Typical daily move: option premium against quoted volatility
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-17, from How Options Are Quoted in Volatility.
| symbol | median_premium_move_pct | median_vol_move_pct | premium_move_ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| KO | 15.84 | 7.48 | 2.1 |
| JNJ | 18.73 | 8.56 | 2.2 |
| AAPL | 16.42 | 6.51 | 2.5 |
| MSFT | 14.63 | 5.57 | 2.6 |
| NVDA | 15.22 | 5.35 | 2.8 |
| SPY | 16.37 | 5.39 | 3 |
- Rows × columns
- 6 × 4
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
symbol |
text | 6 distinct values (AAPL, JNJ, KO…) | |
median_premium_move_pct |
number | 14.63 to 18.73 | percent |
median_vol_move_pct |
number | 5.35 to 8.56 | percent |
premium_move_ratio |
number | 2.1 to 3 | US dollars |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
SELECT
underlying_symbol AS symbol,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(premium_move_pct, obs_id), 2) AS median_premium_move_pct,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(vol_move_pct, obs_id), 2) AS median_vol_move_pct,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(premium_move_pct, obs_id)
/ quantileDeterministic(0.5)(vol_move_pct, obs_id), 1) AS premium_move_ratio
FROM
(
SELECT
underlying_symbol,
cityHash64(ticker, date) AS obs_id,
100 * abs(toFloat64(option_close) / prev_premium - 1) AS premium_move_pct,
100 * abs(toFloat64(implied_volatility) / prev_vol - 1) AS vol_move_pct
FROM
(
SELECT
underlying_symbol,
ticker,
date,
option_close,
implied_volatility,
lagInFrame(toFloat64(option_close)) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date ASC) AS prev_premium,
lagInFrame(toFloat64(implied_volatility)) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date ASC) AS prev_vol,
lagInFrame(date) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date ASC) AS prev_date
FROM global_markets.options_greeks
WHERE underlying_symbol IN ('AAPL', 'MSFT', 'NVDA', 'SPY', 'KO', 'JNJ')
AND date BETWEEN '2026-04-06' AND '2026-05-15'
AND iv_converged = 1
AND volume > 0
AND days_to_expiry BETWEEN 20 AND 45
AND option_close > 0
AND implied_volatility > 0
AND abs(toFloat64(strike_price) / toFloat64(underlying_close) - 1) < 0.05
)
WHERE prev_premium > 0
AND prev_vol > 0
AND dateDiff('day', prev_date, date) <= 4
)
GROUP BY underlying_symbol
HAVING count() >= 200
ORDER BY premium_move_ratio ASC
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