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AAPL contracts trading on their own expiration day: share finishing out of the money, six monthly cycles

Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-01, from How Risky Is Options Trading? The Mechanics.

as of ranking 6×4read in context →
AAPL contracts trading on their own expiration day: share finishing out of the money, six monthly cycles — 6 rows by 4 columns, computed from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
cyclecontract_countcalls_otm_pctputs_otm_pct
Dec 202510223.968.6
Jan 2026933958.8
Feb 20268740.763.6
Mar 20268949.162.5
Apr 202610129.575
May 20261362070.6
Rows × columns
6 × 4
Computed
Completeness
No missing values
Source
US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
Licence
Strasmore terms · free, no signup
Formats
JSON · CSV · the SQL below

What each column holds

Column definitions for AAPL contracts trading on their own expiration day: share finishing out of the money, six monthly cycles, derived from the stored result.
ColumnTypeRangeNotes
cycle text 6 distinct values (Apr 2026, Dec 2025, Feb 2026…)
contract_count number 87 to 136 count
calls_otm_pct number 20 to 49.1 percent
puts_otm_pct number 58.8 to 75 percent

Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.

the exact SQL behind every number
WITH traded AS (
    SELECT toDate(sip_timestamp) AS session_date,
           ticker
    FROM global_markets.options_trades
    WHERE ticker LIKE 'O:AAPL2%'
      AND toDate(sip_timestamp) IN ('2025-12-19', '2026-01-16', '2026-02-20', '2026-03-20', '2026-04-17', '2026-05-15')
    GROUP BY session_date, ticker
),
expiring AS (
    SELECT session_date AS expiration_date,
           substring(ticker, 13, 1) AS right_code,
           toFloat64OrZero(substring(ticker, 14, 8)) / 1000 AS strike_usd
    FROM traded
    WHERE toDate(concat('20', substring(ticker, 7, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 9, 2), '-', substring(ticker, 11, 2))) = session_date
),
spot AS (
    SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS expiration_date,
           argMax(toFloat64(close), window_start) AS closing_price
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'AAPL'
      AND toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) IN ('2025-12-19', '2026-01-16', '2026-02-20', '2026-03-20', '2026-04-17', '2026-05-15')
      AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60
           + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
    GROUP BY expiration_date
)
SELECT formatDateTimeInJodaSyntax(e.expiration_date, 'MMM yyyy') AS cycle,
       count() AS contract_count,
       round(100 * countIf(e.right_code = 'C' AND e.strike_usd > s.closing_price) / countIf(e.right_code = 'C'), 1) AS calls_otm_pct,
       round(100 * countIf(e.right_code = 'P' AND e.strike_usd < s.closing_price) / countIf(e.right_code = 'P'), 1) AS puts_otm_pct
FROM expiring AS e
INNER JOIN spot AS s ON e.expiration_date = s.expiration_date
GROUP BY e.expiration_date
HAVING countIf(e.right_code = 'C') > 0 AND countIf(e.right_code = 'P') > 0
ORDER BY e.expiration_date

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