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Root sum of squared daily moves versus the net move, SPY by month

Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-10-09, from Why the Greeks Don't Add Up to Your P&L.

as of series 12×4read in context →
Root sum of squared daily moves versus the net move, SPY by month — 12 rows by 4 columns, computed from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
monthmonth_labelpath_move_pctnet_move_pct
2025-07Jul 20251.962.3
2025-08Aug 20253.42.09
2025-09Sep 20252.123.25
2025-10Oct 20254.082.44
2025-11Nov 20254.10.28
2025-12Dec 20252.410.19
2026-01Jan 20262.841.5
2026-02Feb 20263.580.8
2026-03Mar 20265.385.19
2026-04Apr 20263.9610.07
2026-05May 20262.925.17
2026-06Jun 20264.991.17
Rows × columns
12 × 4
Computed
Completeness
No missing values
Source
US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
Licence
Strasmore terms · free, no signup
Formats
JSON · CSV · the SQL below

What each column holds

Column definitions for Root sum of squared daily moves versus the net move, SPY by month, derived from the stored result.
ColumnTypeRangeNotes
month text 12 distinct values (2025-07, 2025-08, 2025-09…)
month_label text 12 distinct values (Apr 2026, Aug 2025, Dec 2025…)
path_move_pct number 1.96 to 5.38 percent
net_move_pct number 0.19 to 10.07 percent

Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.

Run it yourself

This is the exact query behind the result above. Change a ticker, a date or a column and run it against the warehouse — no account, no key. The no-signup tier is smaller than the one this page was computed on; a query that reaches past it comes back saying which plan runs it.

WITH
    daily AS
    (
        SELECT
            date,
            toFloat64(any(close)) AS close_px
        FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
        WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
          AND date >= '2025-06-20'
          AND date <  '2026-07-01'
        GROUP BY date
    ),
    seq AS
    (
        SELECT *, row_number() OVER (ORDER BY date) AS n
        FROM daily
    ),
    steps AS
    (
        SELECT
            toStartOfMonth(b.date)      AS m,
            b.close_px / a.close_px - 1 AS ret
        FROM seq AS a
        INNER JOIN seq AS b ON b.n = a.n + 1
        WHERE b.date >= '2025-07-01'
    )
SELECT
    formatDateTime(m, '%Y-%m')             AS month,
    formatDateTime(m, '%b %Y')             AS month_label,
    round(100 * sqrt(sum(pow(ret, 2))), 2) AS path_move_pct,
    round(100 * abs(sum(ret)), 2)          AS net_move_pct
FROM steps
GROUP BY m
ORDER BY m
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