The near-to-far implied volatility gap across liquid names
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-22, from Why VIX Options Don't Track the VIX.
| symbol | front_iv_pct | back_iv_pct | curve_spread_pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 39.11 | 43.41 | 4.3 |
| SPY | 14.43 | 17.47 | 3.04 |
| QQQ | 23.6 | 25.75 | 2.15 |
| AAPL | 27.49 | 27.43 | -0.06 |
| MSFT | 35.47 | 34.92 | -0.55 |
| KO | 21.08 | 20.16 | -0.93 |
- Rows × columns
- 6 × 4
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
symbol |
text | 6 distinct values (AAPL, KO, MSFT…) | |
front_iv_pct |
number | 14.43 to 39.11 | percent |
back_iv_pct |
number | 17.47 to 43.41 | percent |
curve_spread_pts |
number | -0.93 to 4.3 |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
SELECT
underlying_symbol AS symbol,
round(avgIf(implied_volatility, days_to_expiry BETWEEN 7 AND 30) * 100, 2) AS front_iv_pct,
round(avgIf(implied_volatility, days_to_expiry BETWEEN 150 AND 300) * 100, 2) AS back_iv_pct,
round((avgIf(implied_volatility, days_to_expiry BETWEEN 150 AND 300)
- avgIf(implied_volatility, days_to_expiry BETWEEN 7 AND 30)) * 100, 2) AS curve_spread_pts
FROM global_markets.options_greeks
WHERE underlying_symbol IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'AAPL', 'MSFT', 'NVDA', 'KO')
AND iv_converged = 1
AND volume > 0
AND (days_to_expiry BETWEEN 7 AND 30 OR days_to_expiry BETWEEN 150 AND 300)
AND abs(toFloat64(strike_price) / toFloat64(underlying_close) - 1) < 0.05
AND date >= today() - 90
GROUP BY underlying_symbol
HAVING countIf(days_to_expiry BETWEEN 7 AND 30) > 0
AND countIf(days_to_expiry BETWEEN 150 AND 300) > 0
ORDER BY curve_spread_pts DESC
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