Strasmore Research
Deep Dives · Matt ConnorBy Matt Connor · · Updated 2026-08-08

SPCX: SpaceX 上市首月交易表現與市場數據

SpaceX 於2026年6月以 SPCX 上市,逐筆檢視延遲開盤、成交額排名、價差變化、第3日選擇權與放空部位,掌握首月交易細節。

SpaceX 於2026年6月12日以 SPCX 代號上市。這四個字母在4月時仍由另一家公司使用。定價為 $135,股票開盤價為 $150(高於發行價 11.1%),並於 2026-06-16 以 $201.99 收市,盤前最低價為 $146.88,最終收於 $170.72,高於發行價 26.5%、低於高點 15.5%。按正常交易時段的成交金額計算,該股在整個美國市場排名第四,成交額高於 NVDA。本文所有數字均來自儲存的查詢結果;展開任一面板即可查看完整 SQL。

查詢單月總表:從事件發生至收盤,含極值及其佐證
發行價格(美元)開盤撮合價格開盤價較發行價漲幅(%)最高收盤日期最高收盤價最終收盤價最終收盤價較發行價變動(%)最終收盤價低於高點(%)月內最高價月內最高價首根走勢柱(美東時間)距最高價1美分內的走勢柱數最高價分鐘交易筆數月內盤前盤後最低價月內最低價走勢柱(美東時間)距最低價1美分內的走勢柱數最低價分鐘交易筆數月內正常交易時段最低價正常交易時段最低價減盤前盤後最低價月成交股數(十億股)交易時段數2026年5月走勢柱SPY 6月19日走勢柱
13515011.12026-06-16201.99170.7226.515.5225.642026-06-16 10:02247699146.882026-06-23 04:11214844147.110.232.171200
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
WITH
    (
        SELECT toFloat64(final_issue_price)
        FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
        ORDER BY listing_date DESC LIMIT 1
    ) AS issue_px,
    (
        SELECT count() FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-05-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
    ) AS may_bars,
    (
        SELECT count() FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-19 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-06-20 00:00:00')
    ) AS spy_jun19,
    (
        SELECT (toString(argMax(et_date, c)), max(c), argMax(c, et_date))
        FROM (
            SELECT
                toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
                argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS c
            FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
            WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
              AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
              AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
            GROUP BY et_date
        )
    ) AS closes,
    (
        SELECT max(toFloat64(high)) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
    ) AS hi,
    (
        SELECT min(toFloat64(low)) FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
    ) AS lo
SELECT
    round(issue_px, 2) AS issue_price_usd,
    round(toFloat64(argMin(open, window_start)), 2) AS opening_cross_price,
    round((toFloat64(argMin(open, window_start)) / issue_px - 1) * 100, 1) AS open_pop_vs_issue_pct,
    closes.1 AS peak_close_date,
    round(closes.2, 2) AS peak_close,
    round(closes.3, 2) AS final_close,
    round((closes.3 / issue_px - 1) * 100, 1) AS final_vs_issue_pct,
    round((1 - closes.3 / closes.2) * 100, 1) AS final_below_peak_pct,
    round(hi, 2) AS month_high,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(minIf(window_start, toFloat64(high) >= hi - 0.011), 'America/New_York'), '%Y-%m-%d %H:%i') AS month_high_first_bar_et,
    countIf(toFloat64(high) >= hi - 0.011) AS bars_within_cent_of_high,
    argMinIf(transactions, window_start, toFloat64(high) >= hi - 0.011) AS high_minute_trades,
    round(lo, 2) AS month_low_extended,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(argMin(window_start, toFloat64(low)), 'America/New_York'), '%Y-%m-%d %H:%i') AS month_low_bar_et,
    countIf(toFloat64(low) <= lo + 0.011) AS bars_within_cent_of_low,
    argMin(transactions, toFloat64(low)) AS low_minute_trades,
    round(minIf(toFloat64(low), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199), 2) AS month_low_regular_hours,
    round(minIf(toFloat64(low), (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199) - lo, 2) AS rth_minus_extended_low,
    round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS month_shares_bn,
    uniqExact(toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) AS sessions,
    may_bars AS may_2026_bars,
    spy_jun19 AS spy_bars_june19
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
自己執行這個查詢

同一個 ticker、兩家公司

SPCX 是重複使用的代號,因此必須先核對驗證資料。2026年4月以前,這個 ticker 仍是成交清淡的基金;在最後一個活躍月份中,只有 13 分鐘線,成交價格介於 $21.92 與 $23.64 之間。2026年5月完全沒有成交紀錄(0 根 K 線)。6月12日,該代號改配給 Space Exploration Technologies Corp.:

查詢IPO 紀錄:自2026年6月12日起 SPCX 背後的實體
上市日期發行人最終發行價格(美元)發行規模(十億美元)最高發行股數(百萬股)上市交易所證券基本面資料列
2026-06-12Space Exploration Technologies Corp.13575555.6XNASOrdinary Shares - Class A0
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
WITH
    (
        SELECT (toString(listing_date), toFloat64(final_issue_price), round(toFloat64(total_offer_size) / 1e9, 1),
                primary_exchange, issuer_name, security_description, toFloat64(max_shares_offered))
        FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
        ORDER BY listing_date DESC LIMIT 1
    ) AS ipo,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_balance_sheets WHERE cik = '0001181412' OR has(tickers, 'SPCX')) AS bs_rows,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_cash_flow_statements WHERE cik = '0001181412' OR has(tickers, 'SPCX')) AS cf_rows,
    (SELECT count() FROM global_markets.stocks_income_statements WHERE cik = '0001181412' OR has(tickers, 'SPCX')) AS is_rows
SELECT
    ipo.1 AS listing_date,
    ipo.5 AS issuer,
    round(ipo.2, 2) AS final_issue_price_usd,
    ipo.3 AS offer_size_busd,
    round(ipo.7 / 1e6, 1) AS max_shares_offered_m,
    ipo.4 AS listing_exchange,
    ipo.6 AS security,
    bs_rows + cf_rows + is_rows AS fundamentals_rows
自己執行這個查詢
查詢代號重用佐證:SPCX 連續13個月的分鐘線,2026年5月完全缺失
月份分鐘線最低價(美元)最高價(美元)股數(百萬)
2025-06-019324.6526.610.06
2025-07-015824.326.40.02
2025-08-01482425.010.02
2025-09-016423.7725.350.02
2025-10-014524.6325.910.02
2025-11-012725.325.730.01
2025-12-0110121.3225.570.04
2026-01-014621.6722.510.02
2026-02-013021.6922.570.01
2026-03-016421.6222.590.04
2026-04-011321.9223.640.01
2026-06-0110960146.88225.642168.65
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    toStartOfMonth(window_start) AS month,
    count() AS minute_bars,
    round(min(toFloat64(low)), 2) AS low_usd,
    round(max(toFloat64(high)), 2) AS high_usd,
    round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 2) AS shares_m
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND window_start >= toDateTime('2025-06-01 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
GROUP BY month
ORDER BY month
自己執行這個查詢

