)    AS max_abs_drift_pct
FROM
(
    SELECT
        ticker,
        session_date,
        abs(100 * (argMaxIf(px, ts, et_minute >= 960 AND et_minute < 1050)
                   / argMaxIf(px, ts, et_minute >= 570 AND et_minute < 960) - 1)) AS drift_pct
    FROM
    (
        SELECT
            ticker,
            toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))       AS session_date,
            toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60
              + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_minute,
            toFloat64(close)                                           AS px,
            window_start                                               AS ts
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker IN ('AAPL', 'KO', 'MSFT', 'NVDA', 'SPY', 'TSLA')
          AND window_start >= today() - 730
          AND toDayOfWeek(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) = 5
          AND toDayOfMonth(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 15 AND 21
    )
    GROUP BY ticker, session_date
    HAVING countIf(et_minute >= 960 AND et_minute < 1050) > 0
       AND countIf(et_minute >= 570 AND et_minute < 960) > 0
)
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY avg_abs_drift_pct DESC

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