Top-decile put/call readings per month, grouped by how the S&P 500 tracker moved
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-03, from Is a High Put/Call Ratio Bullish?.
| index_move_bucket | observations | top_decile_reads_avg | typical_pcr_ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| index down 3% or more | 12 | 4.2 | 0.75 |
| index down under 3% | 9 | 1.9 | 0.64 |
| index up under 3% | 12 | 0.6 | 0.58 |
| index up 3% or more | 22 | 1.9 | 0.62 |
- Rows × columns
- 4 × 4
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
index_move_bucket |
text | 4 distinct values | |
observations |
number | 9 to 22 | |
top_decile_reads_avg |
number | 0.6 to 4.2 | |
typical_pcr_ratio |
number | 0.58 to 0.75 | ratio or rate |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH raw AS (
SELECT date AS day,
sumIf(volume, upper(substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 8, 1)) = 'P') AS put_volume,
sumIf(volume, upper(substring(ticker, length(ticker) - 8, 1)) = 'C') AS call_volume
FROM global_markets.options_greeks
WHERE date >= toDate('2022-01-01')
AND date <= toDate('2026-07-31')
AND volume > 0
AND underlying_symbol IN ('AAPL', 'MSFT', 'NVDA', 'AMZN', 'META',
'TSLA', 'GOOGL', 'JPM', 'KO', 'XOM')
GROUP BY day
HAVING call_volume > 0
),
equity_pcr AS (
SELECT day, toFloat64(put_volume) / toFloat64(call_volume) AS pcr
FROM raw
),
cut AS (
SELECT quantileDeterministic(0.90)(pcr, cityHash64(day)) AS p90
FROM equity_pcr
),
by_month AS (
SELECT toStartOfMonth(day) AS month_start,
countIf(pcr >= cut.p90) AS extreme_reads,
quantileDeterministic(0.5)(pcr, cityHash64(day)) AS median_pcr
FROM equity_pcr CROSS JOIN cut
GROUP BY month_start
),
spy_daily AS (
SELECT toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) AS day,
toFloat64(argMax(close, window_start)) AS close
FROM global_markets.delayed_stocks_minute_aggs
WHERE ticker = 'SPY'
AND toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) >= toDate('2022-01-01')
AND toDate(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) <= toDate('2026-07-31')
AND (toHour(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York')) * 60
+ toMinute(toTimeZone(window_start, 'America/New_York'))) BETWEEN 570 AND 959
GROUP BY day
),
spy_month AS (
SELECT toStartOfMonth(day) AS month_start,
100 * (argMax(close, day) / argMin(close, day) - 1) AS move_pct
FROM spy_daily
GROUP BY month_start
)
SELECT multiIf(s.move_pct <= -3, 'index down 3% or more',
s.move_pct < 0, 'index down under 3%',
s.move_pct < 3, 'index up under 3%',
'index up 3% or more') AS index_move_bucket,
count() AS observations,
round(avg(m.extreme_reads), 1) AS top_decile_reads_avg,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(m.median_pcr, cityHash64(m.month_start)), 2) AS typical_pcr_ratio
FROM by_month AS m
INNER JOIN spy_month AS s ON m.month_start = s.month_start
GROUP BY index_move_bucket
ORDER BY min(s.move_pct) ASC
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