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Share of US listings trading at 1.5x their offer price, by day since listing

Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-07, from Japanese IPO Lockups: The 1.5x Release Rule.

as of ranking 19×2read in context →
Share of US listings trading at 1.5x their offer price, by day since listing — 19 rows by 2 columns, computed from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
days_since_listingreached_1_5x_pct
014.9
1028.2
2030.4
3031.9
4033.2
5034.5
6035.3
7036
8036.4
9037.4
10037.6
11037.9
12038.1
13038.4
14038.5
15038.7
16039
17039.3
18039.4
Rows × columns
19 × 2
Computed
Completeness
No missing values
Source
US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
Licence
Strasmore terms · free, no signup
Formats
JSON · CSV · the SQL below

What each column holds

Column definitions for Share of US listings trading at 1.5x their offer price, by day since listing, derived from the stored result.
ColumnTypeRangeNotes
days_since_listing number 0 to 180
reached_1_5x_pct number 14.9 to 39.4 percent

Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.

the exact SQL behind every number
WITH offers AS
(
    SELECT
        ticker,
        min(listing_date)                 AS listed_on,
        toFloat64(max(final_issue_price)) AS offer_price
    FROM global_markets.stocks_ipos
    WHERE final_issue_price > 0
      AND listing_date >= '2021-01-01'
      AND listing_date <  '2026-01-01'
      AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
    GROUP BY ticker
),
first_touch AS
(
    SELECT
        o.ticker                                          AS ticker,
        countIf(toFloat64(d.high) >= 1.5 * o.offer_price) AS touch_sessions,
        minIf(dateDiff('day', o.listed_on, d.date),
              toFloat64(d.high) >= 1.5 * o.offer_price)   AS days_to_touch
    FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs AS d
    INNER JOIN offers AS o ON d.ticker = o.ticker
    WHERE d.date >= '2021-01-01'
      AND d.date <  '2026-07-01'
      AND d.date >= o.listed_on
      AND d.date <  o.listed_on + 181
    GROUP BY o.ticker
)
SELECT
    grid.day AS days_since_listing,
    round(100 * countIf(t.touch_sessions > 0 AND t.days_to_touch <= grid.day) / count(), 1) AS reached_1_5x_pct
FROM first_touch AS t
CROSS JOIN
(
    SELECT arrayJoin(range(0, 190, 10)) AS day
) AS grid
GROUP BY days_since_listing
ORDER BY days_since_listing

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