未設定時間範圍的「SPCX history」查詢,會把兩家無關公司的資料拼接在一起,因此本文所有時間窗口都從2026年6月12日開始。新聞訊息流也顯示出相同的斷層:前12個月只有 0 篇標註 SPCX 的文章;融券餘額同樣如此,在斷點前後約跳升 2404 倍。

文件紀錄先行

查詢SpaceX 2026年 SEC 申報軌跡:按表格類型及申報順序排列(CIK 0001181412,依 accession 去重)
form_type申報文件首次申報最近申報
DRS/A12026-05-072026-05-07
S-112026-05-202026-05-20
S-1/A22026-06-012026-06-03
FWP72026-06-042026-06-11
8-A12B22026-06-102026-06-10
CERT22026-06-102026-06-10
3102026-06-112026-06-18
EFFECT12026-06-112026-06-11
424B412026-06-122026-06-12
S-812026-06-122026-06-12
8-K62026-06-152026-06-26
412026-06-172026-06-17
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    form_type,
    uniqExact(accession_number) AS filings,
    toString(min(filing_date)) AS first_filed,
    toString(max(filing_date)) AS last_filed
FROM global_markets.stocks_sec_edgar_index
WHERE cik = '0001181412'
  AND filing_date >= toDate('2026-01-01') AND filing_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')
GROUP BY form_type
ORDER BY min(filing_date), form_type
自己執行這個查詢

從上到下閱讀,這宗 IPO 的脈絡便逐步完整:2026-05-07提交保密版修訂文件(DRS/A);2026-05-20提交公開版 S-1;其後提交 2份修訂文件;接著在 2026-06-04至2026-06-11期間,提交 7 FWP份自由撰寫招股說明書、路演文件。交易所註冊與認證於 2026-06-10完成;生效通知及首批 10份內部人士 Form 3於 2026-06-11提交;最終版 424B4 招股說明書與 S-8 則在上市日當天提交。之後,申報節奏轉為 8-K:

查詢2026年6月 SpaceX 所有 8-K 申報及各份開頭內容
申報日期form_type開場致詞
2026-06-158-KItem 3.02. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. · In connection with the closing of the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (the "Company") initial public offering (th
2026-06-168-KItem 1.01. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. · On June 16, 2026, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (the "Company"), X67 Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the
2026-06-178-KItem 5.02. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. · On June 16,
2026-06-228-KItem 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure. · The information in this Item 7.01 is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities
2026-06-238-KItem 8.01. Other Events. · Notes Offering · On June 22, 2026, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (the "Company") commenced an offering of senior unsecured notes (the "Offe
2026-06-268-KItem 8.01. Other Events. · Notes Offering · On June 22, 2026, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (the "Company") commenced an offering of senior unsecured notes (the "Offer
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    toString(filing_date) AS filed,
    form_type,
    replaceAll(substring(items_text, 1, 170), '\n', ' · ') AS opening_lines
FROM global_markets.stocks_8k_text
WHERE cik = '0001181412'
  AND filing_date >= toDate('2026-06-01') AND filing_date <= toDate('2026-06-30')
ORDER BY filing_date
自己執行這個查詢

不到兩週內便提交了 6份,包括 IPO 交割時未註冊股份的出售(第3.02項);與全資子公司 X67 Inc. 簽訂重大協議(第1.01項);董事及高階主管異動(第5.02項);Regulation FD 通知(第7.01項);以及第8.01項通知,內容涉及一項於6月22日開始的 senior unsecured notes 發行,相關 8-K 於 2026-06-23提交。6月23日的標題已清楚概括此事:「SpaceX's Fundraising Is Not Over With a $20 Billion New Bond Offering」。發行期間與該股當月低點落在同一批日曆日期;這些資料沒有提供更多結論。

上市首日:沒有 9:30 開盤

IPO 不會隨市場一同開盤。Nasdaq 於美東時間 09:50:01 開始發布 SPCX 報價。報價以鎖定狀態呈現,指示性買賣價相等,並逐步引導訂單簿朝向撮合價格。在接近兩小時內,完全沒有成交。SpaceX 首筆公開成交就是開盤撮合本身:58.21 百萬股、每股 $150,成交時間為美東時間 11:46:45。成交條件代碼為 17、9 和 41,分別代表市場中心開盤成交、撮合成交,以及免除 trade-through 規則。股價一度上漲至 176.52,盤中低點為 149.34,收盤則透過 7.85 百萬股的收盤撮合,以 $160.95 收市,較發行價高出 19.2%。全日合計成交 513.5 百萬股、成交金額為 $84.1 十億,並產生 8.57 百萬筆成交;正常交易時段略超過四小時。

