Investing at All-Time Highs: What the Data Says
Should you invest at an all-time high? Every SPY record close on file, with the forward returns that followed and the deepest drawdown that began from one.
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Can a Death Cross Be Bullish? The SPY Record
Can a death cross be bullish? Every SPY 50/200-day cross in our daily data, with 1, 3, 6 and 12 month forward returns and how often the index was higher.
What Missing the Best Days Costs
Time in the market beats timing it: missing the best days since 2016 turned a big SPY gain into a small one, and the best days hide inside the worst selloffs.