SPY through July 2024 against a level 2% above the July 1 close
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-07, from Probability of Touch vs Probability ITM.
| session_date | spy_close | spy_high | strike_level | close_vs_level_pct | run_max_vs_level_pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-01 | 545.34 | 545.88 | 556.25 | -1.96 | -1.86 |
| 2024-07-02 | 549.01 | 549.01 | 556.25 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
| 2024-07-03 | 551.46 | 551.83 | 556.25 | -0.86 | -0.79 |
| 2024-07-05 | 554.64 | 555.05 | 556.25 | -0.29 | -0.22 |
| 2024-07-08 | 555.28 | 556.25 | 556.25 | -0.17 | 0 |
| 2024-07-09 | 555.82 | 557.18 | 556.25 | -0.08 | 0.17 |
| 2024-07-10 | 561.32 | 561.67 | 556.25 | 0.91 | 0.97 |
| 2024-07-11 | 556.48 | 562.33 | 556.25 | 0.04 | 1.09 |
| 2024-07-12 | 559.99 | 563.67 | 556.25 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| 2024-07-15 | 561.53 | 564.84 | 556.25 | 0.95 | 1.54 |
| 2024-07-16 | 564.86 | 565.16 | 556.25 | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-17 | 556.94 | 560.51 | 556.25 | 0.12 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-18 | 552.66 | 559.52 | 556.25 | -0.64 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-19 | 548.99 | 554.08 | 556.25 | -1.3 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-22 | 554.65 | 555.27 | 556.25 | -0.29 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-23 | 553.78 | 556.74 | 556.25 | -0.44 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-24 | 541.23 | 549.17 | 556.25 | -2.7 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-25 | 538.41 | 547.46 | 556.25 | -3.21 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-26 | 544.44 | 547.19 | 556.25 | -2.12 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-29 | 544.76 | 547.05 | 556.25 | -2.07 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-30 | 542 | 547.34 | 556.25 | -2.56 | 1.6 |
| 2024-07-31 | 550.81 | 553.5 | 556.25 | -0.98 | 1.6 |
| 2024-08-01 | 543.01 | 554.87 | 556.25 | -2.38 | 1.6 |
| 2024-08-02 | 532.9 | 536.99 | 556.25 | -4.2 | 1.6 |
| 2024-08-05 | 517.38 | 523.58 | 556.25 | -6.99 | 1.6 |
| 2024-08-06 | 522.15 | 529.75 | 556.25 | -6.13 | 1.6 |
| 2024-08-07 | 518.66 | 531.59 | 556.25 | -6.76 | 1.6 |
| 2024-08-08 | 530.65 | 531.29 | 556.25 | -4.6 | 1.6 |
- Rows × columns
- 28 × 6
- Period covered
- to
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
session_date |
date | 2024-07-01 to 2024-08-08 | |
spy_close |
number | 517.38 to 564.86 | US dollars |
spy_high |
number | 523.58 to 565.16 | US dollars |
strike_level |
number | every row is 556.25 | US dollars |
close_vs_level_pct |
number | -6.99 to 1.55 | percent |
run_max_vs_level_pct |
number | -1.86 to 1.6 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH
bars AS (
SELECT
date,
any(toFloat64(close)) AS c,
max(toFloat64(high)) AS h
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND date BETWEEN '2024-07-01' AND '2024-08-08'
GROUP BY date
),
anchor AS (
SELECT argMin(c, date) * 1.02 AS lvl
FROM bars
)
SELECT
toString(b.date) AS session_date,
round(b.c, 2) AS spy_close,
round(b.h, 2) AS spy_high,
round(a.lvl, 2) AS strike_level,
round(100 * (b.c / a.lvl - 1), 2) AS close_vs_level_pct,
round(100 * (max(b.h) OVER (ORDER BY b.date ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) / a.lvl - 1), 2) AS run_max_vs_level_pct
FROM bars AS b
CROSS JOIN anchor AS a
ORDER BY b.date
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