查詢上市首日總表:首筆報價、開盤撮合、收盤撮合、全日合計
首筆報價(ET)當日報價更新(百萬筆)開盤集合競價(ET)開盤集合競價股數(百萬股)開盤撮合價格收盤集合競價(ET)收盤集合競價股數(百萬股)收盤集合競價價格收盤價相對發行價(%)當日成交筆數(百萬筆)當日成交股數(百萬股)當日成交金額(十億美元)當日最高價當日最低價
09:50:012.2411:46:4558.2115016:00:007.85160.9519.28.57513.584.1176.52149.34
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
WITH
    (
        SELECT toFloat64(final_issue_price)
        FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
        ORDER BY listing_date DESC LIMIT 1
    ) AS issue_px,
    (
        SELECT (formatDateTime(toTimeZone(min(sip_timestamp), 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i:%S'), round(count() / 1e6, 2))
        FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-06-13 00:00:00', 9)
    ) AS q,
    (
        SELECT (round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1), round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 1),
                round(max(toFloat64(high)), 2), round(min(toFloat64(low)), 2))
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-06-13 00:00:00')
    ) AS bars
SELECT
    q.1 AS first_quote_et,
    q.2 AS day_quote_updates_m,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(minIf(sip_timestamp, has(conditions, 17)), 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i:%S') AS opening_cross_et,
    round(toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 17))) / 1e6, 2) AS opening_cross_shares_m,
    round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, size, has(conditions, 17))), 2) AS opening_cross_price,
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(minIf(sip_timestamp, has(conditions, 8)), 'America/New_York'), '%H:%i:%S') AS closing_cross_et,
    round(toFloat64(maxIf(size, has(conditions, 8))) / 1e6, 2) AS closing_cross_shares_m,
    round(toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, size, has(conditions, 8))), 2) AS closing_cross_price,
    round((toFloat64(argMaxIf(price, size, has(conditions, 8))) / issue_px - 1) * 100, 1) AS close_vs_issue_pct,
    round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS day_prints_m,
    bars.1 AS day_shares_m,
    bars.2 AS day_dollar_bn,
    bars.3 AS day_high,
    bars.4 AS day_low
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-06-13 00:00:00', 9)
自己執行這個查詢

報價串流反映了價格發現的另一半。開盤撮合前,NBBO 唯一的更新就是鎖定的指示性報價(在 09:30 半小時內共有 18 次;由於報價本身即為鎖定狀態,價差必為零)。之後報價大量湧入:僅在 11:30 時段,就有 445211 次更新;買賣價差中位數為 30 美分(18.6 bps)。到了 13:00 時段,中位數為 6 美分(3.5 bps)。價差並非一開始就很窄;本次交易的價差在兩小時內逐步收窄。

查詢首日每半小時:報價更新及中位價差趨於穩定
ET時段報價更新中位價差(美分)中位價差(基點)
09:301800
10:003200
10:3018500
11:001200
11:304452113018.6
12:00413345106.03
12:3027526763.6
13:0023437563.5
13:3014263174.07
14:0019307184.64
14:309260184.71
15:0016302184.94
15:3023798874.34
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    formatDateTime(toStartOfInterval(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York'), INTERVAL 30 MINUTE), '%H:%i') AS et_bucket,
    count() AS quote_updates,
    round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)(toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price), toUInt64(toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp)), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price) * 100, 1) AS med_spread_cents,
    round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2) * 10000, toUInt64(toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp)), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price), 2) AS med_spread_bps
FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 13:30:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-06-12 20:00:00', 9)
GROUP BY et_bucket
ORDER BY et_bucket
自己執行這個查詢

逐個交易時段

查詢各交易時段:正常交易時段收盤、收盤對收盤變動、全日成交量
美東時間日期收盤價(美元)漲跌幅(%)股數(百萬)金額(十億美元)
2026-06-12161.29None513.584.12
2026-06-15192.4219.3251.145.01
2026-06-16201.995315.766.35
2026-06-17192.2-4.8196.238.78
2026-06-18184.97-3.8211.738.22
2026-06-22154.59-16.4165.227.21
2026-06-23156.061152.323.88
2026-06-24154.46-171.711.19
2026-06-25153.01-0.9599.04
2026-06-26152.74-0.284.512.96
2026-06-291647.471.911.43
2026-06-30170.724.175.812.77
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    et_date,
    close_usd,
    round(if(prev_close = 0, NULL, (close_usd / prev_close - 1) * 100), 1) AS change_pct,
    shares_m,
    dollar_bn
FROM (
    SELECT et_date, close_usd, shares_m, dollar_bn,
           lagInFrame(close_usd) OVER (ORDER BY et_date ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prev_close
    FROM (
        SELECT
            toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_date,
            round(argMaxIf(toFloat64(close), window_start, (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199), 2) AS close_usd,
            round(toFloat64(sum(volume)) / 1e6, 1) AS shares_m,
            round(sum(toFloat64(close) * toFloat64(volume)) / 1e9, 2) AS dollar_bn
        FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
        GROUP BY et_date
    )
)
ORDER BY et_date
自己執行這個查詢

走勢如下:第二個交易時段上漲至 19.3%,並於 2026-06-16 收在 201.99 美元的高點;其後連續三個交易時段下跌,其中最大跌幅為 2026-06-22 的 -16.4%。該日是 6月19日假期後的第一個交易時段,也是票據發行開始的日子。股價於 2026-06-26 跌至 152.74 美元的低點;最後兩個交易時段分別上漲 7.4% 與 4.1% 收市(2026-06-29 另有專文每日盤勢回顧及逐筆成交深度分析)。成交量下降的速度快於股價回升:首日為 513.5 百萬股,2026-06-30 為 75.8 百萬股。

兩個月度極值經單筆成交交叉檢核後仍成立,且分屬不同的市場階段。2026-06-16 10:02 ET 出現 225.64 美元高點:第一個高點所在分鐘內,有 2 根 K 棒的價格在一美分範圍內,並有 47699 筆成交。2026-06-23 04:11 ET 出現 146.88 美元低點;該分鐘內有 2 根 K 棒的價格在一美分範圍內,並有 14844 筆成交。正常交易時段低點為 147.11 美元,比該低點高 0.23 美元;任何「6月低點」數字都應說明所指的是哪一個低點。

盤面上成交額排名第四大的 ticker

統計6月12日至30日美股所有上市 ticker 在正常交易時段的成交金額。這是涵蓋整個市場的完整彙總,而非候選名單;其中,這檔剛上市的股票排名第四:$344.6 billion。排名僅次於 MU($585.4 billion)、SPY 與 QQQ,並領先 NVDA($253.1 billion)、TSLA 與 AAPL。每一列可供統計的交易日數均為 12 個。

查詢全美市場2026年6月12日至30日正常交易時段成交金額排名
ticker正常交易時段成交金額(十億美元)占領先者(%)是否為SPCX
MU585.41000
SPY434.174.20
QQQ346.659.20
SPCX344.658.91
NVDA253.143.20
SNDK231.639.60
TSLA192.432.90
INTC164.328.10
MSFT161.827.60
AAPL155.626.60
AMD147.925.30
AMZN136.523.30
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    ticker,
    round(sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) / 1e9, 1) AS regular_hours_dollar_bn,
    round(100 * sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close)) / max(sum(toFloat64(volume) * toFloat64(close))) OVER (), 1) AS pct_of_leader,
    toUInt8(ticker = 'SPCX') AS is_spcx
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE window_start >= toDateTime('2026-06-12 00:00:00') AND window_start < toDateTime('2026-07-01 00:00:00')
  AND (toHour(window_start) * 60 + toMinute(window_start)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY regular_hours_dollar_bn DESC
LIMIT 12
自己執行這個查詢

