Absolute close-to-close move, 2021 to 2025
Answered against 22 years of US equities and 12 years of US options data and published with the query that produced it. This result is stored as of 2026-09-19, from Can You Make $1,000 a Day Day Trading?.
| ticker | median_move_pct | p75_move_pct | p90_move_pct | share_move_over_4_pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 0.57 | 1.07 | 1.65 | 0.6 |
| QQQ | 0.77 | 1.47 | 2.31 | 1.3 |
| NVDA | 1.88 | 3.39 | 5.14 | 18 |
| TSLA | 2.08 | 3.93 | 6.05 | 24.4 |
- Rows × columns
- 4 × 5
- Computed
- Completeness
- No missing values
- Source
- US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data
- Licence
- Strasmore terms · free, no signup
What each column holds
| Column | Type | Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
ticker |
text | 4 distinct values (NVDA, QQQ, SPY…) | |
median_move_pct |
number | 0.57 to 2.08 | percent |
p75_move_pct |
number | 1.07 to 3.93 | percent |
p90_move_pct |
number | 1.65 to 6.05 | percent |
share_move_over_4_pct |
number | 0.6 to 24.4 | percent |
Computed from Strasmore's warehouse of US exchange, SIP and OPRA market data. Equity prices are delayed; options greeks and implied volatility are end-of-day. This result is stored, not recomputed on load — it is exactly the numbers that were returned on , and the query below is what returned them.
Run it yourself
This is the exact query behind the result above. Change a ticker, a date or a column and run it against the warehouse — no account, no key. The no-signup tier is smaller than the one this page was computed on; a query that reaches past it comes back saying which plan runs it.
WITH
bars AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
date,
toFloat64(argMax(close, _ingest_time)) AS close_px
FROM global_markets.stocks_daily_aggs
WHERE ticker IN ('SPY', 'QQQ', 'NVDA', 'TSLA')
AND date >= '2020-12-01'
AND date < '2026-01-01'
GROUP BY ticker, date
),
moves AS
(
SELECT
ticker,
date,
close_px,
lagInFrame(close_px, 1) OVER (PARTITION BY ticker ORDER BY date ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND UNBOUNDED FOLLOWING) AS prev_close_px
FROM bars
)
SELECT
ticker,
round(quantileExact(0.5)(abs_move_pct), 2) AS median_move_pct,
round(quantileExact(0.75)(abs_move_pct), 2) AS p75_move_pct,
round(quantileExact(0.9)(abs_move_pct), 2) AS p90_move_pct,
round(countIf(abs_move_pct >= 4) / count() * 100, 1) AS share_move_over_4_pct
FROM
(
SELECT
ticker,
date,
abs(close_px / prev_close_px - 1) * 100 AS abs_move_pct
FROM moves
WHERE prev_close_px > 0
AND date >= '2021-01-01'
AND (toString(ticker), toDate(date)) NOT IN
(
SELECT toString(ticker), toDate(execution_date)
FROM global_markets.stocks_splits
)
)
GROUP BY ticker
ORDER BY indexOf(['SPY', 'QQQ', 'NVDA', 'TSLA'], ticker)
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