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SPY realized volatility and worst session, by calendar year

Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-09, from Reg T Margin vs Portfolio Margin Explained.

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SPY realized volatility and worst session, by calendar year — 20 rows by 4 columns, computed from US exchange, SIP and OPRA data.
yearrealized_vol_pctworst_day_pctdays_over_2pct_count
200715.9-3.914
200841.2-9.870
200926.6-5.350
201017.9-3.822
201123-6.533
201212.8-2.57
201311.1-2.54
201411.3-2.34
201515.5-4.211
201613.1-3.610
20176.8-1.80
201817.1-4.219
201912.5-37
202033.4-10.942
202113.1-2.48
202224.2-4.346
202313.2-22
202412.6-37
202519.4-5.914
202614.2-2.64
Rows × columns
20 × 4
Computed
Completeness
No missing values
Source
US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
Licence
Strasmore terms · free, no signup
Formats
JSON · CSV · the SQL below

What each column holds

Column definitions for SPY realized volatility and worst session, by calendar year, derived from the stored result.
ColumnTypeRangeNotes
year number 2,007 to 2,026
realized_vol_pct number 6.8 to 41.2 percent
worst_day_pct number -10.9 to -1.8 percent
days_over_2pct_count number 0 to 70 count

Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.

the exact SQL behind every number
SELECT
    toYear(session_date)                       AS year,
    round(stddevPop(daily_pct) * sqrt(252), 1) AS realized_vol_pct,
    round(min(daily_pct), 1)                   AS worst_day_pct,
    countIf(abs(daily_pct) >= 2)               AS days_over_2pct_count
FROM
(
    SELECT
        date AS session_date,
        (toFloat64(close) / lagInFrame(toFloat64(close), 1) OVER (ORDER BY date ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) - 1) * 100 AS daily_pct
    FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
    WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
      AND date >= '2007-01-01'
      AND date <  '2026-07-01'
)
WHERE isFinite(daily_pct)
GROUP BY year
ORDER BY year

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