The 10:00 AM Rule in Stocks, Tested
Volume and range coverage by half hour of the session, 2023 to 2025series ·
2026-09-26 · 13×3
Median quoted spread by five minute bucket, SPY and AAPL, 10 March 2026series ·
2026-09-26 · 12×3
First 30 minutes: share of the day's range and volume, 2023 to 2025ranking ·
2026-09-26 · 6×3
Average one minute range by ET clock minute, 09:30 to 10:59series ·
2026-09-26 · 90×3
Session coverage behind the long-run panelsranking ·
2026-09-26 · 6×4
The 7% Sell Rule Explained: O'Neil's Stop-Loss
Position size allowed by a $500 risk budget at each stop distanceranking ·
2026-09-12 · 3×2
Gain needed to get back to even after a lossranking ·
2026-09-12 · 6×3
Volume and range coverage by half hour of the session, 2023 to 2025
Volume and range coverage by half hour of the session, 2023 to 2025
| et_time | volume_share_pct | range_share_pct |
|---|---|---|
| 09:30 | 15.5 | 54.5 |
| 10:00 | 9.8 | 38.1 |
| 10:30 | 8 | 31.5 |
| 11:00 | 7 | 27.6 |
| 11:30 | 6 | 24.7 |
| 12:00 | 5.4 | 22.6 |
| 12:30 | 4.9 | 21.3 |
| 13:00 | 5 | 21.6 |
| 13:30 | 4.9 | 20.8 |
| 14:00 | 5.4 | 21.7 |
| 14:30 | 5.5 | 20.6 |
| 15:00 | 6.5 | 21 |
| 15:30 | 15.9 | 29.1 |
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH bars AS (
SELECT
ticker,
toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS trade_day,
toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60
+ toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS et_minute,
high,
low,
volume
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'AAPL', 'MSFT', 'NVDA', 'KO')
AND window_start >= '2023-01-01'
AND window_start < '2026-01-01'
),
regular AS (
SELECT *
FROM bars
WHERE et_minute >= 570 AND et_minute < 960
),
day_totals AS (
SELECT
ticker,
trade_day,
max(high) AS day_high,
min(low) AS day_low,
sum(volume) AS day_volume,
count() AS bar_count
FROM regular
GROUP BY ticker, trade_day
HAVING bar_count >= 300
AND day_high > day_low
AND day_volume > 0
),
half_hours AS (
SELECT
ticker,
trade_day,
intDiv(et_minute - 570, 30) AS bucket,
max(high) AS bucket_high,
min(low) AS bucket_low,
sum(volume) AS bucket_volume
FROM regular
GROUP BY ticker, trade_day, bucket
)
SELECT
formatDateTime(toDateTime((570 + h.bucket * 30) * 60, 'UTC'), '%H:%i') AS et_time,
round(avg(100 * toFloat64(h.bucket_volume) / toFloat64(d.day_volume)), 1) AS volume_share_pct,
round(avg(100 * toFloat64(h.bucket_high - h.bucket_low)
/ toFloat64(d.day_high - d.day_low)), 1) AS range_share_pct
FROM half_hours AS h
INNER JOIN day_totals AS d
ON d.ticker = h.ticker AND d.trade_day = h.trade_day
GROUP BY h.bucket
ORDER BY h.bucket
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