How far SPY travels between month end and the third-week release window

WITH daily AS
(
    SELECT
        toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS d,
        argMax(close, window_start)                          AS px
    FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
      AND window_start >= toDateTime('2006-01-01 00:00:00')
      AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60
           + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) >= 570
      AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60
           + toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) < 960
    GROUP BY d
),
reference_month AS
(
    SELECT
        toStartOfMonth(d) AS m,
        max(d)            AS as_of,
        argMax(px, d)     AS as_of_close
    FROM daily
    GROUP BY m
),
release AS
(
    SELECT
        m,
        as_of,
        as_of_close,
        addDays(toStartOfMonth(addMonths(m, 1)), 19) AS release_day
    FROM reference_month
),
gaps AS
(
    SELECT
        r.m AS m,
        abs(round(100 * (toFloat64(argMax(d.px, d.d))
                         / toFloat64(any(r.as_of_close)) - 1), 2)) AS abs_move_pct
    FROM release AS r
    CROSS JOIN daily AS d
    WHERE d.d > r.as_of
      AND d.d <= r.release_day
      AND r.release_day < today()
    GROUP BY r.m
)
SELECT
    multiIf(abs_move_pct < 1, '0 to 1%',
            abs_move_pct < 2, '1 to 2%',
            abs_move_pct < 3, '2 to 3%',
            abs_move_pct < 5, '3 to 5%',
            abs_move_pct < 8, '5 to 8%',
                              '8% or more')        AS move_bucket,
    count()                                        AS months_count,
    round(100 * count() / (SELECT count() FROM gaps), 1) AS share_pct
FROM gaps
GROUP BY move_bucket
ORDER BY min(abs_move_pct)