worst_septembers
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-09-18, from the-september-effect.
| label | sep_return_pct |
|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | -9.94 |
| Sep 2022 | -9.62 |
| Sep 2011 | -7.42 |
- Rows × columns
- 3 × 2
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
label |
text | 3 distinct values (Sep 2008, Sep 2011, Sep 2022) | |
sep_return_pct |
number | -9.94 to -7.42 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH month_ends AS
(
SELECT
toStartOfMonth(date) AS month_start,
argMax(toFloat64(close), date) AS month_end_close
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND date < toStartOfYear(today())
GROUP BY month_start
),
monthly_returns AS
(
SELECT
month_start,
month_end_close,
lagInFrame(month_end_close, 1) OVER (ORDER BY month_start ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prev_close
FROM month_ends
)
SELECT
formatDateTime(month_start, '%b %Y') AS label,
round((month_end_close / prev_close - 1) * 100, 2) AS sep_return_pct
FROM monthly_returns
WHERE prev_close > 0
AND toMonth(month_start) = 9
ORDER BY sep_return_pct ASC
LIMIT 3
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