SPY realized volatility and worst session, by calendar year
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-09, from Reg T Margin vs Portfolio Margin Explained.
| year | realized_vol_pct | worst_day_pct | days_over_2pct_count |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 15.9 | -3.9 | 14 |
| 2008 | 41.2 | -9.8 | 70 |
| 2009 | 26.6 | -5.3 | 50 |
| 2010 | 17.9 | -3.8 | 22 |
| 2011 | 23 | -6.5 | 33 |
| 2012 | 12.8 | -2.5 | 7 |
| 2013 | 11.1 | -2.5 | 4 |
| 2014 | 11.3 | -2.3 | 4 |
| 2015 | 15.5 | -4.2 | 11 |
| 2016 | 13.1 | -3.6 | 10 |
| 2017 | 6.8 | -1.8 | 0 |
| 2018 | 17.1 | -4.2 | 19 |
| 2019 | 12.5 | -3 | 7 |
| 2020 | 33.4 | -10.9 | 42 |
| 2021 | 13.1 | -2.4 | 8 |
| 2022 | 24.2 | -4.3 | 46 |
| 2023 | 13.2 | -2 | 2 |
| 2024 | 12.6 | -3 | 7 |
| 2025 | 19.4 | -5.9 | 14 |
| 2026 | 14.2 | -2.6 | 4 |
- Rows × columns
- 20 × 4
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
year |
number | 2,007 to 2,026 | |
realized_vol_pct |
number | 6.8 to 41.2 | percent |
worst_day_pct |
number | -10.9 to -1.8 | percent |
days_over_2pct_count |
number | 0 to 70 | count |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
SELECT
toYear(session_date) AS year,
round(stddevPop(daily_pct) * sqrt(252), 1) AS realized_vol_pct,
round(min(daily_pct), 1) AS worst_day_pct,
countIf(abs(daily_pct) >= 2) AS days_over_2pct_count
FROM
(
SELECT
date AS session_date,
(toFloat64(close) / lagInFrame(toFloat64(close), 1) OVER (ORDER BY date ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) - 1) * 100 AS daily_pct
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND date >= '2007-01-01'
AND date < '2026-07-01'
)
WHERE isFinite(daily_pct)
GROUP BY year
ORDER BY year
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