{"slug":"macro-picture-entering-h2-2026","qid":"expectations","label":"Model-based inflation expectations by horizon, monthly","post_title":"Macro Picture Entering H2 2026, With Receipts","post_url":"/blog/macro-picture-entering-h2-2026#q-expectations","columns":["period_start","exp_1y_pct","exp_5y_pct","exp_10y_pct"],"rows":[{"period_start":"2026-01-01","exp_1y_pct":2.59,"exp_5y_pct":2.34,"exp_10y_pct":2.33},{"period_start":"2026-02-01","exp_1y_pct":2.59,"exp_5y_pct":2.37,"exp_10y_pct":2.37},{"period_start":"2026-03-01","exp_1y_pct":2.29,"exp_5y_pct":2.24,"exp_10y_pct":2.26},{"period_start":"2026-04-01","exp_1y_pct":3.26,"exp_5y_pct":2.48,"exp_10y_pct":2.4},{"period_start":"2026-05-01","exp_1y_pct":3.54,"exp_5y_pct":2.59,"exp_10y_pct":2.48},{"period_start":"2026-06-01","exp_1y_pct":3.02,"exp_5y_pct":2.54,"exp_10y_pct":2.49}],"shape":"ranking","sql":"SELECT toString(date) AS period_start,\n    round(model_1_year, 2) AS exp_1y_pct,\n    round(model_5_year, 2) AS exp_5y_pct,\n    round(model_10_year, 2) AS exp_10y_pct\nFROM global_markets.inflation_expectations\nWHERE date >= toDate('2026-01-01') AND date <= toDate('2026-06-30')\nORDER BY date","computed_at":"2026-08-11T14:23:39.176134+00:00","elapsed":0.001723896}