交易紀錄由什麼構成

查詢SPCX 全部成交紀錄總表:成交筆數、單筆成交量及報價普查
成交筆數(百萬筆)成交股數中位數平均成交股數零股成交占比零碎股成交占比NBBO 更新數(百萬)有效雙邊報價占比鎖定報價更新數交叉報價更新數單邊或空白報價更新數首個交易時段交叉報價最後交易時段交叉報價
41.011064.281.98.7311.7899.32341184637711617730437
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
WITH
    (
        SELECT (round(count() / 1e6, 2),
                round(100.0 * countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price > bid_price) / count(), 2),
                countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price = bid_price),
                countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price < bid_price),
                countIf(bid_price <= 0 OR ask_price <= 0),
                countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price < bid_price AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-06-13 00:00:00', 9)),
                countIf(bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price < bid_price AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-30 00:00:00', 9)))
        FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
        WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
    ) AS quote_census
SELECT
    round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS prints_m,
    quantileDeterministic(0.5)(toFloat64(size), toUInt64(abs(sequence_number))) AS median_print_shares,
    round(avg(toFloat64(size)), 1) AS avg_print_shares,
    round(100.0 * countIf(size < 100) / count(), 1) AS odd_lot_pct_of_prints,
    round(100.0 * countIf(toFloat64(size) != round(toFloat64(size))) / count(), 2) AS fractional_pct_of_prints,
    quote_census.1 AS nbbo_updates_m,
    quote_census.2 AS clean_two_sided_pct,
    quote_census.3 AS locked_updates,
    quote_census.4 AS crossed_updates,
    quote_census.5 AS one_sided_or_empty_updates,
    quote_census.6 AS crossed_first_session,
    quote_census.7 AS crossed_final_session
FROM global_markets.stocks_trades
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
自己執行這個查詢

交易紀錄以小額、密集報價為主:共計 41.01 百萬筆成交,成交股數中位數為 10 股(平均值為 64.2 股,大宗交叉交易拉高了平均數),其中 81.9% 筆為零股交易(少於100股),8.73% 筆為碎股交易。這與零售交易 App 將委託拆分的情況一致,另一方則由造市商承接。報價部分則包括 11.78 百萬次 NBBO 更新,其中 99.32% 次為正常的雙邊報價;46377 次為短暫交叉報價(買價高於賣價,表示各交易場所的報價尚未同步),由第1天的 17730 次降至6月30日的 437 次;34118 次為鎖定報價;116 次為單邊報價或無報價。下方的買賣價差統計排除交叉報價與單邊報價,面板內另列剔除筆數。

價差的演變

新上市股票的代表性走勢,是其買賣價差逐步找到穩定水準。本文以每個交易時段的所有報價更新計算中位數與時間加權平均值。首日自11:46的集合競價開始計算;若納入開盤前鎖定的指示性報價,將使結果顯得較佳。

查詢價差成熟曲線:按交易時段計算正常交易時段價差,分更新次數及時間加權
交易時段報價更新剔除的無效資料中位價差(美分)時間加權價差(美分)中位價差(基點)時間加權價差(基點)高於最窄交易時段占比
2026-06-12219746917642923.55.347.64282
2026-06-15751208657389.84.495.48174
2026-06-161082316500213166.097.56278
2026-06-1790980228171417.67.18.96348
2026-06-1812052243689673.343.8894
2026-06-22592445114133.31.8620
2026-06-23582874145955.33.033.3366
2026-06-2481929610901011.56.327.38269
2026-06-2572469554088.85.245.79190
2026-06-26599789172367.33.874.72136
2026-06-2965798255067.43.834.66133
2026-06-3047490235167.93.544.7135
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    session,
    quote_updates,
    invalid_dropped,
    med_spread_cents,
    tw_spread_cents,
    med_spread_bps,
    tw_spread_bps,
    round(100 * (tw_spread_bps / min(tw_spread_bps) OVER () - 1), 0) AS pct_above_tightest_session
FROM (
    SELECT
        session,
        count() AS quote_updates,
        countIf(NOT valid) AS invalid_dropped,
        round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)(spread, toUInt64(ts_us), valid) * 100, 1) AS med_spread_cents,
        round(sumIf(spread * dt, valid AND dt > 0) / sumIf(dt, valid AND dt > 0) * 100, 1) AS tw_spread_cents,
        round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)(spread / mid * 10000, toUInt64(ts_us), valid), 2) AS med_spread_bps,
        round(sumIf(spread / mid * dt, valid AND dt > 0) / sumIf(dt, valid AND dt > 0) * 10000, 2) AS tw_spread_bps
    FROM (
        SELECT session, spread, mid, valid, ts_us,
               greatest(if(next_us = 0, end_us, least(next_us, end_us)) - ts_us, 0) AS dt
        FROM (
            SELECT
                toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) AS session,
                toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price) AS spread,
                (toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2 AS mid,
                (bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price) AS valid,
                toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp) AS ts_us,
                toUnixTimestamp64Micro(toDateTime64(concat(toString(toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York'))), ' 20:00:00'), 6, 'UTC')) AS end_us,
                leadInFrame(toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp)) OVER (PARTITION BY toDate(toTimeZone(sip_timestamp, 'America/New_York')) ORDER BY sip_timestamp ASC, sequence_number ASC ROWS BETWEEN CURRENT ROW AND UNBOUNDED FOLLOWING) AS next_us
            FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
            WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
              AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 15:46:00', 9)
              AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
              AND (toHour(sip_timestamp) * 60 + toMinute(sip_timestamp)) BETWEEN 810 AND 1199
        )
    )
    GROUP BY session
)
ORDER BY session
自己執行這個查詢

按時間加權計算,價差從首日的23.5美分(7.64 bps),收窄至7.9美分(4.7 bps)。截至2026-06-30,以美元計算約收窄三分之二,但按相對幅度計算則遠低於此。美元價差與相對價差的走勢出現分歧,期間股價在$146.88至$225.64的區間內波動。價差最窄的交易時段是2026-06-22,為2 bps;之後在2026-06-17重新擴大至8.96 bps,該日緊接股價高點之後;並在2026-06-24擴大至7.38 bps。後一次擴大與成交量由152.3百萬股降至71.7百萬股同時發生。為便於比較,以下列出6月30日的三個基準:

