zone_width
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-09-27, from support-and-resistance-explained.
| distance_band | tests | break_pct |
|---|---|---|
| 0.00 to 0.25% below | 256 | 81.2 |
| 0.25 to 0.50% below | 267 | 68.5 |
| 0.50 to 1.00% below | 458 | 64.4 |
| 1.00 to 2.00% below | 766 | 49 |
| 2.00 to 4.00% below | 1054 | 26 |
- Rows × columns
- 5 × 3
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
distance_band |
text | 5 distinct values | |
tests |
number | 256 to 1,054 | |
break_pct |
number | 26 to 81.2 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
Run it yourself
This is the exact query behind the result above. Change a ticker, a date or a column and run it against the warehouse — no account, no key. The no-signup tier is smaller than the one this page was computed on; a query that reaches past it comes back saying which plan runs it.
WITH bars AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
date,
toFloat64(close) AS close_px,
toFloat64(high) AS high_px
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'AAPL', 'MSFT', 'NVDA')
AND date >= '2019-01-01'
AND date < '2026-09-20'
),
levels AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
date,
close_px,
max(high_px) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date ASC ROWS BETWEEN 63 PRECEDING AND 1 PRECEDING) AS swing_high,
max(close_px) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date ASC ROWS BETWEEN 1 FOLLOWING AND 5 FOLLOWING) AS best_close_next5
FROM bars
),
tagged AS
(
SELECT
100 * (swing_high - close_px) / swing_high AS gap_pct,
best_close_next5 > swing_high AS broke
FROM levels
WHERE date >= '2019-04-01'
AND date < '2026-09-01'
AND close_px < swing_high
AND close_px >= swing_high * 0.96
)
SELECT
multiIf(gap_pct < 0.25, '0.00 to 0.25% below',
gap_pct < 0.50, '0.25 to 0.50% below',
gap_pct < 1.00, '0.50 to 1.00% below',
gap_pct < 2.00, '1.00 to 2.00% below',
'2.00 to 4.00% below') AS distance_band,
count() AS tests,
round(100 * countIf(broke) / count(), 1) AS break_pct
FROM tagged
GROUP BY distance_band
ORDER BY distance_band
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