One 10% risk budget, six names, six different weights
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-22, from Volatility Targeting for Position Sizing.
| symbol | realised_vol_pct | raw_weight | capped_weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 12.8 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| KO | 18.7 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| AAPL | 25.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| MSFT | 32 | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| NVDA | 36.7 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| TSLA | 46.5 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
- Rows × columns
- 6 × 4
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
symbol |
text | 6 distinct values (AAPL, KO, MSFT…) | |
realised_vol_pct |
number | 12.8 to 46.5 | percent |
raw_weight |
number | 0.21 to 0.78 | |
capped_weight |
number | 0.21 to 0.78 |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH
px AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
date AS d,
toFloat64(any(close)) AS c
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('KO', 'SPY', 'MSFT', 'AAPL', 'NVDA', 'TSLA')
AND date >= subtractYears(today(), 1)
AND date < today()
GROUP BY ticker, d
),
px_sorted AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
arraySort(p -> p.1, groupArray((d, c))) AS pts
FROM px
GROUP BY ticker
),
vols AS
(
SELECT
ticker AS symbol,
arrayReduce('stddevSamp',
arrayFilter(x -> abs(x) < 0.4,
arrayMap((a, b) -> log(b.2 / a.2),
arraySlice(pts, 1, length(pts) - 1),
arraySlice(pts, 2)))) * sqrt(252) AS ann_vol
FROM px_sorted
)
SELECT
symbol,
round(ann_vol * 100, 1) AS realised_vol_pct,
round(0.10 / ann_vol, 2) AS raw_weight,
round(least(0.10 / ann_vol, 2.0), 2) AS capped_weight
FROM vols
ORDER BY realised_vol_pct
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