查詢6月30日基準:大型股、SPCX 及流動性稀薄的小型股,同一時段、同一計算方式
ticker報價更新剔除的無效資料中位價差(美分)中位價差(基點)時間加權價差(基點)
AAPL93599348431.041.06
NATH103603029.6631.62
SPCX47490235163.544.7
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    ticker,
    count() AS quote_updates,
    countIf(NOT valid) AS invalid_dropped,
    round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)(spread, toUInt64(ts_us), valid) * 100, 1) AS med_spread_cents,
    round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)(spread / mid * 10000, toUInt64(ts_us), valid), 2) AS med_spread_bps,
    round(sumIf(spread / mid * dt, valid AND dt > 0) / sumIf(dt, valid AND dt > 0) * 10000, 2) AS tw_spread_bps
FROM (
    SELECT ticker, spread, mid, valid, ts_us,
           greatest(if(next_us = 0, end_us, least(next_us, end_us)) - ts_us, 0) AS dt
    FROM (
        SELECT
            ticker,
            toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price) AS spread,
            (toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2 AS mid,
            (bid_price > 0 AND ask_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price) AS valid,
            toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp) AS ts_us,
            toUnixTimestamp64Micro(toDateTime64('2026-06-30 20:00:00', 6, 'UTC')) AS end_us,
            leadInFrame(toUnixTimestamp64Micro(sip_timestamp)) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY sip_timestamp ASC, sequence_number ASC ROWS BETWEEN CURRENT ROW AND UNBOUNDED FOLLOWING) AS next_us
        FROM global_markets.cache_stocks_quotes
        WHERE ticker IN ('SPCX', 'AAPL', 'NATH')
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-30 13:30:00', 9)
          AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-06-30 20:00:00', 9)
    )
)
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY ticker
自己執行這個查詢

Apple的報價價差中位數為3美分(1.04 bps)。SPCX為6美分(3.54 bps)。Nathan's Famous整個交易時段共有1036次報價更新,價差為30美分(29.66 bps)。上市第十八天時,SpaceX的報價價差比大型股略寬,但仍比低流動性股票窄上數倍。

第三天起的選擇權交易

查詢SpaceX 選擇權市場總表:合計、到期結構及代表性契約
ET 首筆成交選擇權交易時段成交筆數(百萬筆)不重複合約數成交合約數(百萬)權利金名目金額(十億美元)月度認沽認購比交易時段最高認沽認購比成交到期日數最長到期日6月18日到期占比最繁忙合約最繁忙合約成交量最活躍合約成交筆數最活躍合約平均權利金最活躍合約名目本金(百萬美元)最高權利金合約最高權利金平均值最高權利金名目本金(百萬美元)AAPL整個6月名目本金(十億美元)AAPL整個6月合約數(百萬)SPCX減AAPL名目本金(十億美元)
2026-06-16 09:30:00102.18319910.49.150.790.987222028-12-1526.7$175 put, expiry 2026-06-18203765416481.4329.2$225 call, expiry 2026-09-1840.12121.38.84270.31
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
WITH
    (
        SELECT (round(sum(toFloat64(price) * size) * 100 / 1e9, 2), round(sum(size) / 1e6, 1))
        FROM global_markets.options_trades
        WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:AAPL') AND length(ticker) = 21
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-01 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
    ) AS aapl,
    (
        SELECT (
            concat('$', toString(intDiv(toUInt32OrZero(substring(ticker, 14, 8)), 1000)),
                   if(substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P', ' put', ' call'),
                   ', expiry 20', substring(ticker, 7, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 9, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 11, 2)),
            toUInt64(sum(size)), toUInt64(count()),
            round(toFloat64(sum(toFloat64(price) * size)) / toFloat64(sum(size)), 2),
            round(sum(toFloat64(price) * size) * 100 / 1e6, 1))
        FROM global_markets.options_trades
        WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:SPCX') AND length(ticker) = 21
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
        GROUP BY ticker ORDER BY sum(size) DESC LIMIT 1
    ) AS busiest,
    (
        SELECT (
            concat('$', toString(intDiv(toUInt32OrZero(substring(ticker, 14, 8)), 1000)),
                   if(substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P', ' put', ' call'),
                   ', expiry 20', substring(ticker, 7, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 9, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 11, 2)),
            round(toFloat64(sum(toFloat64(price) * size)) / toFloat64(sum(size)), 2),
            round(sum(toFloat64(price) * size) * 100 / 1e6, 1))
        FROM global_markets.options_trades
        WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:SPCX') AND length(ticker) = 21
          AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
        GROUP BY ticker ORDER BY sum(toFloat64(price) * size) DESC LIMIT 1
    ) AS premium_magnet,
    (
        SELECT max(pc)
        FROM (
            SELECT round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')), 3) AS pc
            FROM global_markets.options_trades
            WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:SPCX') AND length(ticker) = 21
              AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
            GROUP BY toDate(sip_timestamp)
        )
    ) AS max_daily_pc
SELECT
    formatDateTime(toTimeZone(min(sip_timestamp), 'America/New_York'), '%Y-%m-%d %H:%i:%S') AS first_print_et,
    uniqExact(toDate(sip_timestamp)) AS option_sessions,
    round(count() / 1e6, 2) AS prints_m,
    uniqExact(ticker) AS distinct_contracts,
    round(sum(size) / 1e6, 2) AS contracts_traded_m,
    round(sum(toFloat64(price) * size) * 100 / 1e9, 2) AS premium_notional_busd,
    round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')), 2) AS month_put_call_ratio,
    max_daily_pc AS max_session_put_call_ratio,
    uniqExact(substring(ticker, 7, 6)) AS expiries_traded,
    concat('20', substring(max(substring(ticker, 7, 6)), 1, 2), '-', substring(max(substring(ticker, 7, 6)), 3, 2), '-', substring(max(substring(ticker, 7, 6)), 5, 2)) AS longest_expiry,
    round(100 * toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 7, 6) = '260618')) / toFloat64(sum(size)), 1) AS jun18_expiry_share_pct,
    busiest.1 AS busiest_contract,
    busiest.2 AS busiest_contract_volume,
    busiest.3 AS busiest_contract_prints,
    busiest.4 AS busiest_contract_avg_premium,
    busiest.5 AS busiest_contract_notional_musd,
    premium_magnet.1 AS top_premium_contract,
    premium_magnet.2 AS top_premium_avg,
    premium_magnet.3 AS top_premium_notional_musd,
    aapl.1 AS aapl_full_june_notional_busd,
    aapl.2 AS aapl_full_june_contracts_m,
    round(round(sum(toFloat64(price) * size) * 100 / 1e9, 2) - aapl.1, 2) AS spcx_minus_aapl_notional_busd
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:SPCX') AND length(ticker) = 21
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
自己執行這個查詢

