de-vig — 3 answered market questions

Implied probability by quote format, illustrative quotes

most recentas of 2026-08-11 ranking 5×2read in context →

Implied probability by quote format, illustrative quotes — 5 rows by 2 columns, computed 2026-08-11 from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
quote	implied_pct
-110 American	52.38
-750 American	88.24
+475 American	17.39
5.75 decimal	17.39
19/4 fractional	17.39

the exact SQL behind every number

SELECT
    q.2 AS quote,
    round(100.0 * q.3, 2) AS implied_pct
FROM
(
    SELECT arrayJoin([
        (1, '-110 American',   110.0 / 210.0),
        (2, '-750 American',   750.0 / 850.0),
        (3, '+475 American',   100.0 / 575.0),
        (4, '5.75 decimal',      1.0 / 5.75),
        (5, '19/4 fractional',   4.0 / 23.0)
    ]) AS q
)
ORDER BY q.1

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