When dividend raises get declared: share by calendar month, starting from this month
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-11-01, from Dividend Increases Expected This Month.
| label | declaration_count | share_pct |
|---|---|---|
| Nov | 249 | 8.1 |
| Dec | 191 | 6.2 |
| Jan | 361 | 11.7 |
| Feb | 590 | 19.2 |
| Mar | 131 | 4.3 |
| Apr | 295 | 9.6 |
| May | 260 | 8.4 |
| Jun | 79 | 2.6 |
| Jul | 279 | 9.1 |
| Aug | 227 | 7.4 |
| Sep | 92 | 3 |
| Oct | 323 | 10.5 |
- Rows × columns
- 12 × 3
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
label |
text | 12 distinct values (Apr, Aug, Dec…) | |
declaration_count |
number | 79 to 590 | count |
share_pct |
number | 2.6 to 19.2 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
Run it yourself
This is the exact query behind the result above. Change a ticker, a date or a column and run it against the warehouse — no account, no key. The no-signup tier is smaller than the one this page was computed on; a query that reaches past it comes back saying which plan runs it.
WITH changes AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
ex_dividend_date,
declaration_date,
amount,
prev_amount,
(prev_amount > 0 AND amount > prev_amount
AND declaration_date > toDate('2000-01-01')) AS is_raise,
(prev_amount > 0 AND amount < prev_amount) AS is_cut
FROM
(
SELECT
ticker,
ex_dividend_date,
declaration_date,
amount,
lagInFrame(amount, 1) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY ex_dividend_date
ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prev_amount
FROM
(
SELECT
ticker,
ex_dividend_date,
ifNull(max(declaration_date), toDate('1970-01-01')) AS declaration_date,
ifNull(max(toFloat64(cash_amount)), 0) AS amount
FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends
WHERE toString(frequency) = '4'
AND ex_dividend_date >= toDate('2020-01-01')
AND ticker NOT IN ('SPCX')
GROUP BY ticker, ex_dividend_date
)
)
),
growers AS
(
SELECT ticker
FROM changes
GROUP BY ticker
HAVING uniqExactIf(toYear(declaration_date),
is_raise AND (toYear(declaration_date) BETWEEN toYear(today()) - 5 AND toYear(today()) - 1)) = 5
AND countIf(is_cut AND ex_dividend_date >= addYears(toStartOfYear(today()), -5)) = 0
)
SELECT
label,
declaration_count,
round(100 * declaration_count / sum(declaration_count) OVER (), 1) AS share_pct
FROM
(
SELECT
toMonth(declaration_date) AS month_num,
any(formatDateTime(declaration_date, '%b')) AS label,
count() AS declaration_count
FROM changes
WHERE is_raise
AND (toYear(declaration_date) BETWEEN toYear(today()) - 5 AND toYear(today()) - 1)
AND ticker IN (SELECT ticker FROM growers)
GROUP BY month_num
)
ORDER BY (month_num - toMonth(today()) + 12) % 12
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