選擇權於股票第三個交易日的 2026-06-16 09:30:00 ET 上市。在 10 個選擇權交易時段內:2.18 百萬筆成交、10.4 百萬張合約,涵蓋 3199 個上市標的;權利金達 $9.15 billion(價格乘以標準的 100 股乘數),比 AAPL 選擇權整個 6 月收取的權利金還多 $0.31 billion(8.84 billion、27 百萬張合約;前者為十個交易時段,後者為完整月份,這種刻意的不對稱並不影響本文重點)。共有 22 個到期日進行交易,最早是 6 月 18 日到期的週選擇權(市場於翌日週五休市),最晚則為 2028-12-15 LEAPS;僅第一個週選擇權就占當月成交量的 26.7%。最熱門的合約為 $175 put, expiry 2026-06-18,在 41648 筆成交中共成交 203765 張,平均權利金為 $1.43。權利金最集中的合約為 $225 call, expiry 2026-09-18,成交金額為 121.3 million,平均權利金為 $40.12。

查詢選擇權逐時段:契約數、買權/賣權分布及 put/call ratio
交易時段成交筆數成交合約數買權合約數賣權合約數賣權買權比最活躍交易時段占比
2026-06-1642211616909519448127461390.7991.7
2026-06-1733428913774416931346843070.9974.7
2026-06-1835284018444909807538637370.88100
2026-06-2224918511859646336615523030.8764.3
2026-06-232052469932445285424647020.8853.8
2026-06-241162096128203603712524490.733.2
2026-06-25920134860822698772162050.826.4
2026-06-2615215610010666124923885740.6354.3
2026-06-291215365867544013761853780.4631.8
2026-06-301350816179113891882287230.5933.5
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    toDate(sip_timestamp) AS session,
    count() AS prints,
    toUInt64(sum(size)) AS contracts_traded,
    toUInt64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')) AS call_contracts,
    toUInt64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) AS put_contracts,
    round(toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) / toFloat64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')), 2) AS put_call_ratio,
    round(100 * toFloat64(sum(size)) / max(toFloat64(sum(size))) OVER (), 1) AS pct_of_busiest_session
FROM global_markets.options_trades
WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:SPCX') AND length(ticker) = 21
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
GROUP BY session
ORDER BY session
自己執行這個查詢

每個交易日的買權成交量都高於賣權:每日 put/call ratio 於 2026-06-17 達到 0.987 的高點,接近股價高點;並於 2026-06-29 降至 0.46 的低點,當日股票收高 7.4%,顯示賣權成交量是在股價高點附近見頂,而非在低點。成交最活躍的交易日是 2026-06-18,也就是第一個週選擇權的到期日:成交 1844490 張合約。

查詢契約成交分布:按履約價區間列示買權及賣權成交量
履約價區間買權合約數賣權合約數賣權占比最大區間占比
$0125225994.80.1
$257822452596.90.8
$507184164098.31.3
$75242311069697.93.4
$1001102930240496.59.5
$1257413393466392.730.5
$1501485542181785955100
$175137647390442139.769
$200114930439297025.546.7
$225493852358186.816
$25037893663351.611.7
$27517469712110.75.3
$30035506249081.410.9
$325810236140.82.5
$3505514112932.31.7
$375971933310.33
$400268091050.40.8
$42587362512.80.3
$450422282140.51.3
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    concat('$', toString(toUInt32(bucket))) AS strike_bucket,
    call_contracts,
    put_contracts,
    round(100.0 * put_contracts / (call_contracts + put_contracts), 1) AS put_share_pct,
    round(100 * (call_contracts + put_contracts) / max(call_contracts + put_contracts) OVER (), 1) AS pct_of_biggest_bucket
FROM (
    SELECT
        least(floor(toFloat64(toUInt32OrZero(substring(ticker, 14, 8))) / 1000 / 25) * 25, 450) AS bucket,
        toUInt64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'C')) AS call_contracts,
        toUInt64(sumIf(size, substring(ticker, 13, 1) = 'P')) AS put_contracts
    FROM global_markets.options_trades
    WHERE startsWith(ticker, 'O:SPCX') AND length(ticker) = 21
      AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-12 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-07-01 00:00:00', 9)
    GROUP BY bucket
)
ORDER BY toUInt32OrZero(substring(strike_bucket, 2))
自己執行這個查詢

履約價分布圖圍繞股價走勢呈現兩端集中的槓鈴形態。$150 價格區間的成交量最高,其中 55% 為賣權,反映平價買權與賣權的雙向交易。低於交易區間的部分由賣權主導($125 價格區間中占 92.7%);高於交易區間的部分則由買權主導($250 價格區間中,賣權占 1.6%),而 $450 價格區間的買權合約達 42228 張,約為本月高點的兩倍。

查詢最熱門契約的交易成本:三個交易時段的 NBBO 價差
交易時段NBBO更新次數捨棄的異常報價平均價差(美分)中位價差(美分)平均價差占中間價百分比
2026-06-1623567010.3106.7
2026-06-176248606.557.68
2026-06-1893198377.755.23
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    toDate(sip_timestamp) AS session,
    count() AS nbbo_updates,
    countIf(bid_price <= 0 OR ask_price < bid_price) AS dropped_bad_quotes,
    round(avgIf(toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price) * 100, 1) AS avg_spread_cents,
    round(quantileDeterministicIf(0.5)(toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price), toUInt64(sequence_number), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price) * 100, 1) AS med_spread_cents,
    round(100 * avgIf((toFloat64(ask_price) - toFloat64(bid_price)) / ((toFloat64(ask_price) + toFloat64(bid_price)) / 2), bid_price > 0 AND ask_price >= bid_price), 2) AS avg_spread_pct_of_mid
FROM global_markets.cache_options_quotes
WHERE ticker = 'O:SPCX260618P00175000'
  AND sip_timestamp >= toDateTime64('2026-06-16 00:00:00', 9) AND sip_timestamp < toDateTime64('2026-06-19 00:00:00', 9)
GROUP BY session
ORDER BY session
自己執行這個查詢

