Quarterly dividend as a share of price vs typical daily move: ten large payers, Jul 2023 to Jun 2026
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-08-01, from Does Dividend Capture Actually Work?.
| ticker | dividend_pct_of_price | avg_daily_move_pct | p95_daily_move_pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| VZ | 1.64 | 1.01 | 2.95 |
| CVX | 1.05 | 1.04 | 2.67 |
| PEP | 0.86 | 0.91 | 2.43 |
| XOM | 0.84 | 1.11 | 2.97 |
| MRK | 0.76 | 1.1 | 3.07 |
| KO | 0.74 | 0.75 | 1.93 |
| MMM | 0.73 | 1.23 | 3.13 |
| JNJ | 0.72 | 0.8 | 2.15 |
| PG | 0.64 | 0.82 | 2.31 |
| MCD | 0.59 | 0.82 | 2.17 |
- Rows × columns
- 10 × 4
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
ticker |
text | 10 distinct values (CVX, JNJ, KO…) | |
dividend_pct_of_price |
number | 0.59 to 1.64 | percent |
avg_daily_move_pct |
number | 0.75 to 1.23 | percent |
p95_daily_move_pct |
number | 1.93 to 3.13 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
the exact SQL behind every number
WITH tk AS (SELECT ['KO','JNJ','PG','XOM','CVX','VZ','MRK','PEP','MCD','MMM'] AS t),
r AS (
SELECT ticker,
date,
toFloat64(close) AS close,
lagInFrame(toFloat64(close)) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date
ROWS BETWEEN 1 PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW) AS prev_close
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker IN (SELECT arrayJoin(t) FROM tk)
AND date BETWEEN toDate('2023-07-01') AND toDate('2026-06-30')
AND close > 0
),
vol AS (
SELECT ticker,
round(100 * avg(abs(close / prev_close - 1)), 2) AS avg_daily_move_pct,
round(quantileDeterministic(0.95)(100 * abs(close / prev_close - 1), cityHash64(date)), 2) AS p95_daily_move_pct,
avg(close) AS avg_close
FROM r
WHERE prev_close > 0
GROUP BY ticker
),
dv AS (
SELECT ticker, avg(cash_amount) AS avg_dividend_usd
FROM global_markets.stocks_dividends
WHERE ticker IN (SELECT arrayJoin(t) FROM tk)
AND distribution_type = 'recurring'
AND cash_amount > 0
AND ex_dividend_date BETWEEN toDate('2023-07-01') AND toDate('2026-06-30')
GROUP BY ticker
)
SELECT vol.ticker AS ticker,
round(100 * dv.avg_dividend_usd / vol.avg_close, 2) AS dividend_pct_of_price,
vol.avg_daily_move_pct AS avg_daily_move_pct,
vol.p95_daily_move_pct AS p95_daily_move_pct
FROM vol
INNER JOIN dv ON vol.ticker = dv.ticker
ORDER BY dividend_pct_of_price DESC
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