Stock Repair Strategy: A Real NKE Example
The repair, priced: strikes, cost, breakeven and capranking ·
2026-09-19 · 9×3
The 1x2 priced at every short strike above the moneytable ·
2026-09-19 · 4×7
Profit or loss per share at expiration: repair vs plain sharesranking ·
2026-09-19 · 11×4
NKE weekly close against its 52-week high closeseries ·
2026-09-19 · 53×4
Call implied volatility by strike for the same expirationranking ·
2026-09-19 · 5×4
The repair, priced: strikes, cost, breakeven and cap
The repair, priced: strikes, cost, breakeven and cap
| label | per_share | vs_spot_pct |
|---|---|---|
| Current share price | 36.36 | 0 |
| Long call strike (at the money) | 37.5 | 3.1 |
| Long call price | 2.35 | 6.5 |
| Short call strike (the recovery cap) | 40 | 10 |
| Short call price (each of the two) | 1.4 | 3.9 |
| Net cost of the 1x2 per share (negative = credit) | -0.45 | -1.2 |
| Repair breakeven | 55.81 | 53.5 |
| Original purchase price (hold-and-hope breakeven) | 74.57 | 105.1 |
| Crossover price (plain shares pull ahead above this) | 42.95 | 18.1 |
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH
(
SELECT max(date)
FROM global_markets.options_greeks
WHERE underlying_symbol = 'NKE'
AND iv_converged = 1
AND volume > 0
) AS asof_date,
(
SELECT expiration_date
FROM global_markets.options_greeks
WHERE underlying_symbol = 'NKE'
AND lower(toString(option_type)) IN ('call', 'c')
AND iv_converged = 1
AND volume > 0
AND days_to_expiry BETWEEN 60 AND 90
AND date = (
SELECT max(date)
FROM global_markets.options_greeks
WHERE underlying_symbol = 'NKE'
AND iv_converged = 1
AND volume > 0
)
GROUP BY expiration_date
ORDER BY sum(volume) DESC, expiration_date
LIMIT 1
) AS expiry,
(
SELECT toFloat64(max(close))
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'NKE'
AND date >= today() - 371
AND date < today()
) AS purchase_price
SELECT
label,
round(raw_value, 2) AS per_share,
round(raw_pct, 1) AS vs_spot_pct
FROM
(
SELECT
any(spot) AS spot_px,
any(atm_k) AS k1,
any(atm_px) AS k1_px,
max(k) AS k2,
argMax(px, k) AS k2_px
FROM
(
SELECT
k,
px,
spot,
first_value(k) OVER (ORDER BY abs(k - spot), k ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND UNBOUNDED FOLLOWING) AS atm_k,
first_value(px) OVER (ORDER BY abs(k - spot), k ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND UNBOUNDED FOLLOWING) AS atm_px
FROM
(
SELECT
toFloat64(strike_price) AS k,
toFloat64(any(option_close)) AS px,
toFloat64(any(underlying_close)) AS spot
FROM global_markets.options_greeks
WHERE underlying_symbol = 'NKE'
AND lower(toString(option_type)) IN ('call', 'c')
AND date = asof_date
AND expiration_date = expiry
AND iv_converged = 1
AND volume > 0
GROUP BY strike_price
)
)
WHERE k > atm_k
AND k <= atm_k * 1.30
AND atm_px - 2 * px <= 0
) AS pick
ARRAY JOIN
[0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8] AS ord,
['Current share price',
'Long call strike (at the money)',
'Long call price',
'Short call strike (the recovery cap)',
'Short call price (each of the two)',
'Net cost of the 1x2 per share (negative = credit)',
'Repair breakeven',
'Original purchase price (hold-and-hope breakeven)',
'Crossover price (plain shares pull ahead above this)'] AS label,
[spot_px,
k1,
k1_px,
k2,
k2_px,
k1_px - 2 * k2_px,
(purchase_price + k1 + (k1_px - 2 * k2_px)) / 2,
purchase_price,
2 * k2 - k1 - (k1_px - 2 * k2_px)] AS raw_value,
[0,
(k1 / spot_px - 1) * 100,
k1_px / spot_px * 100,
(k2 / spot_px - 1) * 100,
k2_px / spot_px * 100,
(k1_px - 2 * k2_px) / spot_px * 100,
((purchase_price + k1 + (k1_px - 2 * k2_px)) / 2 / spot_px - 1) * 100,
(purchase_price / spot_px - 1) * 100,
((2 * k2 - k1 - (k1_px - 2 * k2_px)) / spot_px - 1) * 100] AS raw_pct
ORDER BY ord
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