交易成本從第一小時起便相當緊窄:成交最活躍的合約在首個交易時段的平均 NBBO 買賣價差為 10.3 cent(占中間價 6.7%;中位數為 10 cents);到了到期日,價差中位數收窄至 5 cents(占中間價 5.23%;共有 93198 次報價更新,剔除並計入 37 筆異常報價)。對於這個僅上市數日、流動性集中於中間履約價區域的選擇權簿,買賣價差約為 nickel 至 dime;較遠的價外端成本更高,而本面板不代表那些合約的情況。

新聞切換與放空部位

查詢資訊流總表:標記啟用、資訊來源組成及共同標記
前12個月文章數首個標記日首日文章數高峰日日期高峰日文章數6月文章數出版商主要出版商主要出版商文章數主要出版商占比TSLA公司文章NVDA公司文章Alphabet公司文章RKLB公司文章ASTS公司文章TSLA減RKLB票據發行標題
02026-06-11142026-06-12423474The Motley Fool22465835957211562SpaceX's Fundraising Is Not Over With a $20 Billion New Bond Offering
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
WITH
    (
        SELECT count()
        FROM global_markets.stocks_news
        WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
          AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2025-06-01 00:00:00')
          AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
    ) AS prior_12mo,
    (
        SELECT (toString(d), n)
        FROM (
            SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) AS d, count() AS n
            FROM global_markets.stocks_news
            WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
              AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
              AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-01 04:00:00')
            GROUP BY d ORDER BY n DESC, d ASC LIMIT 1
        )
    ) AS peak_day,
    (
        SELECT (JSONExtractString(any(publisher), 'name'), count())
        FROM global_markets.stocks_news
        WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
          AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
          AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-01 04:00:00')
        GROUP BY JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name') ORDER BY count() DESC LIMIT 1
    ) AS top_pub,
    (
        SELECT n
        FROM (
            SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')) AS d, count() AS n
            FROM global_markets.stocks_news
            WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
              AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
              AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-01 04:00:00')
            GROUP BY d ORDER BY d ASC LIMIT 1
        )
    ) AS first_day_n,
    (
        SELECT substring(title, 1, 90)
        FROM global_markets.stocks_news
        WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
          AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-22 04:00:00')
          AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-06-24 04:00:00')
          AND title ILIKE '%bond%'
        ORDER BY published_utc ASC LIMIT 1
    ) AS notes_headline
SELECT
    prior_12mo AS prior_12_months_articles,
    toString(min(toDate(toTimeZone(published_utc, 'America/New_York')))) AS first_tagged_day,
    first_day_n AS first_day_articles,
    peak_day.1 AS peak_day_date,
    peak_day.2 AS peak_day_articles,
    count() AS june_articles,
    uniqExact(JSONExtractString(publisher, 'name')) AS publishers,
    top_pub.1 AS top_publisher,
    top_pub.2 AS top_publisher_articles,
    round(100.0 * top_pub.2 / count(), 0) AS top_publisher_pct,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'TSLA')) AS tsla_co_articles,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'NVDA')) AS nvda_co_articles,
    countIf(hasAny(tickers, ['GOOG', 'GOOGL', 'GOOGN', 'GOOGM'])) AS alphabet_co_articles,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'RKLB')) AS rklb_co_articles,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'ASTS')) AS asts_co_articles,
    countIf(has(tickers, 'TSLA')) - countIf(has(tickers, 'RKLB')) AS tsla_minus_rklb,
    notes_headline AS notes_offering_headline
FROM global_markets.stocks_news
WHERE has(tickers, 'SPCX')
  AND published_utc >= toDateTime('2026-06-01 00:00:00')
  AND published_utc < toDateTime('2026-07-01 04:00:00')
自己執行這個查詢

新聞標記本身也是一項紀錄:上市前十二個月內,標記為 SPCX 的文章有 0 篇;在 2026-06-11(定價日)則有 14 篇;2026-06-12 當天達到 42 篇的高峰;當月合計 347 篇。解讀這些數字時應保持審慎:共有 4 家出版商,而僅 The Motley Fool 家就撰寫了 65% 篇。這反映的是單一資訊源的關注,而非全球媒體的報導量。共同標記則顯示其報導框架:TSLA 出現在 83 篇文章中,NVDA 出現在 59 篇,Alphabet(合併計算各股類別)出現在 57 篇;Rocket Lab(21)與 AST SpaceMobile(15)則遠遠落後。這個資訊源將其報導為大型股題材,而非太空產業題材。

查詢FINRA 場外放空成交量(按交易時段):標記放空占比及申報成交量
date放空股數(百萬)場外交易總量(百萬)放空占場外交易比率
2026-06-1244.35131.5333.7
2026-06-1542.4595.944.3
2026-06-1657.63124.746.2
2026-06-1737.5982.2345.7
2026-06-1842.7183.1151.4
2026-06-2246.5376.8760.5
2026-06-2342.3564.4265.7
2026-06-2420.5729.9368.7
2026-06-2516.3424.4266.9
2026-06-2620.3131.2864.9
2026-06-2920.5331.3165.6
2026-06-3025.435.7771
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    date,
    round(toFloat64(any(short_volume)) / 1e6, 2) AS short_shares_m,
    round(toFloat64(any(total_volume)) / 1e6, 2) AS offexchange_total_m,
    round(100 * toFloat64(any(short_volume)) / toFloat64(any(total_volume)), 1) AS short_pct_of_offexchange
FROM global_markets.stocks_short_volume
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX' AND date >= toDate('2026-06-01') AND date <= toDate('2026-06-30')
GROUP BY date
ORDER BY date
自己執行這個查詢

首個交易日便出現放空交易,但必須先說明定義。場外放空成交量,是 FINRA 回報的場外成交量中被標記為放空的股票占比。其中相當一部分是 market maker 為完成客戶買單而進行的放空,屬於日常交易機制,並不等同於 放空餘額。SPCX 在上市日的標記放空占比為 33.7%,到 2026-06-30 時升至 71%;同期回報的場外成交量則由 131.53 百萬股降至 35.77 百萬股。這項資料可以顯示兩者的同步變化,但無法據此判斷其意義。

