Trailing vs forward dividend yield: eight large payers, latest session price
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-22, from Trailing vs Forward Dividend Yield Explained.
| ticker | trailing_yield_pct | forward_yield_pct | forward_minus_trailing_pp | checks_in_window | share_price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEP | 4.01 | 4.13 | 0.12 | 4 | 143.5 |
| PG | 2.96 | 3.01 | 0.04 | 4 | 144.74 |
| JNJ | 1.94 | 1.98 | 0.04 | 4 | 270.62 |
| KO | 2.28 | 2.33 | 0.04 | 4 | 91.04 |
| MCD | 2.71 | 2.75 | 0.03 | 4 | 270.83 |
| CVX | 3.43 | 3.47 | 0.03 | 4 | 205.25 |
| ABBV | 2.57 | 2.6 | 0.03 | 4 | 266 |
| MSFT | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0 | 4 | 483.7 |
- Rows × columns
- 8 × 6
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
ticker |
text | 8 distinct values (ABBV, CVX, JNJ…) | |
trailing_yield_pct |
number | 0.75 to 4.01 | percent |
forward_yield_pct |
number | 0.75 to 4.13 | percent |
forward_minus_trailing_pp |
number | 0 to 0.12 | |
checks_in_window |
number | every row is 4 | |
share_price |
number | 91.04 to 483.7 | US dollars |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH last_px AS (
SELECT ticker,
argMax(close, window_start) AS close_price
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('ABBV', 'CVX', 'JNJ', 'KO', 'MCD', 'MSFT', 'PEP', 'PG')
AND window_start >= now() - INTERVAL 10 DAY
AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60
+ toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY ticker
),
paid AS (
SELECT ticker,
sum(cash_amount) AS ttm_cash,
count() AS checks_in_window,
argMax(cash_amount, ex_dividend_date) AS latest_cash,
argMax(frequency, ex_dividend_date) AS pay_frequency
FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends
WHERE ticker IN ('ABBV', 'CVX', 'JNJ', 'KO', 'MCD', 'MSFT', 'PEP', 'PG')
AND distribution_type = 'recurring'
AND cash_amount > 0
AND ex_dividend_date > today() - INTERVAL 1 YEAR
AND ex_dividend_date <= today()
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT p.ticker AS ticker,
round(toFloat64(d.ttm_cash) / toFloat64(p.close_price) * 100, 2) AS trailing_yield_pct,
round(toFloat64(d.latest_cash) * d.pay_frequency / toFloat64(p.close_price) * 100, 2) AS forward_yield_pct,
round((toFloat64(d.latest_cash) * d.pay_frequency - toFloat64(d.ttm_cash))
/ toFloat64(p.close_price) * 100, 2) AS forward_minus_trailing_pp,
d.checks_in_window AS checks_in_window,
round(toFloat64(p.close_price), 2) AS share_price
FROM last_px AS p
INNER JOIN paid AS d ON p.ticker = d.ticker
ORDER BY forward_minus_trailing_pp DESC
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