What Happens When the Yield Curve Un-Inverts
What happens when the yield curve un-inverts: each 2s10s un-inversion on record, the spread and SPY 3, 6 and 12 months later, bull vs bear steepener labeled.
Filtering by topic #2s10s · clear
What happens when the yield curve un-inverts: each 2s10s un-inversion on record, the spread and SPY 3, 6 and 12 months later, bull vs bear steepener labeled.
The 3m10y spread is the yield curve behind the New York Fed's recession model. Twenty years of readings, every inversion since 1985, and where it sits now.
H1 2026 Treasury yield curve review: a twist that lifted the belly while both ends held, a 2s10s spread that never inverted, and the 30-year's brush with 5%.