Where the daily move lands: overnight gap versus the New York session
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-10, from International Fund NAV: Fair Value Pricing.
| ticker | overnight_gap_pct | open_to_close_pct |
|---|---|---|
| SONY | 0.888 | 0.558 |
| TM | 0.875 | 0.449 |
| ASML | 0.967 | 0.974 |
| SAP | 0.709 | 0.664 |
| HSBC | 0.701 | 0.461 |
| KO | 0.232 | 0.542 |
- Rows × columns
- 6 × 3
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
ticker |
text | 6 distinct values (ASML, HSBC, KO…) | |
overnight_gap_pct |
number | 0.232 to 0.967 | percent |
open_to_close_pct |
number | 0.449 to 0.974 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH daily AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
date,
toFloat64(open) AS open_px,
toFloat64(close) AS close_px,
lagInFrame(toFloat64(close)) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date
ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prior_close_px
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SONY', 'TM', 'ASML', 'SAP', 'HSBC', 'KO')
AND date >= '2023-08-01'
AND date < '2026-08-01'
)
SELECT
ticker,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(abs(open_px / prior_close_px - 1) * 100, toUInt32(date)), 3) AS overnight_gap_pct,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.5)(abs(close_px / open_px - 1) * 100, toUInt32(date)), 3) AS open_to_close_pct
FROM daily
WHERE prior_close_px > 0
AND open_px > 0
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY indexOf(['SONY', 'TM', 'ASML', 'SAP', 'HSBC', 'KO'], ticker)
Run your own version of this
The same 22 years of US equities and 12 years of options data are queryable in SQL or plain English. A free account runs 100 queries a day and takes no card.
More from this analysisInternational Fund NAV: Fair Value Pricing
The overnight and New York halves of the day, year by year
ranking 6×3
→
Foreign listings during New York hours, sorted by the US large cap move
ranking 5×4
→
Average move by New York half hour, two foreign listings
series 25×3
→
Average move from the 11:30 a.m. ET European close to the 4:00 p.m. close, Q2 2026
ranking 5×3
→
One session's price path, SPY every 15 minutes on June 17, 2026
series 27×2
→
Share of SPY's session volume by half hour, June 2026 average
series 13×2
→
See all 2,170 queries →