查詢首次放空餘額資料,另列舊實體斷崖式變化佐證
新實體結算放空股數(百萬)日均成交量(百萬)公布回補天數推算回補天數6月15日後公布的結算資料舊實體最後結算舊實體最後放空餘額相較舊實體的跳升倍數
2026-06-1523.3469.1910.3422026-03-3197112404
每個數據背後的精確 SQL 語法
SELECT
    toString(minIf(settlement_date, settlement_date >= toDate('2026-06-01'))) AS new_entity_settlement,
    round(toFloat64(argMinIf(short_interest, settlement_date, settlement_date >= toDate('2026-06-01'))) / 1e6, 2) AS shares_short_m,
    round(toFloat64(argMinIf(avg_daily_volume, settlement_date, settlement_date >= toDate('2026-06-01'))) / 1e6, 2) AS avg_daily_volume_m,
    argMinIf(days_to_cover, settlement_date, settlement_date >= toDate('2026-06-01')) AS reported_days_to_cover,
    round(toFloat64(argMinIf(short_interest, settlement_date, settlement_date >= toDate('2026-06-01'))) / toFloat64(argMinIf(avg_daily_volume, settlement_date, settlement_date >= toDate('2026-06-01'))), 2) AS implied_days_to_cover,
    countIf(settlement_date > toDate('2026-06-15')) AS settlements_published_after_june15,
    toString(argMaxIf(settlement_date, settlement_date, settlement_date < toDate('2026-06-01'))) AS last_old_entity_settlement,
    argMaxIf(short_interest, settlement_date, settlement_date < toDate('2026-06-01')) AS last_old_entity_short_interest,
    round(toFloat64(argMinIf(short_interest, settlement_date, settlement_date >= toDate('2026-06-01'))) / toFloat64(argMaxIf(short_interest, settlement_date, settlement_date < toDate('2026-06-01'))), 0) AS jump_multiple_vs_old_entity
FROM global_markets.stocks_short_interest
WHERE ticker = 'SPCX'
自己執行這個查詢

實際放空餘額是截至結算日的未平倉部位,首次公布於 2026-06-15:放空 23.34 百萬股,對照日均成交量 69.19 百萬股。資料供應商公布的 days-to-cover 為 1,這是下限;原始比率為 0.34,表示放空部位可能在不到一個平均交易日內回補。前一個實體的最終結算資料(2026-03-31)顯示放空 9711 股,再次呈現沿用代號造成的斷層。自本頁首次發布後,已有 2 次後續結算資料公布,且來源將 6月15日 的數值小幅上修。上述數字固定採用首次結算資料,而非最新資料:較早版本曾將檔案中最大的數值誤讀為 6月15日 的更正值,但實際並非如此;本頁的修訂機制正是用於更正這類錯誤。每次重新產生頁面時,都會重新計算所有數字;只要任何數字超出其事先申報的範圍,頁面便會暫停發布並進行審查。

資料說明

完整資料說明
  • 實體範圍(verified_tickers 的依據)。 stocks_ipos 紀錄(Space Exploration Technologies Corp.、於 2026-06-12 以 $135 上市,日期為 XNAS)、2026年5月的零成交量缺口,以及新聞標籤切換,共同確定了6月12日的重新歸屬。6月12日前的資料列均未歸屬於 SpaceX;frontmatter 中的 verified_tickers: ["SPCX"] 是針對2026年6月12日至30日、根據這些收據所作的明確編輯判定。
  • 原始成交帶加總會重複計入集合競價成交量(官方開盤/收盤資料會再次回報);成交股數與成交金額總計來自分鐘彙總,跨市場成交量則來自 cross prints(6月29日深度分析說明了這項修正)。
  • 第一天是部分交易時段,報價時間為 09:50:01 ET,首筆成交時間為 11:46:45 ET。首日高點/低點為分鐘 K 線極值;整月極值則在記分板中附有精確至美分的交叉驗證筆數。
  • EDGAR 計數按 accession_number 去除重複資料,並選取 CIK 0001181412;無關的「Space Exploration I」Form D 申報人(CIK 0002130081)依設計排除。
  • 沒有可供發布的基本面資料:三張財務報表中 SpaceX 的資料列為 0。
  • 6月29日的 FINRA 放空成交量檔案在全市場範圍內遭截斷(來源檔案在字母排序中途結束);SPCX 排在截斷點之前,因此其資料列完整;6月29日深度分析提供了放空成交量查核收據。
  • 6月19日為全市場休市日,這是觀察所得而非假設:當日有 0 個 SPY K 線,因此 SPCX 在6月期間共有 12 個交易時段。

方法論

  • 時間戳記以 UTC 儲存,並使用原始 UTC 邊界進行篩選。2026年6月全月均採用 EDT,因此正常交易時段為 13:30–20:00 UTC(美東時間上午 9:30 至下午 4:00)。toTimeZone 僅出現在 SELECT 清單中。
  • 交易時段收盤價採用正常交易時段最後一根分鐘 K 棒的收盤價;競價價格則取自交叉撮合成交紀錄(第一天:每根 K 棒為 $161.29,交叉撮合為 $160.95)。
  • 美元成交額以分鐘收盤價乘以分鐘成交量,再加總計算,作為按收盤價加權的名目成交額代理值。
  • 選擇權到期日、類型與履約價會重新從 OCC ticker 解析;資料表的 expiration_date 欄位不可靠。權利金名目金額以 100 股乘數計算。
  • 逐次更新的買賣價差統計中,每次 NBBO 更新的權重相同;時間加權統計則依每筆報價維持的時間加權。中位數採用具決定性的分位數計算。
  • 生成作業僅能透過受控的唯讀路徑批次執行;公開頁面不會查詢即時資料。資料倉儲保留完整 tick 歷史資料,沒有滾動到期機制,因此本分析可隨時使用相同資料表重現。資料倉儲狀態截至2026年7月3日。

本列表位於更廣泛的2026年脈絡中;上半年 IPO 市場的衡量結果有助於理解其背景。每個面板都是一個已儲存物件,包括圖表、表格與 SQL。您可以在 Strasmore terminal 上進一步執行任何查詢。

#spacex#spcx#ipo#deepdive#microstructure