Did Stocks Take 25 Years to Recover From 1929?
Did stocks take 25 years to recover from 1929? Yes in nominal price terms, no with dividends reinvested. Three breakeven dates, and why the gap matters.
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Warren Buffett's Index Put Trade Explained
Warren Buffett's index put trade in full: the four indexes, the $4.9bn premium, the collateral terms, and the accounting that swung earnings by billions.
The September Effect: Is It Real? SPY Data
Is the September effect real? We count every SPY September on record: average and median return, hit rate, the three worst years, and a split by decade.
What Is a High VIX? Levels and Extremes
What is a high VIX? A level ladder from under 15 to over 40, the daily S&P 500 move each implies, how rare each has been, and the record extremes by date.
Short Selling Bans Explained: US, Germany, EU
Is short selling banned? Not in the US or Germany today, but it has been. Every real ban dated to its order, plus the two circuit breakers that still apply.
Biggest Short Squeezes in History, Ranked
The biggest short squeezes in history, ranked on three yardsticks from peak price multiple to documented short seller losses: Volkswagen 2008 to nickel 2022.
When Did the US Stock Market Start? 1792
The US stock market started with the 1792 Buttonwood Agreement, signed by 24 brokers. Every date that follows, and how a call auction became 9:30 to 4:00.
COVID Crash 2020: Four Halts, Peak to Trough
The COVID crash of 2020, receipted: the March 9 halt minutes missing from the tape, four circuit breakers in eight days, and the peak-to-trough map on SPY.
The 2011 US Downgrade: Black Monday's Tape
August 8, 2011: the first trading day after S&P stripped the US of its AAA rating. The tape fell all day and closed near the low, with the receipts inside.
Tesla's Bitcoin 10-K: Feb 8, 2021 on the Tape
Tesla's $1.5B bitcoin purchase, receipted: the Feb 8, 2021 filing and session tape, the sympathy rally in bitcoin stocks, the options shrug, and the 2022 exit.
NVDA's May 2023 Earnings: The AI Gap
May 25, 2023: NVIDIA's guidance shocked Wall Street after the close and the stock opened 26% higher. The overnight gap that started the AI supercycle trade.
March 9, 2009: The Bottom, On the Tape
March 9, 2009 was the exact bottom of the financial crisis, and the tape shows a quiet, unremarkable Monday. What generational lows actually look like up close.
Lehman's Collapse: The 2008 Tape, Replayed
September 15, 2008: Lehman filed and SPY closed on its low. LEH's eighteen-month death spiral, the whipsaw week, and the full crash, panel by panel.
The 2010 Flash Crash, Minute by Minute
May 6, 2010: about a trillion dollars of market value vanished and mostly returned inside 36 minutes. The minute tape of the flash crash, receipted.